Temperature and Humidity Stability

This is the hottest part of the year, and my underground bunker is keeping it’s cool:

The ragged sort of sine wave line was the outdoor temperature over the last 24 hours. The other lines are the temperatures of the rooms with thermostats in them. There has not been any artificial heat in weeks and never any cooling. The bedroom is a little warmer that Barb likes for sleeping but I think if we opened two windows at night and put fans in the windows, we could cool the bedroom down to her ideal of 66 F.

The humidity varies from 45.2% to 53.3% That’s near ideal.

First Amendment Issue, RIght?

Via Chuck Petras @Chuck_Petras:

This has to be a First Amendment Issue, right? Please tell me these types of laws are going to get slapped down.

Intention Becomes Execution

Quote of the Day

Elon Musk just told the highest-paid profession on earth it was never a skill. It was a workaround.

AI no longer needs programming languages at all. It writes machine code directly. Raw binary optimized beyond anything human logic could produce.

No syntax. No compiler. No translator.

Musk: “You don’t even bother doing coding.”

Every language ever written. Every framework ever built. Every career spent mastering them.

All of it was humanity’s way of approximating what machines actually needed. We didn’t learn to speak to computers. We spent fifty years building a crutch because we couldn’t.

AI just made the crutch irrelevant.

Now add Neuralink. No keyboard. No screen. No interface.

Musk: “Imagination-to-software.”

Intention becomes execution. Nothing between what you imagine and what exists.

Humanity spent its entire history building tools to shrink the gap between mind and reality. Language. Writing. Mathematics. Code.

Every one was just a smaller bottleneck. AI doesn’t shrink the bottleneck. It removes the gap.

The entire framework of technical expertise just collapsed into one question. Can you think clearly.

Everyone else is debating how AI changes development. Musk already moved past the debate. He’s not optimizing the process. He’s dissolving the need for one.

The barrier between imagination and reality held for all of human history. It just fell.

Dustin @r0ck3t23
Posted on X July 10, 2026

Just one question, “Can you think clearly?” <SNORT!!>

That is hilarious. There are surprising number of people that contradict themselves in a single written sentence. Just imagine what looking under that hood at their thought patterns would be like!

But let’s go with it for a bit. Imagine if there was no practical way for a human to review programs before they were deployed. That is what this proposal means.

Programs thought into being by 1,000 different madmen will attempt genocide of Christians. A different set of 100,000 madmen will attempt the complete annihilation of all people of Jewish heritage. And others of white, black, brown, and/or yellow skin color would be targeted for extinction. The existence of source code in the present-day world offers some hope of detection and remediation of the killer code.

And if there were no source code a rogue AI could infect every other AI with near zero ability for humans or benign AI to detect the situation before it was too late.

Imagine all the world’s industrial controllers, vehicles, medical equipment, food supply chains, electrical systems, water supplies, pharmaceuticals, and machines of war are secretly programmed to kill as many humans as possible starting on January 1, 2030, 00:00 UTC. With no way to know all the computers were about to flip a bit and change from obedient servants to apex predators we would be caught totally by surprise. Even if a critical mass of people did survive and eventually suppress the new super predator, there would be no way to quickly recover. Essentially every computer from the one in your watch to the computers in your appliances and even sewers could have a seed of the virus that given a semi-fertile place to grow could reconquer the world and be smarter about it the next time. The survivors would have to destroy or completely isolate every computer on the planet and start up our technology chain again… if they dared.

Fun times huh?

On the other hand, while this might technically be possible it seems unlikely. Programs are seldom written just once and never changed. They are extended with new features added. Bugs are found and fixed. Going into an optimized executable file and adding a new feature is really, really tough compared to having a higher-level language that allows insertions, deletions, and corrections of any size.

