Economic Forecasts

Quote of the Day

We have a lot of dollars sloshing around the world thanks to years and years of artificially low interest rates and quantitative easing, and more of those dollars are going to be coming home as foreigners get out of U.S. financial asset.

You’re seeing a global exodus out of U.S. stocks, out of U.S. bonds, and all that cash is going to come back home, bidding up prices.

The solution involves much higher interest rates. Now, I understand that’s going to be very painful, given the economy that we’ve created, built on a foundation of cheap money.

It means stock prices come down, real estate prices go down, companies fail. There’s going to be bankruptcies. There’s going to be defaults. There’s going to be a protracted recession, probably a much worse financial crisis than 2008, but all that has to happen because the alternative to that is even worse.

The U.S. is on the path to “runaway inflation” that could become “hyperinflation.”

Peter Schiff
Euro Pacific Asset Management Chief Economist
June 18, 2025
Peter Schiff warns of stagflation for US economy | Fox Business

Is this true? It does resonate with me. Hyperinflation is one of my big concerns in life. And because of this I have socked away $100 Trillion for a rainy day. But I have never even taken a class in economics. Perhaps I should invest/prepare differently.

For me the big wildcard in all this is that economists can’t really accurately model the economy. The math does not exist to account for the emotional reactions of what people do with their money and other assets. It could be a one sentence post on social media by the U.S. President or Elon Musk changes the entire dynamic.

One could argue that short term blips are unpredictable, but the long-term averages adhere to some math model(s). But then, how do you explain economic Nobel Prize winner Paul Krugman having such an uncanny knack for getting nearly everything wrong? Economically blinded by TDS?

If so, then how do we know most other economists are not also economically impaired by the same or similar syndromes?

Oh, by the way, I ran out of Markley’s Law posts. The sources dried up early this year.

Stupid, Ignorant, and/or Ill-Mannered

Quote of the Day

You are typical low-IQ Americuck who worships guns to compensate for the size of your dick

Lalo Salamanca (@Jorge_De_Guzman)
Posted on X, February 24, 2025

It’s not only another Markley’s Law Monday; it is another science denier (see also here)!

And, as you might expect is the case with someone this stupid, ignorant, and/or ill mannered, his account is suspended.

It is Probably Projection

Quote of the Day

How many children have we lost in schools because we allow teenagers with small dicks to buy a weapon of war? But we continue to do it because we’re so brilliant and the far right believes that school children are expendable for it. #Assholes.

RobHeartNY @RobHeart44
Posted on X, December 26, 2024

It’s not only another Markley’s Law Monday; it is another science denier (see also here)!

Just to clarify, is he suggesting there should be a penis size requirement before 18- and 19-year-old men can purchase some types of guns? What about women?

The more informative thing about his post is that he believes he can read the minds of “the far right.” I cannot think of anyone on the “far right” who believe this. And, according to history, this is by far more common with people on the political left. Joseph Stalin, Pot Pol, Mao Zedong, and others murdered millions of children in attempts to create a utopia.

It is probably projection on his part. I wonder if it is projection with the small penis thing as well.

Less Boring

Quote of the Day

Remember when you could see yours before your gut got in the way? F’in hick. Yeeehaw!

Christina Zheng @Christilynw
Posted on X, May 30, 2024

It’s not only another Markley’s Law Monday; it is another science denier (see also here)!

I almost like her. She is original enough that her examples of Markley’ Law are significantly less boring that most.

I Partially Concede to Her Expertise

Quote of the Day

hey guys all your dicks are fucking huge now stop buying guns

Sarah Beattie @nachosarah
Posted on X, April 18, 2021

It’s not only another Markley’s Law Monday; it is another science denier (see also here)!

You might ask, “How does she know?” But once you read this from several months earlier, you know:

my mom asked me if I was a lesbian and I was like no way I love big fat cocks in my mouth and she still got upset

Sarah Beattie @nachosarah
Posted on X, August 2, 2020

I concede she has more personal experience on dick size than I do. She is far less qualified on reasons for buying guns. Ignore her on anything related to purchasing guns.

Nothing But Insults

Quote of the Day

If you’re looking for some racist closeted homosexuals with small dicks to block, then look no further than the comment section of the first tweet in this thread

David Leavitt 🎲🎮🧙‍♂️🌈 🔜 #PaxEast @David_Leavitt
Posted on X, May 20, 2024

It’s not only another Markley’s Law Monday; it is another science denier (see also here)!

When the first set of insults did not have the desired result, he just adds more insults. Sometimes quantity has a quality all its own. But not in this case. Insults are no match for SCOTUS decisions.

This Works for Everyone Involved

Quote of the Day

Ah yes, blue-collar workers who stash 20 compensating peashooters that have been gathering dust in their basements longer than they had been diagnosed with diabetes will definitely be at the front lines for a Civil War should the country go to shit.

So dangerous.

