We live in interesting times

For probably 10 years I’ve been nearly certain my children would have the opportunity to live forever. At first I figured I would just miss out. I’m now becoming more convinced I have a decent chance at having that same opportunity:

Scientists have reversed the aging process in mice: Are humans next?

A recent study published in the journal Cell found that by making DNA repairs on mice, scientists were able to drive age “forward and backward” thus manipulating the aging process.

“There is new research now showing that the aging process may be reversible,” Johns Hopkins health policy expert Dr. Marty Makary said on “Varney & Co.” Tuesday. “That is, that the body may carry a copy of a gene in your body that codes for a younger response to everything physiologically.”

Quote of the day—Microsoft researchers

We introduce a language modeling approach for text to speech synthesis (TTS). Specifically, we train a neural codec language model (called VALL-E) using discrete codes derived from an off-the-shelf neural audio codec model, and regard TTS as a conditional language modeling task rather than continuous signal regression as in previous work. During the pre-training stage, we scale up the TTS training data to 60K hours of English speech which is hundreds of times larger than existing systems. VALL-E emerges in-context learning capabilities and can be used to synthesize high-quality personalized speech with only a 3-second enrolled recording of an unseen speaker as an acoustic prompt. Experiment results show that VALL-E significantly outperforms the state-of-the-art zero-shot TTS system in terms of speech naturalness and speaker similarity. In addition, we find VALL-E could preserve the speaker’s emotion and acoustic environment of the acoustic prompt in synthesis.

Chengyi Wang, Sanyuan Chen, Yu Wu*, Ziqiang Zhang,Long Zhou, Shujie Liu, Zhuo Chen, Yanqing Liu, Huaming Wang, Jinyu Li, Lei He, Sheng Zhao, Furu Wei
January 5, 2023
Neural Codec Language Models are Zero-Shot Text to Speech Synthesizers
[Emphasis added.

They have multiple samples you can listen too.

It does a scary good job. What could possibly go wrong?

Skynet smiles. This will be used in the terminators.—Joe]

Interesting question

Can Your Android Phone Be Tracked When It’s Turned Off?

As technology advances, debates continue to arise over geographical tracking. Today, cell service providers, internet service providers, and other parties can track your location through your devices, including your smartphone.

But if you have an Android phone, what happens when it’s turned off? Can your location still be tracked?

I wrote a significate portion of the code used for “Location Services” on Windows Phone 7. I understand as much as almost anyone on obtaining location information from the phone side of things. Obtaining location from the carrier side is different, but I can make some intelligent speculation about that.

The basics of what I read in the article above is true:

When you turn your phone off, you’re temporarily deactivating all of its functions, including wireless communication. By cutting this off, your phone cannot be tracked via cell tower triangulation or GPS. The only location that can be discerned using these methods is that which was last shown before the device was turned off.

So, the general answer is no, your phone cannot be tracked when switched off.

They go on to say:

But this has been called into question numerous times.

There have been talks of certain authorities still being able to track your phone when turned off. For example, various reports have come out over the years claiming that the NSA (National Security Agency) can track a turned-off device. For example, Slate published a piece in 2013 discussing the NSA’s alleged tracking of phones, as briefly mentioned in a Washington Post story.

In the same piece, Slate mentioned that in 2006, it was reported that the FBI had “deployed spyware to infect suspects’ mobile phones and record data even when they were turned off”. A CNET post was referred to here as the source. It is not known if the NSA is truly capable of tracking phones while turned off, but the reports mentioned seem to indicate that this is the case to some extent.

From the referenced Washington Post article:

By September 2004, a new NSA technique enabled the agency to find cellphones even when they were turned off. JSOC troops called this “The Find,” and it gave them thousands of new targets, including members of a burgeoning al-Qaeda-sponsored insurgency in Iraq, according to members of the unit.

This is a very interesting claim.

It was in about 2010 through 2011 I was writing the location services code for Windows Phone 7. Had I read the Washington Post article from a half dozen years earlier I would have given it something like a 25% chance of being correct. That assessment would have been unchanged today except for another data point.

I recently I talked to someone who told me, “I know for a fact that GCHQ can track phones even if they are turned off.” This was not someone who received their electrical engineering degree out of a tin-foil hat. It was someone who I have a lot of respect for as an electrical engineer.