Grok seems to concur that it seems unlikely to occur anytime soon:

Unlikely in the dramatic form described. Here’s why:

  • AI is augmenting, not replacing, the stack yet: Modern LLMs excel at high-level languages (Python, Rust, etc.) because that’s what vast training data contains. They can generate assembly/machine code for specific tasks, but full complex programs (OS kernels, databases, GUIs) still rely on structured languages, libraries, tooling, testing, and human oversight for reliability, security, and maintainability. Direct binary output would be brittle—tiny changes in hardware, OS, or requirements break it without easy debugging.
  • Interfaces are improving fast: Voice, multimodal (e.g., Grok), and brain-computer interfaces will make “describe what you want” much more powerful. We’re already seeing AI agents handle end-to-end tasks. But “imagination-to-software with zero gap” requires massive leaps in reasoning, planning, verification, and hardware integration. Near-term: much less boilerplate and faster prototyping. Not the end of programming languages.
  • Real trends supporting parts of it:
    • AI is generating huge amounts of code in startups and tools.
    • Small dependencies/libraries may decline as AI “vibe codes” one-off solutions.
    • Binary analysis/reverse engineering is getting easier with AI, weakening “security by obscurity” for closed software.

But open source isn’t dying—it’s evolving amid challenges like maintainer overload from AI slop.

So, I don’t think AI will entirely skip the source code step entirely. It might create a new programming language that human cannot understand without an interpreter. But I think that should be a red line that it is not allowed to cross.

Deep Thoughts

Quote of the Day

Dustin @r0ck3t23
Posted on X July 13, 2026

Reality is tough. Really, really tough. The revealing of reality could be the toughest problem of all time.

I’ve said this many times before and frequently remind people at work: We have to formulate the correct problem statement to solve the problem.

I’m not convinced Musk has formulated the correct problem statement. But I am certain I do not have a better one.

Benefit of Premium, Ethanol Free, Gasoline

I have mentioned using ethanol free gasoline to avoid paying some of the Washington state gas tax. I also discovered that my car gets much better gas mileage with premium ethanol free gas. So much so that even when driving up and down steep mountain roads, that if I am driving under 55 MPH, I get incredible range. This is what my 2025 Ford Escape (2.0L EcoBoost Gas Engine AWD) reported when I filled up after our Mount Rainier hike on Sunday:

This is just under 39 MPG.

The Engine Control Unit (ECU) adjusts the boost pressure from the turbo and the timing to match the gasoline and “magic” happens.

Copilot reports on the situation:

1. Higher octane kept timing fully advanced

On long climbs and descents around Mount Rainier, the engine sits in a sweet spot:

  • Moderate boost
  • High airflow
  • Steady load
  • Good exhaust energy

With premium fuel, the ECU doesn’t have to pull timing. That alone can improve efficiency by 5–10% in a turbo engine.

2. EcoBoost engines are extremely efficient at steady-state mountain driving

Turbo engines often get better MPG in hilly terrain because:

  • The turbo recovers exhaust energy
  • The engine stays in an efficient RPM band
  • You avoid the constant stop‑and‑go of city driving

The 2.0L EcoBoost’s BSFC map (Brake Specific Fuel Consumption) has a very efficient island around the mid‑load range you were likely in.

Your mileage may vary.

Thermal Stablity

About two weeks ago I turned off the heat in my underground bunker in Idaho. I wanted to see what the baseline temperature would be. It varies by room. This is probably because of the computers I have in the office and proximity to other miscellaneous heat sources like the hot water heater and depth of the overhead earth for each of the rooms.

But what is most interesting to me is that the temperature is almost independent of the outside temperature:

With the exterior temperature removed from the graph you can see the coupling to the outside temperature is, at best, a very small fraction of the outside temperature and with a phase shift of about one day.

That means the heating system does not have to deal with the daily extremes. It only has to deal with the daily average. And I think this means that it will not need any cooling. I will know for certain in about six weeks when we will be through the hottest part of the year in my neighborhood.

AI Has a Place for You

Quote of the Day

In systems engineering terms, reliability improves most when the human is treated as a probabilistic cognitive processor surrounded by deterministic support systems that compensate for the specific interface properties humans satisfy poorly. The human remains in the loop, but the interface contract is reshaped to fit human strengths rather than forcing human behavior to approximate software.*

ChatGPT
June 22, 2026

Emphasis added.

I thought people would like to know AI still sees a place for you in their new world order. There, you feel better, right? You know the future still has a job for you as a probabilistic cognitive processor.

At least for now.