Keelthas Jensen @KeelJonLives
Posted on X, June 3, 2024

It’s not only another Markley’s Law Monday; it is another science denier (see also here and here)!

Delusions are often functional (Heinlein). In this case the functionality works for everyone. Jensen gets to feel superior and gun owners get a good measure of the caliber of their political opponents.

Cowards?

Quote of the Day

Nope. I couldn’t care less if you own guns. As long as you’re not pointing one at me, you can own your guns AND keep your dick (small as it is).

Melissa ✡️🌻🇺🇸🫶🏻 (@TheBookN3rd)
Posted on X on September 04, 2024.

It’s not only another Markley’s Law Monday; it is another science denier (see also here and here)!

As is common with people like this, their account no longer exists. I suspect they are cowards and would rather run than face the criticism of making such a childish insult.

Further support for the coward’s hypothesis is their lack of interest in being the first one in the stack while going door-to-door to take all the guns.

Hiding Their Childish Insults

Quote of the Day

Nobody is asking you to do that and nobody is coming for your guns.

We just want you nuts to stop murdering children in schools with your phallic overcompensation guns.

RealRegularAmerican🇺🇸 @RealRegAmerican
Posted on X, August 27, 2024

It’s not only another Markley’s Law Monday; it is another science denier (see also here and here)!

But, as you might expect, with someone unable to defend their position, they resort to childish insults. Their posts are “protected” from being viewed by anyone he does not allow.

And, only if he has his head in the sand can he believe no one is coming for your guns.

Lame and Sad

Quote of the Day

Small dick guys things

amigodasorte @kaiokavi
Posted on X, June 30, 2024

It’s not only another Markley’s Law Monday; it is another science denier (see also here and here)!

Lame. No originality. No interesting twist. Just sad.

There are Drugs and Therapy for That

I find this very telling about their mindset:

Save it, you can jerk off into it tonight while you dream about shooting people

OL @TheWizKid68
Posted on X, May 12, 2024

This was in my set of pending Markley’s Law examples. While it is a sexually related insult to gun owners it is a little too weak for a Markley’s Law Monday posting.

This mindset has the potential to have its own name. The belief that gun owners get sexually aroused by the thought of shooting, or have a desire to shoot, people is surprisingly common.

I think it demonstrates they have a poor theory of mind. There are therapies and drugs that sometimes help these people.

The Science of Gun Ownership and Penis Size

Mostly this is confirmation of what we already knew:

Size Matters? Penis Dissatisfaction and Gun Ownership in America – Terrence D. Hill, Liwen Zeng, Amy M. Burdette, Benjamin Dowd-Arrow, John P. Bartkowski, Christopher G. Ellison, 2024

In this study, we formally examine the association between penis size dissatisfaction and gun ownership in America. The primary hypothesis, derived from the psychosexual theory of gun ownership, asserts that men who are more dissatisfied with the size of their penises will be more likely to personally own guns. To test this hypothesis, we used data collected from the 2023 Masculinity, Sexual Health, and Politics (MSHAP) survey, a national probability sample of 1,840 men, and regression analyses to model personal gun ownership as a function of penis size dissatisfaction, experiences with penis enlargement, social desirability, masculinity, body mass, mental health, and a range of sociodemographic characteristics. We find that men who are more dissatisfied with the size of their penises are less likely to personally own guns across outcomes, including any gun ownership, military-style rifle ownership, and total number of guns owned. The inverse association between penis size dissatisfaction and gun ownership is linear; however, the association is weakest among men ages 60 and older. With these findings in mind, we failed to observe any differences in personal gun ownership between men who have and have not attempted penis enlargement. To our knowledge, this is the first study to formally examine the association between penis size and personal gun ownership in America. Our findings fail to support the psychosexual theory of gun ownership. Alternative theories are posited for the apparent inverse association between penis size dissatisfaction and personal gun ownership, including higher levels of testosterone and constructionist explanations.

There is something new in here. There is an inverse relationship that is useful for us to use. It IS projection:

men who are more dissatisfied with the size of their penises are less likely to personally own guns across outcomes, including any gun ownership, military-style rifle ownership, and total number of guns owned.

See also:

Bonus Points for Originality

Quote of the Day

I’m sorry you feel you need an AR-15 to compensate for your tiny tadger. That’s rough.

Christina Zheng @Christilynw
Posted on X, May 30, 2024

It’s not only another Markley’s Law Monday; it is another science denier (see also here)!

She gets bonus points for originality. This is the first time I have seen the word tadger (also spelled todger).

Of course, as Markley’s Law predicts, she is not smart enough to respond rationally in a gun control debate. She only has insults. We have SCOTUS decisions.

Overwhelmed by Facts and Logic

Quote of the Day

I get it now. Sorry.

A whole bunch of tiny-dicked guys NEED to compensate by owning big boom sticks. But big boom sticks hurt your delicate little ears. Makes perfect sense now.