That conversation and the article above which I stumbled across has caused me to reevaluate my position on this claim. I have given the problem some thought. With the right equipment, I can imagine some plausible ways this might be possible.

Here are some hints:

  • The power button is not a mechanical power switch. It is similar to other mechanical buttons on the phone. There is at least some portion of the electronics “alive” enough to recognize the switch has been pressed.
  • Your credit cards, smart car keys, passport, shoplifted merchandise, automatic road toll cards, and company ID badges can all be identified at varying distances.

Plan appropriately.

Shooting a dead bolt

Via Widener’s:

Mythbusting: Shooting A Deadbolt

We never get tired of watching movies, but we often watch scenes play out that aren’t realistic. Their approach is believable, but the way they go about solving problems defies logic, engineering, and sometimes physics. Take deadbolt locks as an example. When a character shoots a deadbolt lock, it disintegrates and the door busts wide open. It looks good on screen, but what happens when you shoot a deadbolt in real life?

That’s the question we set out to answer with this project: Whether the action we’re presented with on the big screen has any authenticity to it. We wanted to find out what really happens when you shoot a deadbolt with various calibers to see if Hollywood did their homework.

They shot at the lock which never resulted in gaining access through the door and most of the time cause the lock to be inoperable. Basically, shooting a shot or two make it less likely for you to gain access.

I would have thought you could do better by shooting at the doorframe just inside where the bolt engaged the strike plate. They sort of addressed that idea:

Why Not Shoot The Bolt Out Through The Door?

For starters, it’s not that easy to hit it. The bolt itself is only about an inch tall, making it a very small target even from a few feet away. If you do hit it, it’s going to take multiple shots to cause it to fail, and even more shots to cause the door behind it to fail.

In any case, if you are serious about opening a door via a projectile, a few ounces of Tannerite or Boomerite over the strike plate would open the door on the first try.

Barrett Firearms is now Australian owned

NIOA Acquires Barrett Firearm

Australian defense contractor NIOA Group announced today that it had acquired 100 percent of Barrett Firearms, expanding the company’s global reach. In the same announcement, NIOA Group CEO Robert Nioa confirmed that Barrett would continue to operate under its own brand. All management and staff at Barrett’s Murfreesboro, Tenn., manufacturing facility will be retained, and production will continue as normal. Financial details of the transaction were not disclosed.

It sounds as if civilian sales will continue.

I don’t really have the money to buy and feed a Barrett but I want that possibility to exist for other people.

Quote of the day—Charles Van Doren @TurdFerguson59

The correlation between those who love AR-15 and those with micropenis syndrome is likely very high.

Charles Van Doren @TurdFerguson59
Tweeted on November 22, 2022
[It’s not only another Markley’s Law Monday, it is another science denier!

I find it interesting they are comfortable putting their prejudices on public display.—Joe]

Quote of the day—Larry Correia @monsterhunter45

Talking about the new brace rules I just had some tough guy on FB tell me “who cares what the ATF says?”

Uh…

Everybody with a flammable house and a non-bulletproof dog should care. This is not an agency known for its calm nuanced approach.

Larry Correia @monsterhunter45
Tweeted on January 13, 2023
[He has a way with words*.

One of the comments included this suggestion:

image

I can see that having some merit.

But I’m inclined to think you need an underground bunker with neighbors who can support you from the woods a half mile away. You keep the dog inside because the wolves and grizzlies would eat it instead of the unfriendly visitors camping out on your lawn.—Joe]


* I’m currently listening to his book, #1 in Customer Service The Complete Adventures of Tom Stranger. His humor probably isn’t for everyone but I think it is really funny.

Names you don’t hear anymore

On Tuesday night, at age 91, my aunt* Mardell died. I have never met another person with the name of Mardell. I’ve been a bit sad and nostalgic the last few days.

There are a lot of other names from my childhood I which I have never, or extremely rarely, hear anymore. I probably will only rarely again hear them associated with any living person. For some reason they are almost all on my dad’s side of the family.