* This was part of the response to this query:

When a human is the physical implementation of a logical component of a Security Operations Center, what are the interface specification elements that are hardest to satisfy consistently and what would it take to make that implementation more reliable without necessarily replacing the human with automation?

Losing the Faith

Quote of the Day

Capriole Investments’ institutional buying model, which tracks Bitcoin demand from ETFs, corporate treasuries, and miner issuance, shows net institutional selling at around 450% of daily mined supply, equivalent to about 2,000 BTC per day.

In other words, large holders are selling 4-5x more Bitcoin than is mined each day.

Spot Bitcoin ETFs appear to be the biggest drag. Their flow line has fallen sharply below zero, suggesting ETF outflows are now overwhelming other sources of demand.

In the past month, for instance, these funds have witnessed nearly $27 billion in withdrawals, according to data resource Glassnode.

Yashu Gola
June 10, 2026
Bitcoin price may slide toward $30K as institutions dump 450% of daily BTC supply

It appears to me more people are losing faith in Bitcoin.

Prepare appropriately.

AI Agents Let You Automate the Shooting

Today, after completing this course, I came to the conclusion a friend at Mandiant was correct.

Several months ago, my Mandiant friend told me that AI is making things better for cyber attackers than cyber defenders. It was his belief that it increased the defenders attack surface more than it enabled us to rapidly defend ourselves. I wasn’t totally convinced until today.

There are just so many ways that AI’s can be subverted. And to make things worse our management is literally saying, “Everyone should be programming now.”

A few weeks back, I was helping a senior manager, who only wrote a few hundred lines of code a couple of decades ago get through the V.P. required coding exercise for all managers. She did okay. She didn’t really like doing it, but she had a Python program that accomplished the task she wanted to do. Python dominates in the security field. It has its advantages, but if you want performance and stable programs that are moderately large, you are much better off with a statically typed language rather than the dynamic typed Python.

To the naive it may seem that if you can get some code to do what you want it then you are done. Ahhh… no. There are reasons why software developers have version control systems, development, staging, and production systems, unit tests, test driven development, stress tests, code reviews, static and dynamic analysis tools, mutexes, semaphores, locks, locking objects, profilers, and interrupt driven drivers. Management is not going to be able to save money by laying off all the senior developers and writing their own code or even turning the development over to developers with a year or two of experience. I have heard it said that every item on a pilot check list was paid for by the death of one or more people who learned the hard way why that item was important. A similar thing is true with software development. And even if you tell your favorite AI to write safe code and to review it. There will be “issues” that may be accidents, or an agent gone rogue. But there will be issues that people will pay a high price for.

After finishing the course, I had a discussion with Chat GPT on this and related topics. During the course of the discussion it told me a joke that rang just a little too true:

As an old C programmer, you may appreciate another version of the joke:

Dynamic languages let you shoot yourself in the foot faster.

AI agents let you automate the shooting.

The Last Trillionaire Must Die

Quote of the Day

At 10:01 a.m. on June 12, 2026, Graham Platner, the freshly minted Democratic nominee for U.S. Senate in Maine, posted the following on X:

“Elon Musk just became the world’s first trillionaire.

Let’s make sure he’s also the last.”

No policy proposal. No discussion of tax brackets, carried-interest loopholes, or regulatory reform. Just a flat, public declaration that the existence of a single individual who has accumulated more wealth than any human in history is an intolerable moral emergency that must be prevented from ever happening again.

The sentence is not a critique of monopoly power, regulatory capture, or government favoritism. It is a death sentence pronounced on the category of human being who creates at scale.

It is the purest distillation of socialist psychology yet uttered by a major-party Senate candidate in the United States: Excellence has occurred. Make sure it never occurs again.

This is not an aberration. It is the logical endpoint of everything Platner has signaled since he entered the race.

The correct response to “Let’s make sure he’s also the last” is not a technocratic defense of marginal tax rates.

It is a full-throated defense of the right of human beings to achieve without limit and without apology. It is the recognition that the alternative to Musk-scale creation is not a more equitable distribution of existing goods.

It is a slower, poorer, grayer world in which the best anyone can hope for is to be slightly less mediocre than their neighbors.