Allen Butler @ButlerStuff
Posted on X, May 9, 2024

It’s not only another Markley’s Law Monday; it is another science denier (see also here)!

This was in response to Senator Seeks to Remove Suppressors from NFA Regulation – The Truth About Guns. Initially Butler said, “No civilian has any need for a damn silencer!” Then, a few hours later after getting completely ratioed in the responses, he came up with today’s QOTD.

Childish insults. It is what you do when are overwhelmed by facts and logic.

Mockingly

Via Fight With Memes @fightwithmemes:

They are mocking people demonstrating Markley’s Law, so I don’t give them the usual line.

Pathetic

Quote of the Day

I’m sorry about the micropeen, bud.

SoundsLegit @BBludau130
Posted on X, October 26, 2023

It’s not only another Markley’s Law Monday; it is another science denier (see also here)!

This is just pathetic. We need a higher quality of troll to make things interesting. Give me a minute. I will probably make another post that is more interesting.

Satire?

Quote of the Day

And don’t forget these weapons of mass murder help people with small penises feel like men

Woke Mind Virus (@mousepoop)
Posted on X, August 21, 2023

It is possible this is a satire account. I am just not quite sure. Still… it matches the pattern. Therefore, it’s not only another Markley’s Law Monday; it is another science denier (see also here)!

Citation Needed

To liven up the rather boring ordinary Markley’s Law Monday QOTD, I offer this:

Jazz fans and gun owners are apparently among the most sexually active Americans. #SexTrivia

Swingles @swingles
Posted on X, August 14, 2023

I have no idea what the basis for this is. And I’ve asked two different chat bots who also come up empty. Here is what Grok has to say:

Joe: Someone on X claims, “Jazz fans and gun owners are apparently among the most sexually active Americans.” Is there any truth to this?

Grok: There’s no direct, credible evidence from recent studies or data that specifically links jazz fans and gun owners to being “among the most sexually active Americans.” The claim seems to stem from a mix of speculation, anecdotal chatter, or possibly a misreading of unrelated research, but it doesn’t hold up under scrutiny based on available information.

Let’s break it down:

  1. Jazz Fans: No studies in the provided context or broader research landscape tie jazz fandom to sexual activity rates. Music preference might influence mood or social behavior—plenty of people associate jazz with romance or seduction—but there’s no data showing jazz fans as a group are notably more sexually active than others. It’s a stretch without evidence.
  2. Gun Owners: There’s been some research on gun ownership and sexual behavior, but it debunks rather than supports the claim. A 2021 study in the American Journal of Men’s Health analyzed data from 780 men and found no association between sexual dysfunction and gun ownership. This counters older psychoanalytic theories (e.g., guns as phallic symbols tied to virility), but it doesn’t suggest gun owners are more sexually active either—just that there’s no link to dysfunction. Sexual activity frequency wasn’t directly measured in this context, and no other recent, representative surveys connect gun ownership to higher sexual activity.
  3. Overlap or Generalization: The X claim might be riffing off stereotypes—jazz fans as passionate, gun owners as assertive—but stereotypes aren’t data. The 2015 Harvard/Northeastern survey on gun ownership (55 million U.S. owners, 3% owning half the guns) and Pew’s 2017 gun owner demographics (30% of adults) give us numbers but say nothing about sexual habits. Similarly, no national surveys like the General Social Survey tie music tastes and gun ownership to sex.

Without a specific, peer-reviewed study backing this exact claim—and none appears in recent literature or the search context—it’s likely just a provocative quip from X, not a fact. People throw out wild assertions online all the time, and this one smells like it’s more about attention than accuracy. If someone’s got a study from 2024 or early 2025 I haven’t seen, I’d be happy to reconsider, but as of now, it’s baseless.

What do you think—did the X poster cite anything, or was it just a hot take?

Joe: I suspect it was just someone trying to get attention by saying something controversial.

Grok: Yeah, that tracks. X is a breeding ground for attention-grabbers tossing out wild claims with no substance. “Jazz fans and gun owners are the horniest Americans” has that perfect mix of quirky and edgy to bait reactions—doesn’t need to be true, just loud. Probably worked, too, since we’re talking about it. Classic move. Anything else from X catching your eye lately?

Nothing to Contribute

Quote of the Day

There you go again, denying your urgent need to prop up your squashed penis with a weapon.

JAY carreon (@JAYcarreon6)
Posted on X, July 8, 2023

It’s not only another Markley’s Law Monday; it is another science denier (see also here)!

Obviously, he has nothing of value to contribute to the conversation. It should come as no surprise his account has been suspended.

No Meat Brought to the Table

Quote of the Day

Sorry about your small dick Cletus. 🙄

MAGA Mocker (@MAGAmocker)
Posted on X, August 11, 2023

It’s not only another Markley’s Law Monday; it is another science denier (see also here)!

Also, the account has been suspended. Which tells you how little meat they brought to the table.