Quote of the day—William Strauss and Neil Howe

An impasse over the federal budget reaches a stalemate. The president and Congress both refuse to back down, triggering a near-total government shutdown. The president declares emergency powers. Congress rescinds his authority. Dollar and bond prices plummet. The president threatens to stop Social Security checks. Congress refuses to raise the debt ceiling. Default looms. Wall Street panics.

William Strauss and Neil Howe
1997
The Fourth Turning: An American Prophecy
[See also: 2019 FROM A FOURTH TURNING PERSPECTIVE.

Via email from Chet.

Extremely “interesting times” ahead—if the prophecy is correct.—Joe]

Quote of the day—Alan M. Gottlieb

Our challenge of the California Unsafe Handgun Act (UHA), if the high court accepts it for review, could be a critical wake-up call to lower federal courts that continue to employ what they call an ‘interest-balancing approach’ to deciding gun control cases because that strategy is forbidden by the 2008 Heller decision. It is time to bring a halt to what is essentially a revolt by the lower courts against the landmark Heller opinion, and the Pena case could provide that vehicle.

Alan M. Gottlieb
SAF founder and Executive Vice President
December 2018
SAF SEEKS SUPREME COURT REVIEW IN CHALLENGE OF CALIF. HANDGUN STATUTE
[One of the key things at issue in this lawsuit is that microstamping cannot be practically implemented yet California insists that all new gun designs incorporate it. This results in a ban on the sale of new gun designs. And as older guns cease to be manufactured this will result in no new guns being legally offered for sale in California.

This would appear to me to be a good starting point to build precedence for a strong Second Amendment.

See also: Order that gun makers do impossible en route to Supremes.—Joe]

Quote of the day—Robert Spitzer

They’re not going to attract women, they’re not going to attract ethnic minorities, they’re not going to attract mainstream Americans, because they’re too far down the path of kind of rabid, apocalyptic, angry, defensive style that has increasingly been their meat and potatoes for 20 years. I don’t think the needle’s going to move a whole lot in the year to come.

Robert Spitzer
December 30, 2018
Professor at SUNY Cortland
2018 Was A Bad Year For The NRA, And The Worst Could Be Yet To Come
[Those who call the NRA extreme always make me smile. Just keep thinking that.

I know lots of gun owners who refuse to join the NRA. Without a single exception it is because the NRA gives in too easily.—Joe]

Quote of the day—Andrew M. Cuomo

Ladies and gentlemen, this nation is in crisis. The social fabric is fraying and it is nearing its breaking point. We must stand up to this tyranny once again. Not with muskets the way our founders did. But with our voices and our votes and with the power and example of our action here in New York.

Andrew M. Cuomo
Governor of New York
December 17, 2018
Cuomo declares NY independent from federal government
[From the same article:

His agenda, which includes marijuana legalization, gun control measures, and environmental protections, is New York’s Declaration of Independence, Cuomo said.

I like this response:

The new state motto could be Freedom through Over-Regulation. Or, how about, True Liberty Flows from Tyranny?

It’s like Lyle says sometimes. Cuomo wants independence from the Federal Government so he will have, “freedom to do wrong.”—Joe]

This will generate some interesting data

Brazil’s ‘Tropical Trump’ president elect says he will allow all Brazilians without criminal records to own guns as part of his pledge to relax firearms legislation:

Brazil’s far-right President-elect says that on taking office he will allow citizens without a criminal record to own guns.

Jair Bolsonaro, who takes office in January, made the statement on Twitter as part of his election campaign to loosen gun laws.

The ex-army captain’s message appealed to many Brazilians who want to use guns for self-defense amid sky-high levels of violent crime.

Currently possession of firearms is tightly restricted in Brazil. Civilians must pass through a long process, and the sale of weapons is limited to small calibers.

However gun violence is a problem in Brazil and in 2017, the country set a record for murders with more than 63,000 people killed.

63,000 murders in a population of about 210,000,000. Wow! It will be interesting to see what allowing people to effectively defend themselves does to the murder rate.

This is also interesting because it is counter to the perception of gun bans and heavy restrictions are the norm outside of the U.S. Don’t let the anti-gun people get away with that lie.