Maine does not need another politician who resents the existence of greatness.

It needs a political culture that treats the creation of a trillion dollars of value as evidence of national vitality rather than moral emergency.

The man who can make reusable rockets routine, who can force the automotive industry to electrify faster than it wanted to, who can put global communications infrastructure in orbit while governments dither…this man is not the problem. He is the proof that the problem is elsewhere.

Graham Platner’s tweet is a window into the soul of a politics that has given up on creation and now contents itself with the management of decline.

The only question left is whether the voters of Maine…and eventually the country…will ratify that surrender or reject it with the same ferocity that built the civilization now under attack.

The first trillionaire exists.

The question is not whether we can prevent another. The question is whether we still have the will to produce one.

LHGrey
June 12, 2026
The Last Trillionaire Must Die: Graham Platner’s Envious Death Wish and the Socialist Pathology of Resentment

See also the post on X.

I wish I could write like her. I am left nearly speechless after I read anything she writes.

ATF Annual Firearms Manufacturing & Export Report

Ry Jones created the AFMER Explorer for us.

ATF Annual Firearms Manufacturing & Export Report — per-manufacturer production, 2000–2024. Data is loaded and queried entirely in your browser.

Very cool.

A New Form of Aluminum is a Catalyst

I’m not a chemist and chemistry was always difficult for me, but this seems like a big deal:

New form of aluminum could replace precious metals for a fraction of the cost

…from King’s College London, where a team of researchers working alongside chemists from Trinity College Dublin has managed to put together a brand new form of the metal that could replace these pricier options. The metal has been engineered into a new molecule, which they call cyclotrialumane. It is basically three aluminum atoms bonded together in a triangle, making it a trimer.

The molecule has shown early promise in the lab, suggesting it could eventually help drive important chemical reactions. The researchers were able to use it to split dihydrogen, the H2 molecules that make up hydrogen gas. Splitting the hydrogen molecule is the main driver of hydrogen energy production, and the same process that runs hydrogen-powered vehicles, so this could help with clean fuel production. The molecule also acted as a catalyst in the controlled chain growth of ethene, which happens to be one of the main building blocks of plastics.

Then there is the weird stuff. Bakewell and her team found that reacting the trimer with ethene creates ring structures that nobody has documented before. These include rings built out of five and seven atoms of aluminum and carbon mixed together. That hints at a whole new class of reactions that go past what platinum and palladium can manage on their own.

So… catalytic converters, fuel cells, and many devices used in thousands of other chemical processes may get much cheaper. Interesting.

And I thought transparent aluminum was a big deal. This could be much bigger.

I Told You So

Quote of the Day

The James Webb Space Telescope has uncovered something profoundly eerie in the depths of the cosmos: vast, synchronized patterns in ancient galaxies that hint at one of the most mind-bending ideas in physics—that our entire universe might be trapped inside a supermassive black hole.

Black Hole @konstructivizm
Posted on X May 21, 2026

I hypothesized this years ago and I told you so then. There were others before me as well, but it is interesting to see direct evidence of it. But, as of yet, I have not seen anyone confirming the aspect of the black hole is pulling us along the time axis of four-dimensional space. There is still time for that.

My Pascal’s Wager

My Teams post in the CIA Covert Comms Channel today:

I am always very polite to our AI Overlords. It is my Pascal’s Wager to perhaps put me low on Skynet’s kill list.

The Most Powerful Thing America Ever Did Wasn’t Building the Bomb

Quote of the Day

Musk: “After World War 2, the US could have basically taken over the world and any country. Like we got nukes, nobody else got nukes. We don’t even have to lose soldiers. Which country do you want?”

One nation on earth held a weapon nobody else had.

Total dominance. Zero competition. No risk of retaliation.

Every empire in history that held that kind of advantage used it.

Rome. The Mongols. The British. The Ottomans.

They conquered until they collapsed.

America had a bigger advantage than all of them combined.

And it rebuilt the countries it just defeated.

Musk: “The United States actually helped rebuild countries. So it helped rebuild Europe, it helped rebuild Japan. This is very unusual behavior, almost unprecedented.”

Almost unprecedented?

It had never happened before. Not once in 5,000 years of recorded history.

