Supervolcano Awakening

Quote of the Day

A long-slumbering “supervolcano” in Italy is getting closer to a potential eruption for the first time since 1538, a new study warns — and the consequences could be catastrophic.

If Campi Flegrei were to reenact its largest previous eruption, it would punch molten rock and volcanic gases high into the stratosphere, unleash 100-feet-high (33.5 meters) tsunamis and spread a plume of sulfur and toxic ash that could plunge Earth into global winter for years — killing crops and causing mass extinctions.

Ben Turner
June 19, 2023
Europe’s most dangerous ‘supervolcano’ could be creeping toward eruption, scientists warn

Prepare appropriately.

I want my underground bunker in Idaho.

Of course, then, the Yellowstone supervolcano becomes a threat. I once read that if it were to blow like it did last time all life within a 600-mile circle would be killed. I looked at the distance from the center of the Yellowstone volcano to my property. It is about 325 miles. I should be fine.

Decline in the Number of Farms

Study shows farms on decline, posing risks to future food supply

The world’s farms are disappearing.

A new study out of the University of Colorado, Boulder found that the number of farms globally will shrink in half by the end of the century.

“The most striking finding that comes out of this work is that globally…we’ll see a tipping point from farm creation to farm consolidation,” said Zia Mehrabi, an assistant professor at the University of Colorado, Boulder and author of the study.

Why is this happening? One reason, the study mentions, is because there are not enough people to do farm work as people move from rural areas to cities.

The research also mentions the average existing farm will double in size by the end of the century.

My family has been farming on South Road in Clearwater county for almost 130 years. That will end in a few years when my brothers retire. The land will probably be rented to one or more younger farmers giving them larger farms that ours. Other neighbors are considering subdividing into individual homesites.

It is sad, but unless there is a cure for aging there just aren’t enough people interested in farm work these days.

Federal AutoMatch Target Grade 22 LR Ammo from Wideners

About a month ago I received an email from Widener’s Reloading & Shooting Supply. In part it said:

We recently updated the front end of the Widener’s website, if you have a moment, you can check it out here. The basic idea is to make the site easier to navigate so customers can find products more quickly. We’re still working out some of the bugs, so if you see anything that could be improved, feel free to let me know.

I’m reaching out to see if you’d be interested in shopping our updated website and reviewing your experience along with some ammo on blog.joehuffman.org. As you know, product reviews are an opportunity to increase website traffic and build a stronger relationship with your audience. Sharing your online shopping experiences with your audience can also be a great way to build trust.

If you’re interested in receiving some free ammo for an unbiased product review. I’d be happy to set up a gift card for you to send a caliber or two your way.

If there’s anything else I can help you with, don’t hesitate to ask!

I accepted the offer and received a code for a $200 discount on anything on their website. I shoot more rounds of .22LR than another other round and I can’t reload that so I figured the best value would be to get some more .22LR. I use CCI Mini-Mags in competition because of the superb reliability even with my somewhat finicky competition gun. I am well stocked on Mini-Mags so I decided to get a cheaper alternative for practice. I chose the cheapest .22LR ammo on their website.

It arrived in the factory carton undamaged:

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I tried the ammo in two different handguns, a Ruger 22/45 Mark III Lite, and my competition gun. There are two ten-round groups on the 12-inch steel plate in the picture below. Both were while standing, with iron sights, at about 11 yards. On the upper right is the Ruger:

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Both groups are about 1.5”. I believe this is my limit rather than a limitation of the ammo and/or gun.

I fired about 130 rounds. It was 100% reliable in the Ruger. In the competition gun I had one magazine which had repeated failures to feed. I added a suppressor and had no further problems.

It think I found my new practice ammo. At the very least it is an alternate ammo in times of ammo shortages.

The Wideners web site is quite nice when searching and selecting ammo.

