Supervolcano Awakening

Quote of the Day

A long-slumbering “supervolcano” in Italy is getting closer to a potential eruption for the first time since 1538, a new study warns — and the consequences could be catastrophic.

If Campi Flegrei were to reenact its largest previous eruption, it would punch molten rock and volcanic gases high into the stratosphere, unleash 100-feet-high (33.5 meters) tsunamis and spread a plume of sulfur and toxic ash that could plunge Earth into global winter for years — killing crops and causing mass extinctions.

Ben Turner
June 19, 2023
Europe’s most dangerous ‘supervolcano’ could be creeping toward eruption, scientists warn

Prepare appropriately.

I want my underground bunker in Idaho.

Of course, then, the Yellowstone supervolcano becomes a threat. I once read that if it were to blow like it did last time all life within a 600-mile circle would be killed. I looked at the distance from the center of the Yellowstone volcano to my property. It is about 325 miles. I should be fine.


33 thoughts on “Supervolcano Awakening

  1. On the bright side, it would cure global warming, such as it is. Of course this is why the warmists rebranded to “climate change” — while warming comes and go, climate change exists so long as the Earth has an atmosphere.

    • Everything you said is true and accurate.

      I just wonder how they’ll spin a volcanic eruption to blame fossil fuel consumption and “climate change” for the sudden … er … climate change. (You know they’ll try.)

        • What we have done is wrong, and we did that wrong with our own hand, and that metaphorical hand consists of our representatives and the people that work for our government.

          We, individually, do little of consequence. It is only our collective, organized action that has led us to this point, and angered the nature gods.

          To appease them, we must throw career politicians and bureaucrats into the volcanoes. The eruptions will abate when we have thrown enough of them into the caldera. We must redouble, then redouble again, our efforts until the Nature Gods are pleased with us.

        • If this is what Gaia is like at her time of the millennia, I’ll pass. Personally I wouldn’t gamble on +10 miles as a sufficient error bar against an enraged nature goddess having a bad day.

  2. “I should be fine.”
    Nothing like gallows humor to brighten the day! I would’ve snorted hot coffee if I hadn’t already drank it all by 6am.

    Gerry: Define “near”. Do I have time for lunch? 🙂

  3. Media seizes on any random scientific observation to inflate into catastrophe. I’ve enjoyed reading Cliff Mas’s weather blog, where he regularly deflates the Seattle Times weather and climate hyperbole with actual meteorological and climate data.

    • Agreed. Click bait to get the views. This did have some core things that were concerning to me with multiple feet of expansion and strength of the “plug” reduced to one-third normal.

    • Cliff Mass was my professor when I got my BS in Atmospheric Science. This was before the University of Washington’s Geophysics department became the “College of the Environment”, a pseudoscientific religious and political organization.

  4. My wife was just in Naples last week at the end of her tour of Italy.

    Apparently it’s not big news there as she knew nothing about it until I mentioned it when she got home.

    • That makes me wonder if it’s:
      a. Common local knowledge, not newsworthy.
      b. Not being reported, so as to not cause panic.
      c. Being actively suppressed by local authorities, for any of a number of reasons.
      d. Something else I’m not thinking of.

      If Yellowstone were to suddenly become more active — or Mt. St. Helens, or Mt. Mazama (think: Crater Lake, Oregon), or any other domestic non-extinct volcano — I’d think it would be all over the local and national news, unless there were a VERY good reason for it not to be. Mauna Loa’s recent uptick in activity certainly made headlines, and it never really stops.

      • When I was scheduled to climb Mt. St. Helens in 2018, I actually quite liked the paperwork that stated, rather prominently, that I was hiking up the side of an active volcano and this hill could kill me at any moment. At least if I couldn’t outrun it (those folks in New Zealand barely did), it would be a quick departure from this world. Not too keen on being cooked by a pyroclastic flow but it would have been fast and I figured one would have a chance glissading down the south face.

        If nothing else, it would be memorable while it lasted! Beats going out in a car wreck.

        • I climbed St. Helens way back in … [checks watch] … 2002 (I think). Took my good camera and got some great photos from the summit. I remember that paperwork. It felt kinda cool that we were climbing an active volcano, even though it was highly unlikely anything cataclysmic would happen while we were on the side of it.

          But going out that way would be cooler than a car wreck, that is for sure.

        • I know a woman who loves skydiving and has been battling cancer for about 15 years. She says if it looks like there is no hope, she wants to dive, without a parachute, into a lake of molten rock of an active volcano.

          I think she is more than a little nuts, but then I haven’t been dealing with cancer either.

        • I had the good fortune to summit St. Helens in about 1974 or so, years before it went active. I still find it interesting to recall that the glaciers and route my friends and I took no longer exists!

          Geophysicists have been monitoring some ground expansion west of the Three Sisters for several years now. Occasionally it makes the news. No “news” sources have started calling for an apocalypse on this one yet.

        • Or you could go out like the guy in Pompeii. Jerking -off one last time. I guess stress does funny things to people!
          No matter, it beats car wrecks and cancer!

          • Hey, if you get the timing right, you can be coming while you’re going…

    • Remember that Italy is where the government threatened scientists with prosecution for reporting that increased seismic activity might indicate an earthquake was coming. Then when an earthquake did happen, they put the scientists in jail for not predicting it.

  5. If you can predict the event boundary that precisely your portfolio must be amazing. Could you please send me some stock tips?

      • Humor, in general, is no longer appreciated by way too many people.

    • “Could you please send me some stock tips?”
      Try Democrat donations. Worked for Sam Bank-Frier really well.
      You can steal all you want. Just like Blackrock and Warren Buffett!

      • Not sure Francisco, you might have to identify as Jewish to pull that one off?

      • Whom do I contact at the DNC to begin receiving donations? And, how quickly do they respond? I have requested several yacht catalogs which should arrive shortly, and since it seems Joe’s witholding his stock tips I need an alternative funding source.

        • Watch the beginning of Schindler’s list. Go to the real parties and throw money around.

  6. We’re here in NW Wyoming in a small town about 50 miles away from the center of the Yellowstone caldera. Since earth shock waves travel at around 10,000 MPH, while the speed of sound (and the associated air shock wave) moves around 750 MPH, the ground shock will hit us in about 18 seconds. If we manage to get out of the house and look to the west, the oncoming air shock would be about 4 minutes behind it.

    If we got out of the house before it collapsed it would be an impressive sight to see for a couple of milliseconds.

    Harry Turtledove wrote a trilogy “Supervolcano” about an eruption; Wyoming is basically just gone. Oh, well.

  7. Uh, I’m only about 50 miles south of you, and according to Google Earth I’m 300 miles from the Yellowstone caldera. You sure you did that right?

    • I must have misremembered things. Sorry. You are right Google Earth indicates I am about 325 miles from Yellowstone.

      But here is a map which indicates I’m just outside Zone 2 where 1.8 meters of ash would fall. But it also says this zone is 80 to 125 kilometers from the blast. These numbers don’t match what the map indicates.

      Zone 2 description: “Zone 2 would have to be evacuated completely prior to the eruption. The very heavy ashfall would collapse all structures. Vegetation, livestock and aquatic life would die. Power and telephone lines would break and roads would become completely unusable.”

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