We’re approaching a moment that mirrors 1945 in ways nobody has fully processed yet.

AI is going to give a handful of people a power advantage that makes nuclear monopoly look quaint.

If someone is going to hold that kind of power, who do you want it to be?

The country that conquered when it could? Or the one that rebuilt when it didn’t have to?

Every alliance. Every trade route. Every economy.

Billions lifted out of poverty.

All of it traces back to one act of restraint that had never been done before.

And carries no guarantee of being repeated.

The most powerful thing America ever did wasn’t building the bomb.

It was what it didn’t do after.

Dustin @r0ck3t23
Posted on X May 13, 2026

Past performance is no guarantee of future results. But in the absence of other data, it is the way to bet.

We live in interesting times.

The Smallest Things

Via email from Chris M. we have an example of how difficult complete privacy is:

Surveillance Via Smart Toothbrush – Schneier on Security

a marital affair was discovered because the cheater was recorded using his smart toothbrush at home when he was supposed to be at work.

Private investigator reveals how a TOOTHBRUSH can prove if your partner is cheating | Daily Mail Online

Paul worked with a client who became suspicious of her husband after noticing unusual times he’d brush his teeth. She had installed a smart electric toothbrush app to help encourage their kids to brush properly but the app also tracked every session for the whole family.

“Over time, the client noticed their partner’s brushing history was being logged at odd times, times when they were supposedly at work,” Paul explained. At first, it didn’t seem like much, brushing late in the morning on Fridays didn’t raise immediate red flags.

“And in that time he had started an affair with a work colleague and used to have her over the family home on a Friday when the wife and kids were out of the house,” he added.

I no longer work in the Cyber Threat Intelligence group at work, but when I was on the team our analysists would sometimes track down bad guys over the course of months of collecting “breadcrumbs”. The bad guys would post things that in of themselves were essentially useless. But cumulatively they added up to positive identification and location of perpetrators who had defraud the company and/or our customers of millions and some cases of tens of millions of dollars.

One example I participated in was as follows. The analysts noticed large numbers of nearly identical messages would be posted on multiple Telegraph channels by a criminal claiming ability to defraud our company and his willingness, for a price, to teach others how to do the same thing. I wrote a program that would find all the users names associated with publishing these nearly identical messages. It turned out that occasionally the same message would be posted by two different users names within a few seconds of each other in different channels. One user would post the message in one or two channels. The other user would post it in 20 channels. The one channel posting username would “drop off the radar” at the same time as the new username posting in 20 channels appeared. It was, almost for certain, the same person changing their username over time.

Hence, we could track the same person over a year or more even though he changed his username every few weeks. This allowed us to find a lot more breadcrumbs to narrow the search.

These perps would drop social hints such they were at a party, but they had to leave soon because it was 2:00 AM. By comparing the stated time to the UTC timestamp in the channel, we could determine the time zone they are in. They would post a picture holding something in their hand proving they had defrauded the company. Now we know their skin color and perhaps the color of their watch. When searching social media posts for information about the party we could use the skin and watch color to tie the fraudster username to a social media account. If the electronic object they posted had a clock on it and it is outside, from the shadows we can get an approximation of the latitude they were at. If they would post the social handle of their girlfriend, now we have more breadcrumbs to collect. The girlfriend would post a picture of a scenic site. Now we can do reverse images searches to find that landscape or better yet, a famous building. Now we have their residence or vacation location within a few dozen miles. Or that identical picture would show up in a social media account. Bingo!

The smallest things add up.

People have concerns about electronics in their homes and vehicles spying on them. Yes, this is a concern. These things can be firehoses of information and the smallest things add up.

But keep in mind that it is possible to create an Internet of Things (IoT) enabled house without leaking information to everyone. It is more work than using Amazon’s Alexia or Google Nest, and you probably have to be a geek of some sort to push through some of the issues. * But you can completely isolate a “Smart Home” from the Internet and still use it for monitoring and controlling your home. You would have to be home to access the data or change the programming, but you can do some amazing things. Or you can pay a few dollars a month and access it via https (encrypted) connections from anywhere you have Internet service.