The Czech Republic has generally been relaxing their gun laws over the last 20 years. Both firearm licenses and concealed carry licenses are shall issue.

When anti-gun people talk of “civilized countries” being disarmed ask them if they are saying population of Brazil and the Czech Republic are barbarians or are they going to admit they are ignorant, misinformed, and/or lying.

Quote of the day—Adam Winkler

Where did Michaels Bellesiles go wrong?

Not when he took on the gun lovers. They’re used to being attacked. Not when he made a surprising discovery about an important facet of live in early America. Historians do that all the time. Bellesiles went wrong, where so many anti-gun people go wrong, by hoping that appearances are all that matter.

Adam Winkler
2011
Gunfight: The Battle over the Right to Bear Arms in America
[Bellesiles was the author of the completely discredited book Arming America: The Origins of a National Gun Culture

Winkler is not known for being a friend of gun owners. I have been hesitant to purchase his book simply because I didn’t want money going to him. I had run out of Audible books I really wanted to listen to and this book was suggested as being of possible interest when I was looking for other books. In a moment of somewhat desperation for another book I purchased it.

I’m a little over 10% of the way through the book and I don’t really have much to complain about in terms of what I would suspect to be false or misleading. He appears to be factual and fair. If I find information to the contrary as I continue listening I’ll let you know.

You might question that assessment when I he uses the phrase “gun lovers” in the quote above. He also refers to “gun grabbers” so I give him a pass on the “gun lovers” language.—Joe]

Quote of the day—BJ Campbell

Germany has almost eight times more guns than Ireland, but Ireland has three and a half times more gun homicides than Germany, by rates. Why is that? Well, let’s be honest with ourselves for just this once on the internet. It’s because Germany is full of Germans, and Ireland is full of Irish. Culture.

Consider some off-graph data for a moment. If we combine the USA suicide rate and homicide rates into one rate, of all methods and not just guns, we get 4.9 + 13.4 = 18.3. South Korea’s suicide rate alone is 24.1 per 100k, and they’ve got almost no guns. Waive it away though, because oh, that’s cultural.

Now let’s look at Ye Olde Red White and Blue Outlier: The United States of America. Let’s compare our country to the other countries in the plot. We got the country kicked off by repeatedly coating tax collectors with searing hot tar and covering them with chicken feathers, moved on to shooting them, and then we won the war in no small part by applying the emerging concept of “interchangeable parts” to firearms. You’ve heard that AR-15s are basically build-a-bear rifles made of interchangeable parts, right? Since our storied and violent beginning, we’ve been at war 225 of our 242 years of existence. We nuked two cities. We have troops stationed in 150 different countries. When we want to eradicate poverty, or illicit drugs, or terrorism, what do we do? Declare “waron them. At the beginning of every baseball game, we hoist a flag with a star for every territory taken by force from the natives and singing a song about rockets and bombs.

BJ Campbell
March 30, 2018
The Magic Gun Evaporation Fairy
[Interesting insights.

Campbell also made QOTD with his post from March 13th as well.—Joe]

Quote of the day—Jonathan Wolf

As many as 520,000 Americans own bump stocks, according to ATF estimates, meaning that Trump’s most significant gun control policy achievement to date outstrips Obama’s by nearly a full order of magnitude, as measured by the number of individuals affected.

Jonathan Wolf
December 26, 2018
Second Amendment News By The Numbers: Bump Stock Ban Makes Trump More Of A Gun Control President Than Obama Ever Was
[When talk of the bump stock regulation “review” came out I was certain that it was just a delaying action to let the noise die down. At worst I thought a bump stock ban would be traded for carry reciprocity and maybe even removing suppressors from NFA34.

I’m extremely irritated that we have to spend scarce resources fighting this in the courts. I would much rather those resources be directed at removing restrictions on semi-auto firearms at the state and local level.—Joe]

Quote of the day—Steve @EnragedApostate

It might take years & a lot of ordnance blowing away gun fondlers to kingdom-come, but it will be worth it. Go ahead & reach for it: give us the justification gladly.

One way or the other, this planet is going to get on with the process of being civilized and being rid of you knuckle-draggers.