All children of my great grandfather:

  • Ada
  • Alden
  • Ardis
  • Helena
  • Pet**
  • Sadie***

Others of the same generation:

  • Cecil
  • Claude
  • Charlotte (my maternal grandmother)
  • Elsa
  • Ida
  • Lorne
  • Ollie
  • Orla
  • Oscar
  • Lillian
  • Van (my maternal grandmother’s husband for a while)
  • Verna (my maternal grandmother’s middle name)

My dad, his cousins, friends, and neighbors:

  • Ally
  • Clinton (as a first name)
  • Doyle
  • Donzal
  • Drexel
  • Edna
  • Ernestine
  • Gladys
  • Gwen
  • Harriet
  • Lowell
  • Manual
  • Mardell
  • Ned
  • Skyler

Friends of mine growing up:

  • Lethco (only person on this list who is still alive)
  • Verl

* Technically, she was not my aunt. However, my father’s mother was a sister to aunty Dell’s mother AND my father’s father was a brother to her father. Also, for several years, both families lived in the same household. Dad was an only child but he had three double cousins he grew up with. My brothers and I called these siblings of his uncles and aunt.

** Although this was just nickname for Patricia, I don’t know that I knew her
real name was Patricia until years after she had passed away.

*** I know someone who named their dog Sadie. But I don’t know any living humans with that name.

Quote of the day—Defens

Liberal anti-gunners look at the mass shooter and say “Oh that’s so awful, I don’t want to be like him.”

Pro-rights citizens look at the shooter’s victims and say, “Oh that’s so awful, I don’t want to be like him!”

Defens
January 13, 2023
Comment to Quote of the day—Danny Westneat
[This rings true and there is considerable evidence to support this hypothesis.

This is also tends support for my claim that these people are inherently violent. They apparently believe others are similarly afflicted and the primary result of guns in a society is to enable this criminal violence. This is my “generous” view of their psychology.

When I am less generous, I tend to believe they are evil and they make up these excuses to justify making their victims defenseless.—Joe]

Quote of the day—Danny Westneat

This past year, the number of concealed gun licenses awarded in Washington state soared by more than 57,000, to about 700,000, according to data from the state Department of Licensing.

It means that just shy of 12% of all the adults in Washington state are packing (or at least are licensed to do so). This rate is 11th highest in the nation, according to a national roundup of gun data, behind mostly red states.

Around here they appear to be as hot as ever. That’s despite all the gun control laws (or maybe in reaction to them). Despite the bad publicity from mass shootings. Despite years of public-health ad campaigns about the potential dangers of having guns in the home.

Danny Westneat
January 11, 2023
Blue state paradox: WA keeps arming up
[Emphasis added.

12% of the adult in Washington have CPLs. That has to contribute to a culture change about gun ownership. That number is greater than the number of LBGT people in our society. It’s time to come out of the closet.

I found it amusing Westneat thinks that publicity about mass shootings would tend to reduce the carrying of guns.

I want to pat him on the head and tell him, “That’s so cute!”—Joe]

Quote of the day—Robb Allen @ItsRobbAllen

There is not a single aspect of your life, no matter how small, that these tyrants do not feel the overwhelming desire to control.

Senators are more of a threat to your wellbeing than gas stoves.

Robb Allen @ItsRobbAllen
Tweeted on January 10, 2023
[I have nothing to add.—Joe]

Wow!

I suspect the real numbers are about half this:

image

image

image

One of my daughters listens to the same books on the same account as I do and we talk about them. Still, those are larger numbers than I expected.

Quote of the day—Quora

Should a law be passed requiring that one gun manufacturing executive or lobbyist be publicly executed for every victim of a school shooting?

Quora
December 2022
[This is what they think of you.

They want you dead.—Joe]

Quote of the day—NRA-ILA

The Biden White House has for the most part worked hand-in-glove with gun control advocacy groups toward their shared goals of civilian disarmament. But a lawsuit against the government by survivors of the Sutherland Springs attack in 2017 is putting a strain on this harmonious relationship and causing embarrassment to all concerned. That’s because defending the suit has forced the government to admit inconvenient truths about the limitations of gun control. Now Biden & Company face a tough choice: Pony up more than $230 million or appeal the current judgment against the government and incur the wrath of its usual allies by truthfully admitting the top priority of gun controllers doesn’t really stop violent criminals.

It’s significant they had already argued in the case that even background check denials would not likely have stopped the perpetrator, nor could the Air Force had known from his commission of domestic violence that he had the potential to carry out a different type of attack.  Both those admissions essentially negate any further claims by the Biden Administration that firearm background checks have any essential role to play in public safety.