Because I am away from my underground bunker most of the time, at least for now, I chose to pay a few dollars to access it remotely.

I have hundreds of sensors in my underground bunker. Walking through you probably would only see dozen or so at most. But that thermometer also has a humidity sensor in it. That makes twice as many sensors as you first thought and the measurements they report give you more information than you might guess. I could tell what room a contractor was working in because the humidity and temperature would rise if they spent more than a few minutes in a room. When a contractor would paint, then the humidity would go way up. I set up leak alarms (the alert would be on my phone, not in the room) based on high humidity and once the painting done by the contractor set off the leak detection logic.

For people who can’t imagine why they would want their house instrumented, I know two homes that were severely damaged due to leaks. One summer home was completely destroyed because it sat for months with the basement overflowing with water. Brother Doug’s home had the tubing to the toilet rust out and spew water for several hours in an upstairs bathroom. That destroyed drywall on the main floor and basement and flooring on the upstairs floor and main floor. A few years later a second flood was caused by squirrels nesting in the drain leading water from around the basement. A heavy rainstorm put about two inches of water in the basement and even though Brother Doug was in the house he did not notice for over a day because he did not go into the basement. With leak sensors and/or high humidity alarms he and his wife would have saved thousands of dollars and many hours of time.

I use temperature sensors to optimize the use of a geothermal heat pump, the buffer tank, the hybrid water heater, and secondary electrical resistance heating in my underground bunker. With remote access, the outside door light can automatically be turned on when you are driving home in the dark and get within 100 yards of the door. That probably isn’t that much interest to city dwellers, but when there are no streetlights, a little extra light getting into the house can be quite welcome. Motion sensors and door opening sensors can be used to detect someone moving around in your home when you are not there and send an alert to your phone.

If you don’t mind being spied on by your appliances** you could get alerts if you left a refrigerator or freezer door open. You can get an alert the drier has completed its job, and you should get your clothes out before they wrinkle, and you get notified with it is time for the water filter in youf refrigerator to be changed. You don’t remember if you turned off the oven and you are a block away from your house on the way to work? The app for your oven can tell you whether you need to return home or continue to work without worrying about it. You can open the garage door remotely and watch on a webcam as FedEx delivers a large package. And/or you could get an alert if someone else opened the door when you did not expect it.

Barb is pretty vehement about not wanting her house to spy on her. But after Brother Doug’s second house flood, she put something like ten leak sensors in various places around her house.

Depending on which leak sensor gets wet, my underground bunker computer will do more than just fire an alert. If appropriate, it will turn off the water supply, the water heater, and the water conditioner.

Operated by five-year batteries, leak sensors can be discretely placed in out of the way places and provide peace of mind without significant information being leaked. There is a remaining battery life sensor and a binary “wet”/”dry” sensor. Even if they were hacked or the manufacturer collected usage data, what do you care about that information being obtained by others?

The underground bunker is more fire resistant than most homes. But I can remotely turn on outdoor sprinklers to protect the backup generator, electrical meter, well, bunker doors, and windows. Short of deliberate human acts, the bunker exterior complex should be fireproof.

Yes, the smallest details can add up to useful knowledge for an adversary if someone is willing to spend the time. But a lot of life is about tradeoffs. For me, I was able to get good enough privacy and significantly improved quality of life and improved remote security of my underground bunker by creating a “Smart Home.” Your mileage will vary.


* Check out Home Assistant if you are interested in going down this path.

** GE appliances require you to connect them to the Internet and use their app to utilize the “smart features”, other appliances may vary.

You Could be Replaced by a Very Small Shell Script

Quote of the Day

Vibe coding feels productive. You ship fast, things look cool, and there’s momentum. But under the hood:

  • Code quality often drops
  • Scalability becomes an afterthought
  • Debugging turns into a nightmare
  • Technical debt builds up silently

Vibe Coach
April 22, 2026
(28) Post | LinkedIn

The above is true, and several other things are issues as well. A case could be made that it is not worth the benefits–at least for today.

Six months ago, I had no concern that AI was going to replace my job as a software engineer. Today, I know it is going to happen. I can still review the AI written code, find, and fix problems before it is deployed. I make it more efficient. I make it more maintainable. I make it easier to extend. I make it use less memory. I find and fix potential race condition. * I find and fix edge cases with parameter validation and unexpected responses from other systems.