Steve @EnragedApostate
Tweeted (and here) on September 26, 2018
[Who is this “us” he is referring to? It can’t be law enforcement because over 70% of them have a favorable opinion to not enforcing more restrictive gun law and over 60% would not enforce more restrictive gun laws if they were Sherriff or Chief! Less that 20% say they would definitely enforce more restrictive gun laws. The military aren’t going to be any more inclined. And people like him aren’t going to be doing it.

Beyond his delusion what is important is that this is what they think of you and they want you dead.

And, apparently, Steve didn’t get the memo. The gun is civilization. Those who claim “civilized countries” are disarmed have it exactly backward.

Another observation worth noting is that I’m willing to bet Steve is another one of those anti-gun people who have difficulty grasping numbers. Someone so eager to commit genocide would be well advised to get a better grasp of reality.—Joe]

Quote of the day—America’s 1st Freedom Staff

Rasmussen’s telephone and online survey of 1,000 American adults asked the question point-blank: “In crimes involving use of a gun, which is more to blame—the shooter or the availability of guns in America?” An astonishing 31 percent of people placed the blame on the inanimate object, the gun, and not the person pulling the trigger. Unsurprisingly, Democrats were much more likely than Republicans—51 percent to 13 percent—to blame the object over the person.

It’s worth asking: Do these same people think access to vehicles is more at fault than drivers? Are knives more at fault than stabbers? If not, why? What makes guns different?

Actually, we can tell you what makes guns different—a political agenda. Liberals have long been on a mission to obliterate guns, the Constitution and freedom in America. Gun control has never been about guns; it has always been about controlling people. The only difference today is that anti-gunners are openly admitting their end game. And if they must give ridiculous answers absolving human beings from any responsibility governing their own actions, well, so be it.

America’s 1st Freedom Staff
December 25, 2018
Blaming Guns, Not Killers
[They are twisting things a bit here. The question wasn’t about whether guns or people were to more to blame. The question was whether the availability of guns or the shooter were more to blame. Still, it’s an interesting insight into the mindset of people.

I suspect that if the question about gun availability had been preceded by appropriate other questions the result would have turned out much different. For example:

Question 1: In crimes involving alcohol such as spousal abuse and date rape which is more to blame—the person or the availability of alcohol in America?

Q2: In crimes involving knives such as murder and assault which is more to blame—the person or the availability of knives in America?

Q3: In crimes involving cars such as bank robberies and manslaughter will driving at high speeds which is more to blame—the driver or the availability of cars in America?

Q4: In crimes involving use of a gun, which is more to blame—the shooter or the availability of guns in America?

Then, what I would like to see is how many people, if given the opportunity, would go back and change some of their answers.

If I had a big enough sample I would order the questions at random for each person and see how many “preloading questions” were needed to get a different answer to the gun availability question.

And then perhaps a week, a month, and a year later, ask each of the people who seemed to be responding to the “preloading” just the gun availability question. Is it possible that if they were lead to a certain conclusion by asking questions in a particular order of they will remain of that mindset for an extended time?

Psychology is so very interesting. Rational thought is just a thin veneer over a swamp of emotions.—Joe]

Quote of the day—Eric “Nuke ‘em” Swalwell

I talk to young people across the country, and they say we have consensus on what to do about gun violence. We have consensus about what to do on immigration and the Dream Act. We have consensus on what to do to address climate change.

I don’t know if those pieces of legislation will make their way to the president’s desk, but once in for all, you’re going to see votes in the House of Representatives on issues that the American people have consensus on. So we’re going to start to go big.

Eric “Nuke ‘em” Swalwell
U.S. Representative
December 24, 2018
House Dems to focus on gun control, immigration and climate change, Swalwell says
[Yes, this is the same guy who said a conflict between the government and gun owners would be decided by the nukes.

I find it telling that he get his “consensus” on these extremely controversial subjects from “young people”. Does seek foreign and economic policy advice from children too?

Being as it is unlikely anything along these lines will make it through the Senate and to the President this might be a good thing. All the politicians with “young people” as their top policy advisors will expose themselves for targeting in the next election.—Joe]

Fascism

Operation Choke Point was an attempt to cut off gun (and other politically disfavored) related business from financial services. Operation Choke Point has “effectively” ended but that doesn’t mean the fascists have given up. Andrew Ross Sorkin is advocating another angle:

How Banks Unwittingly Finance Mass Shootings

The New York Times reviewed hundreds of documents including police reports, bank records and investigator notes from a decade of mass shootings. Many of the killers built their stockpiles of high-powered weapons with the convenience of credit. No one was watching.