NRA-ILA
January 9, 2023
Biden DOJ Angers Gun Control Allies by Truthfully Admitting NICS Can’t Stop Violent Criminals
[It is such a pleasure to see the truth we have been shouting from the rooftops for decades finally putting the squeeze on the anti-gun people. With the Bruen case behind us the legal environment is essentially won with “just” a decade or two of mop-up left. As seen above the practical argument is becoming more and more one sided. The philosophical argument is easily won which may be why the anti-gun people almost never push that angle.—Joe]

Born to regulate

This will not go over well:

The Consumer Product Safety Commission (CPSC) may decide to outlaw natural gas stoves after a new study claimed the appliances can emit harmful pollution, according to Bloomberg.

The article makes it sound as if the CPSC can ban gas stoves without any action by Congress.

As I can’t imagine there is as much soot and other pollutants as they claim this would appear to be another case where people get a thrill out of creating regulations:

I like having a very direct and very powerful impact on worker safety and health.  If you put out a reg, it matters.  I think that’s really where the thrill comes from.  And it is a thrill; it’s a high… I love it; I absolutely love it.  I was born to regulate.  I don’t know why, but that’s very true.  So as long as I’m regulating, I’m happy.

I wonder if 18 USC 242 could be made to apply to them.

Between having promise and realizing it

I don’t care for the communist spin in the article but the core of the message is intriguing:

The effort to slow down aging isn’t slowing down. The Institute for Aging Research at New York’s Albert Einstein College of Medicine claims we’ve moved beyond hope in turning anti-aging into reality, and we now sit “at the point between having promise and realizing it.”

I expect the middle class have access in less than a decade after the billionaires.

Quote of the day—The_right_thinks_memes_are_facts (@Politicallyexp2)

Wow there was a whole lot of small dick energy coming from your tweet. My god you cucks are so sensitive! Can’t handle free speech

The_right_thinks_memes_are_facts (@Politicallyexp2)
Tweeted on November 17, 2022
[It’s not only another Markley’s Law Monday, it is another science denier!

The context has nothing to do with free speech. It has to do with a threat to “neutralize” anyone with an AR-15.

My message to The_right_thinks_memes_are_facts (@Politicallyexp2) is:

Please continue. We are gathering evidence for your trial.

My model for their thinking pattern is something approximating hissing and popping noises around a tribal/communist offset. These useful idiots are essentially alien entities to me.—Joe]

There could be a problem here

Via Rolf who says, “I detect a problem”:

Meme-TargetShooting

I think someone needs to put a little more spin on their bullets.

Although, if the distance is short enough and/or the target big enough this probably has more stopping power than a soft or hollow point bullet.

An issue with solar power

I was at my place in Idaho last month to do some general maintenance on things and this was one of the things I had to take care of:

20221206_084330

In the center is a solar panel. The batteries, in the box on the right, were still holding up but were low. I brushed off the snow and charged up the batteries with an alternate power source. They probably will hold out until I visit again. But this is an issue with solar power. You might think of solar panels as near zero maintenance, but they are not. They get dirty as well has get covered in snow and ice. The batteries also need to be replaced every few years.

For some applications they are the best choice available. For general purpose electricity, not so much.

Boomershoot 2023 entry opening soon!

Registration opens for staff 1/9/2023 6:00:00 PM Pacific Time.
Registration opens for previous year participants 1/14/2023 9:00:00 AM Pacific Time.
Registration opens for everyone 1/21/2023 9:00:00 AM

As Boomershoot 2022 participants know we had some issues with placement of long-distance targets.

Due to issues mostly beyond the control of the landowner we were only able to place a few targets near the 700-yard area berm. Most of the details have been worked out for this year with a different area for some of the long distant targets.

You can see the new target area by visiting the entry website Available Positions web page.

Select an available position and you will find an image with all the target areas for a given position. Some shooting positions will have parts of one of the available target areas blocked by the tops of trees. The shooting position specific image (the bottom image) is several years old, and the trees have grown. The top image of available target areas is from August 2022 and closely represents the view from the East (left) side of the shooting berm. Choose your shooting position to take this limitation in mind.

Prices have increased. Boomershoot was losing a lot of money on the dinner and breaking even on the High Intensity event. There have been donations offer to cover the price of dinner for ALL participants. If one of these generous offers comes through refunds will be given to everyone who has signed up for dinner at the new price.

Let me know if you have questions or see typos or errors on the website.

Sign up here.