I placed the order on Saturday April 15th. It arrived at my gun range in Idaho on Friday April 21st:

Tracking Number: 397064210616
Carrier: FedEx
Status: Delivered
Delivered on: Apr 21, 2023 5:42 PM
Signed by: Signature not required
Service Type: FedEx Home
Delivery


Location Date Local Time Description
Lenore, ID, US Apr
21, 2023
5:42
PM
Delivered
LEWISTON, ID, US Apr
21, 2023
2:08
PM
On FedEx vehicle for delivery
LEWISTON, ID, US Apr
21, 2023
2:05
PM
At local FedEx facility
TROUTDALE, OR, US Apr
21, 2023
4:37
AM
Departed FedEx location
TROUTDALE, OR, US Apr
20, 2023
9:18
PM
Arrived at FedEx location
GLENNS FERRY, ID, US Apr
20, 2023
4:43
AM
In transit
CARPENTER, WY, US Apr
19, 2023
3:48
PM
In transit
SEDALIA, MO, US Apr
19, 2023
2:55
AM
In transit
MURFREESBORO, TN, US Apr
18, 2023
2:00
PM
Departed FedEx location
MURFREESBORO, TN, US Apr
18, 2023
1:13
AM
Shipment arriving On-Time
MURFREESBORO, TN, US Apr
18, 2023
1:11
AM
Arrived at FedEx location
KODAK, TN, US Apr
17, 2023
10:05
PM
Picked up
US Apr
15, 2023
8:20
PM
Shipment information sent to
FedEx

Because of Boomershoot and other things I didn’t get to try it until last Tuesday after I came back to Idaho to escape the plague (Barb tested positive for COVID on Mother’s Day).

Deer are Dangerous

This evening I was first on the scene of this accident:


The driver was a 16 year old boy who had his drivers license for only a few days. He turned to avoid hitting a deer that jumped into the road ahead of him. He avoided the deer but lost control and rolled the car.
He sat in my car while talking to the 911 dispatcher. He claimed he had just skinned his knee, but the dispatcher sent an ambulance anyway. I’m not surprised. He was not talking clearly. He was obvious very shaken up.
His grandmother (I knew her when I was going to grade school even though she is about seven years younger than me) showed up a few minutes later and is shown in the picture above. She comforted him for a while. Then his mother and sister showed up. A bunch of hugging occurred and grandma explained the deputy would ask some questions and that it didn’t matter about the car as long as he was okay.
The deputy showed up. Grandma said, “It’s Jeremey, good.” Jeremey talked to the family for while and after the ambulance and fire truck arrived he took some pictures.
The medics evaluated the boy, put him in a neck brace, put him on a stretcher and hauled him away. I don’t know his diagnosis but I expect he will be fine. But I’m not surprised they wanted him to get some in depth attention.
There is a lesson to be learned here. Avoiding the deer certainly caused more physical injury than if he had hit it. And, almost certainly, it caused more damage to the car. Hit the brakes and reduce the impact velocity, but if you worry about avoiding the impact, you almost certainly put yourself and vehicle at greater risk. I hit a deer at 65 MPH and car and driver were in much better shape then this kid and his car going probably 35 MPH or less and avoiding the deer.
Deer are dangerous.

Living in Bellevue Has Advantages

Quote of the Day

These new findings offer detailed estimates of death rates by cause, year, and sex among the county’s nearly 400 census tracts. Residents in census tracts on Mercer Island and in Bellevue have the highest life expectancy, while those in Auburn and other areas of southeast King County have the lowest. In 2014, the top causes of premature death were: ischemic heart disease, lung cancer, self-harm, Alzheimer’s disease and other dementias, drug use disorders, cerebrovascular disease, cirrhosis and other chronic liver diseases, chronic obstructive pulmonary diseases, diabetes, and colon and rectum cancer.

Nationally, the average life expectancy in King County is in the 95th percentile among all US counties. With a population of more than 2 million, King County ranks among the top 5% of counties in household income and life expectancy.

The Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation (University of Washington)
September 5, 2017
Life expectancy varies by up to 18 years in King County

Interesting. Barb and I probably mention the “Bellevue Bubble” to each other once a month or more.

And example: A couple weeks ago I got a chip in my car windshield fixed near a strip mall in Renton. While waiting I walked past a few shops on my way to Wal-Mart. When I got home I started to tell her about my adventure with, “The chip repair place was across the street from Wal-Mart…” And she interrupted me, “Oh no! The Renton Wal-Mart! What happened?” I told her of the three people, I saw as I walked to 200 yards to Wal-Mart, either openly using drugs or standing and swaying like they were about to fall. On the way back I saw a fourth person sitting on a bench bent over looking as if he were about to vomit being told by a cop that he could not loiter there and had to leave. And there was a homeless looking (filthy clothes and body, carrying a tattered bag) guy wandering up and down the aisles of the Dollar Store.