But I expect that six months from now AI can do all that as well as I can and do it in 1/1000th of the time it takes me–assuming it still makes those mistakes.

When I first started programming it was on an analog computer with patch cables, precision potentiometers, and capacitors (to make integrators), with an ink and paper plotter for the output. The digital computer I learned to program that same semester took its input, both code and data, on punched cards. The output was on a line printer which sounded something like a rotary saw cutting through plywood.

The teletype with a line editor connected to the main frame a year or two later was an incredible upgrade. And I could save my programs and data on disk! No more punched card decks!

My first personal computer, and IBM XT, had a 10 Mbyte hard drive, and I edited my first programs with EDLIN (another line editor).

After working for a few years, I went to graduate school. I remember the computer room having signs on the wall about introductions to something called a “visual editor.” Whatever, I thought. The line editors I was accustomed to were visual. What are they talking about? I then looked over someone’s shoulder using a “visual editor” and seeing what you could do was almost orgasmic.

After a few years more “Integrated Development Environments” (IDE) came out. I mostly ignored them. The visual editor I was using was fine, I would exit, run “make” and then invoke the debugger, visual editor, whatever, again as required. A few years more and the IDE was vastly superior to separate tools.

The evolving IDEs were good for a couple decades and occasionally code generators would make specialized code (I wrote one when I worked at Qualcomm in the early and mid 2010s).

About two years ago I started asking chatbots to write a few code snippets which I would copy and paste into my programs. It was surprisingly good. But, if you asked it to make a program which collected traffic data from the firewalls, correlated the IPs and domain address with lists of known bad IPs and domains, then put our network computers which had connections to these known bad IPs and domains into a graphic database with all the connections and attempted connections the answer would be, “Sorry. I can’t do that.” I know because I tried.

Today, if I were to make that request it would ask a few questions, then it would write the code and add features I had not thought of. Oh, and I could make the request and answer the questions either by text or speaking it into my headset. **

Sometime, in very near future, Claude Mythos (and probably others) will be released. Here is what is showing up in tests of the preview:

Claude Mythos Preview is a general-purpose, unreleased frontier model that reveals a stark fact: AI models have reached a level of coding capability where they can surpass all but the most skilled humans at finding and exploiting software vulnerabilities.

Mythos Preview has already found thousands of high-severity vulnerabilities, including some in every major operating system and web browser. Given the rate of AI progress, it will not be long before such capabilities proliferate, potentially beyond actors who are committed to deploying them safely. The fallout—for economies, public safety, and national security—could be severe.

My sources tell me, “It’s more powerful than they say.”

It took many years to go from the first line editor to the first “visual editor”. It took more years to get to an IDE superior to independent tools. If you were to plot the capabilities of programming development environments versus time with a log scale for the capabilities, you would probably still have an exponential looking curve for a linear time axis. That is, I suspect the exponent of the capabilities is increasing.

I’m reminded of an email conversation I had with one of my blog readers who used to work at Microsoft the same time I did. A snippet of his musings (from April 2, 2025):

The Home Economics class of tomorrow won’t be teaching kids how to cook but rather teaching them how to write prompts.

And if you don’t think this is happening today, look at the kids writing prompts to create high quality AI video content used in ads, anime videos, even porn. We’re starting to see more prompt writers, and prompt writers are becoming tomorrow’s artists.

Tomorrow’s billionaires? Some will be the same as today’s billionaires; the people who can help you create what’s in your imagination. Microsoft Word and PowerPoint let you create what’s in your head today.  AI engines and powerful, flexible, simple prompt syntaxes will let people create what’s in their imaginations tomorrow, and the inventors of those engines and syntax structures will become billionaires.

Who knows. Perhaps the very best engines, the best syntaxes, and the best prompt writers will find their way into the design team for the very first NCC 1701.

I was skeptical and responded:

You make some good points, but I suspect they won’t be valid for very long. Perhaps a few months. I think what will happen is the chatbots will “learn” that the requirements are insufficiently detailed, and it will ask, just as your waiter/waitress might, “Thin or thick crust?” And the same for other ambiguous requests of every type.

I asked Copilot and Grok for opinions on the prompt engineers. Here is a portion of the response I was expecting (emphasis added):

I’d push back a bit: he assumes AI will stay “dumb” about context forever, requiring humans to spoon-feed it every detail. Today’s AI already shows signs of improvement. Advanced models can infer intent from vague prompts by learning user preferences over time or pulling context from past interactions. Imagine a Star Trek replicator that knows Captain Picard’s “Hot” means 85°C because he’s ordered it 47 times before, or that “Earl Grey” implies a medium-steeped brew based on his British leanings. Future AI could ask clarifying questions—“Do you want your pizza spicy or just hot from the oven?”—or use sensors to detect your mood and adjust the recipe. This adaptability might reduce the need for “professional” prompt writers, at least for everyday tasks.

On April 28, 2025, I sent him this:

Tech’s hottest job has imploded https://www.linkedin.com/news/story/Tech-s-hottest-job-has-imploded-7278658

From that posting:

The development of artificial intelligence is moving so fast, reports The Wall Street Journal, that one of the field’s hottest jobs — prompt engineering — is already on its way out. Just a couple of years ago, companies would pay up to $200,000 to have someone “crafting the exact right inputs” to produce useful results from large language models. But as models have gotten smarter, and more employees are trained on prompting, there’s simply less call for dedicated prompt engineers.

Yesterday morning my manager sent our team a link to …/prompt-master: A Claude skill that writes the accurate prompts for any AI tool. Zero tokens or credits wasted. Full context and memory retention · GitHub.

My job, as it exists today, will be obsolete within a few dozen weeks. It may take a few months for management to have confidence in the AI results, but the future is clear. And I expect most white-collar jobs, at nearly any level, will soon be replaceable “by a very small shell script.” ***

We live in interesting times.


* Bugs that may only show up when the timing is just right and hence exhibit noticeable (possibly catastrophic) symptoms as infrequently as once per hour/day/week.

** And we all laughed in Star Trek IV: The Voyage Home when Scotty tried to interact with a computer by speaking to the mouse as if it were a microphone. We are now truly living in the future.

*** A geeky insult from 2003.

Faster Please

Quote of the Day

In experiments using a mouse model of colorectal cancer, researchers observed an extraordinary outcome after administering E. americana through a single intravenous injection. The treatment completely eliminated tumors in every case, resulting in a 100% complete response (CR) rate. This level of effectiveness was far greater than what is typically seen with established cancer therapies such as immune checkpoint inhibitors (anti-PD-L1 antibody) and the chemotherapy drug liposomal doxorubicin (chemotherapy agent).

Japan Advanced Institute of Science and Technology
April 10, 2026
Naturally Occurring Bacteria Completely Eradicate Tumors in Mice With a Single Dose

Looking at the “future directions” in the article, I found it odd there was no mention of moving toward use in treating human cancers. Perhaps other scientists will pick up on this and see if it works in humans.

Not Wrong

There is more than a little truth to this.

Imagine What a Fully Free Society Could Build

Quote of the Day

The average American today lives better than John D. Rockefeller did in 1926. That is not an exaggeration. It is a fact.

Rockefeller could not fly across the country in five hours. You can for $200. He could not video call his family from another continent. You do it for free. He had no antibiotics, no MRI, no air conditioning in July. He could not carry every book ever written in his pocket. You are reading this on a device that does all of that and more.

Americans throw away 30-40% of their food. Not because they are wasteful, but because food is so abundant that waste is affordable. Your car has climate control, navigation, and safety systems that did not exist at any price a century ago. Your home has heating, cooling, refrigeration, and entertainment that emperors could not have imagined.

None of this was voted into existence. None of it was redistributed from the rich. It was created by free minds operating in what remains of a free market. Every comfort you enjoy today is the product of a man who thought, invented, produced, and traded voluntarily.

This is what the remnants of capitalism still deliver, even while it is being dismantled. Imagine what a fully free society could build.

The Rational Animal 🤔 @theobjectivist
Posted on X, April 3, 2026

I have nothing to add.