We shook our heads and told each other how glad we were to live in the Bellevue Bubble. We just don’t see that sort of thing in our neighborhood or where we shop.

I expect the life expectancy differences are probably due to better attention to health, ability to afford health care, less tobacco, probably less alcohol use, more exercise in the later years, lower violent crime rate, etc.. Another thing we notice is the people in south King County are much more likely to be overweight.

I still want my underground bunker in Idaho for when the Bellevue Bubble pops.

This Should be a Clue

When more than half of your residents would leave if they could it should be a clue to the public servants that they are doing something wrong:

Fifty-one percent of those surveyed said they would move to another state if they could, compared with 39% who said the quality of life in Washington is worth the cost. The remaining 10% said they didn’t know.

I didn’t read this until a few minutes ago but Barb and I talked about this on our walk this morning. It is very expensive to live here, but the “Bellevue Bubble” has its benefits.

UR a Smart Ass, Carl @Ur_a_Smartass_C

Quote of the Day

After I got shot, laying in my hospital bed, I said to myself. “There will never be another person standing over me with a gun, holding all the power to determine if I will live or die”

I have never supported gun control since. It’s not gun control, it’s the power to control the defenseless.

UR a Smart Ass, Carl @Ur_a_Smartass_C
Tweeted on March 31, 2023

A lot of people have stories to tell about why they are “gun nuts” of some flavor or another.

Barb has hypothesized that my abusive and sometimes brutal grade school experience contributed to my interest in guns and self defense. I told a coworker about one of my experiences and he said, “If that were to happen today it would make the national news.”

I suppose Barb could be right. But I did not get emotional involved and buy my first gun until the Ruby Ridge incident occurred. That was long after the time when I could have legally purchased a gun and my own children were in grade school.

Deer Revenge

Last Tuesday I took most of the afternoon off from work for a doctors appointment and then to drive to Idaho. I needed to be onsite to take delivery on 18” surveyors stakes used for holding the Boomershoot reactive targets and some other Boomershoot tasks.

About dusk, going 65 MPH on highway 26 west of Dusty, I hit a deer. Even though the radiator was pushed back, the left turn signal and headlight were flopping about, the driver door was difficult to open, the seat belt had retracted and locked (the indicator on the dash indicated the air-bag had deployed but had not actually done so), the car was still drivable. I made it on to my camping trailer near Boomershoot and successfully took delivery on the stakes and did most of the other business. A few days later the insurance company declared the car totaled, so I now have a new, to me, car.

I had planned to drive that car for several more years. Barb and I both loved the metallic blue color. The “new” car was what I could find on short notice which met my immediate needs. That was a high price to pay for a trip to Idaho.

Later, when talking with my cousin Alan, we discussed the interaction between people and deer. He has hit five and one of those was while on a motorcycle. He spent a few days in the hospital for the motorcycle. He went on to say that white-tailed deer cause the death of more people than any other animal in the continental U.S. I knew that the most frequent cause of vehicle accidents in Clearwater County Idaho was a collision with a deer, but I didn’t know they claimed more lives than any other animal in the U.S.

Alan’s claim is confirmed in this video:

It is almost as if they are attempting to get revenge for our hunting of them.

Update: These are sequential frames of the video. From the first frame until the last is 1.05 Seconds:

Deer01

Deer02

Deer03

Deer04

Deer05

Deer06

Deer07

High School Reunion Coming Up

Rolf reports his high school reunion is coming up soon. It turns out my class is having reunion this year as well.

Rolf included a link to High school reunion shocker: They’re dying off! Which is interesting. The number from the article are:

To estimate the statistical death-rate norm for any class size, Polasky provided the following rough figures:

    • 10 year reunion — 1 death per 100 graduates.
    • 20 year reunion — 1 death per 50 graduates.
    • 30 year reunion — 1 death per 20 graduates.
    • 40 year reunion — 1 death per 10 graduates.
    • 50 year reunion — 1 death per five graduates.

Even though his is not this year, I was talking to a cousin of mine a few days ago about reunions and he was saying about 40 or 44 percent of his class was gone. And while I don’t have the most current numbers for my class the number is uncomfortably high with another couple dying in the last six months. And I know the numbers from my last reunion are about 50 percent higher than this. In part, this is probably due a high percentage of logging and construction type jobs my classmates went into. That area of Idaho is also known at a “cancer belt”. I don’t think anyone knows for certain why, but the cancer rate in that area is higher than normal. The speculation I have heard discussed is:

  • Being downwind from Hanford
  • Toxic chemicals from the pulp mill
  • Farm chemicals
  • Outdoor activities and exposure to high levels of UV

I have enjoying the reunions but there is also a fair amount of sadness is seeing how many are now gone.

Save Yourself

Quote of the Day

It’s more obvious than ever that no one is coming to save you. No candidate, no party, no movement. You need to save yourself.

Jon Gabriel
April 8, 2023
Hecklers at Trump’s arraignment have a lesson for us all

Via Ed Driscoll.

I want my own underground bunker in Idaho.

Bing Image Creator Makes Creepy Women

I asked Bing Image Creator for an image of “A long cool woman in a black dress”. These were the responses:

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I much prefer Barb in a black dress. Bing produced something I might expect to see in a horror movie. The poses are attractive though.

Human Immortality by the End of the Decade

Quote of the Day

If it’s always been your dream to have the ability to live forever, you may be in luck as scientists believe we are just seven years away from achieving immortality.

Ellie Abraham
March 22, 2023
Humans predicted to achieve immortality within the next 8 years

Quoted in the article:

Kurzweil has also said he believes we will be able to “advance human life expectancy” by “more than a year every year and I think we can get there by the end of this decade”.

In an earlier book, IIRC, Kurzweil claimed we would reach this point by 2024. I hope the goalpost isn’t moved too much further. It is a very tough problem but there are some very promising results in rats and other lower life forms.

As uplifting as this is in a global sort of way, I always think of Eric when this comes up and I get a bit sad.

Some sleep drugs increase risk of dementia

Quote of the Day

The study followed approximately 3,000 older white and black adults without dementia over an average duration of nine years, to find that white participants who frequently used sleep medications had a 79 percent increased risk of developing dementia compared to those who rarely used them.

George Citroner
February 22, 2023
Sleep Aids Linked to an 80 Percent Increased Risk of Dementia

Good to know.

You have to read most of the article to confirm that there is a causal affect from the medication to dementia and not just a correlation or even a causation in the other direction:

“We’ve known for a while that certain sleep medications like benzodiazepines are associated with an increased risk of dementia,” Percy Griffin, who holds a doctorate in molecular cell biology and is the Alzheimer’s Association director of scientific engagement

I have never taken any drugs for the purpose of aiding my sleep, but some people I am close to do.

Axe wielding on Mugme Street

Technically, this is eight blocks from what Barb and I consider ground zero on Mugme street, but this could be considered evidence the cancer has progressed this far since Barb and I last did an inspection.

Via a tweet from Sean D Sorrentino @SorrentinoSean:

Do you know what stops charging “deranged AXE WIELDING” men? The proper application of multiple jacketed hollow points.

Downtown Seattle

3rd Avenue between Pike and Pine is ground zero of Mugme Street. This happened near 4th and Pike on a Friday afternoon about 2:15 PM:

According to court documents, officers with the SPD were in the area conducting a narcotics surveillance operation when an officer saw Martin near a bus stop with a hammer in his hand. Martin’s actions concerned the officer, so they took a cellphone photo of Martin and sent it to the other officers in the area working the operation.

A plain-clothes officer also saw Martin in the area waving the hammer and having verbal altercations with other people in the area, court documents said.

Before the attack, the plain-clothes officer saw the 53-year-old who was killed “attempting to cut the lock off of a bike using an orbital grinder which was sending sparks into the air,” according to court documents.

Martin approached the man, documents said, and when the 53-year-old walked away, Martin followed.

Witnesses told police they saw Martin hit the 53-year-old in the head with the hammer. Court documents state the 53-year-old took “a hammer strike to the right temple area of the head,” resulting in a skull fracture.

Surveillance cameras in the area captured Martin “raising the hammer above his shoulder, swinging it at the victim’s head, and the victim collapsing to the ground,” according to court documents. The documents said Martin then stood over the 53-year-old, grabbed his backpack and walked away.

There are multiple clues in the quoted material to guide your plans for visiting Seattle.

The entrance to a building I used work in is within a couple hundred feet of the attack location.

See also this article. People are not shocked or even surprised this happened.

Aunty Dell

Follow up to Names you don’t hear anymore.

Via Brother Doug:

This was Mardelle Patterson on my father’s farm about 1956. She was a double first cousin to my father. Their mothers were sisters and their fathers were brothers so they shared all four grandparents. Mardelle was born just 2.5 miles from where I live today in the house where she would live in her early years. Mardelle and my father largely grew up in the same household during the Great Depression. For the last six years, Mardelle has been the sole survivor of that household. She introduced my parents to each other in July of 1953. My brothers and I all called her “Aunty Dell” even though she wasn’t really my father’s sister. Mardelle and her husband, John contributed several memories to my father’s biography when I was working on it a few years ago.

Mardelle passed away last night at the age of 91. Her passing marks the end of the Huffman family members that once lived together here in Cavendish and struggled through the dark years of the Great Depression. Although the adults remembered the Depression as a difficult time, the children had fond memories of those days. They had never known anything different, so growing up in poverty didn’t cripple them, it only made them stronger.

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The depression era mindset of making things last was installed in us when we grew up on the farm. The tractor Aunty Dell is on is one I still use for moving dirt for Boomershoot and other things. Doug uses it, among other things, to clear snow from the driveway and parking areas.

We live in interesting times

For probably 10 years I’ve been nearly certain my children would have the opportunity to live forever. At first I figured I would just miss out. I’m now becoming more convinced I have a decent chance at having that same opportunity:

Scientists have reversed the aging process in mice: Are humans next?

A recent study published in the journal Cell found that by making DNA repairs on mice, scientists were able to drive age “forward and backward” thus manipulating the aging process.

“There is new research now showing that the aging process may be reversible,” Johns Hopkins health policy expert Dr. Marty Makary said on “Varney & Co.” Tuesday. “That is, that the body may carry a copy of a gene in your body that codes for a younger response to everything physiologically.”

Names you don’t hear anymore

On Tuesday night, at age 91, my aunt* Mardell died. I have never met another person with the name of Mardell. I’ve been a bit sad and nostalgic the last few days.

There are a lot of other names from my childhood I which I have never, or extremely rarely, hear anymore. I probably will only rarely again hear them associated with any living person. For some reason they are almost all on my dad’s side of the family.

All children of my great grandfather:

  • Ada
  • Alden
  • Ardis
  • Helena
  • Pet**
  • Sadie***

Others of the same generation:

  • Cecil
  • Claude
  • Charlotte (my maternal grandmother)
  • Elsa
  • Ida
  • Lorne
  • Ollie
  • Orla
  • Oscar
  • Lillian
  • Van (my maternal grandmother’s husband for a while)
  • Verna (my maternal grandmother’s middle name)

My dad, his cousins, friends, and neighbors:

  • Ally
  • Clinton (as a first name)
  • Doyle
  • Donzal
  • Drexel
  • Edna
  • Ernestine
  • Gladys
  • Gwen
  • Harriet
  • Lowell
  • Manual
  • Mardell
  • Ned
  • Skyler

Friends of mine growing up:

  • Lethco (only person on this list who is still alive)
  • Verl

* Technically, she was not my aunt. However, my father’s mother was a sister to aunty Dell’s mother AND my father’s father was a brother to her father. Also, for several years, both families lived in the same household. Dad was an only child but he had three double cousins he grew up with. My brothers and I called these siblings of his uncles and aunt.

** Although this was just nickname for Patricia, I don’t know that I knew her
real name was Patricia until years after she had passed away.

*** I know someone who named their dog Sadie. But I don’t know any living humans with that name.

Wow!

I suspect the real numbers are about half this:

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One of my daughters listens to the same books on the same account as I do and we talk about them. Still, those are larger numbers than I expected.

Bump stock ban unconstitutional

Good news:

Today the en banc U.S. Court of Appeals for the Fifth Circuit held a Bureau of Alcohol, Tobacco, and Firearms regulation extending the federal prohibition on machineguns to “bump stocks” is unlawful, as Eugene noted in a post below. In Cargill v. Garland, the judges split 13-3 on the merits, and the 13 in the majority divided on the rationale. Eight of the judges concluded the statute is unambiguous. Five additional judges concluded that, insofar as the statute is ambiguous, it should be interpreted not to cover bump stocks under the Rule of Lenity.

As I have said before, it is not unreasonable to assert that my grandkids will be participating in machine gun sporting events in high school.

My dream will have been realized.