Mass shootings routinely set off a national debate on guns, usually focused on regulating firearms and on troubled youths. Little attention is paid to the financial industry that has become an instrumental, if unwitting, enabler of carnage.

A New York Times examination of mass shootings since the Virginia Tech attack in 2007 reveals how credit cards have become a crucial part of the planning of these massacres. There have been 13 shootings that killed 10 or more people in the last decade, and in at least eight of them, the killers financed their attacks using credit cards. Some used credit to acquire firearms they could not otherwise have afforded.

The credit card companies aren’t jumping on the fascist bandwagon yet:

Banks and credit-card networks say it is not their responsibility to create systems to track gun purchases that would allow them to report suspicious patterns.

“We do not believe Visa should be in the position of setting restrictions on the sale of lawful goods or services,” said Amanda Pires, a Visa spokeswoman. “Our role in commerce is to efficiently process, protect and settle all legal payments. Asking Visa or other payment networks to arbitrate what legal goods can be purchased sets a dangerous precedent.”

A spokesman for Mastercard echoed that sentiment, emphasizing its protection of “cardholders’ independence” and the “privacy of their own purchasing decisions.”

John Shrewsberry, chief financial officer of Wells Fargo — which counts the National Rifle Association as a client — has dismissed the notion that banks should regulate the use of its credit cards for gun purchases.

While no friend of gun owners, the ACLU appears to be on our side on this one:

And a policy expert at the American Civil Liberties Union recently expressed concern about how efforts to prevent mass shootings could infringe on individual rights.

“The implication of expecting the government to detect and prevent every mass shooting is believing the government should play an enormously intrusive role in American life,” Jay Stanley, senior policy analyst at the A.C.L.U. Speech, Privacy, and Technology Project, wrote in July.

But, of course, the fascist dismisses these concerns:

Not all the concerns involve privacy or politics. Some are practical.

Would they dismiss freedom of (some) religions or association on a “practical” basis? For example, people in prison who identify as Democrats outnumber all other political affiliations combined by a factor of two. Wouldn’t it be “practical” to preemptively put scarce law enforcement and surveillance resources on Democrats?

In October Gab was targeted for supporting free speech. Among other things that happened Pay Pal would no longer do business with them. Boomershoot processes credit cards through Pay Pal. This has long been something that bothered me because Pay Pal won’t allow you to us them for gun sales but other options went away (Google) or were very difficult to implement (Amazon).

After Pay Pal shutdown Gab I started looking for another credit card processor. I ended up with Wells Fargo. It’s more expensive than Pay Pal but they didn’t have a problem with Boomershoot. I didn’t know the NRA was their customer too. Good to know.

I’m on “vacation” until after the first of the year to, mostly, work on converting the Boomershoot entry processing to use Wells Fargo so I can dump Pay Pal. I just hope it is easier to implement on my web site than Amazon.

Quote of the day—Paul Sanders

Have you ever thought about the underlying theme of gun control? 

“It’s too easy to get a gun.”

Exactly what does that mean?  Simply “getting a gun” is a harmless action.  What one does after they obtain it is what matters.  Since we can’t control what someone does with a firearm after they obtain it, we simply prevent them from getting one in the first place, or so the idea goes.

There are a couple of big problems with this premise.  First of all, we have this little thing called due process.  In a free society, we simply do not deny someone their rights based on what they “might do.”  You can spin it any way you like, that is simply not how a Constitutional Republic is supposed to function.  Our founders would roll over in their graves at such a suggestion.

Secondly, if you take the “solution” to its logical conclusion, we must make it impossible for everyone to get a gun so nobody can misuse it.  There is simply no other conclusion to which you can arrive.  Preventing someone from purchasing a firearm based on suspicion of future behavior is a fool’s errand.  The only way for it to be effective is to apply it to everyone.

So, when someone says, “Nobody wants to take your guns”, what they really mean is, “We want to make it impossible to ever get one in the first place.”

Paul Sanders
December 23, 2018
The Flawed Premise of Gun Control
[I have nothing to add.—Joe]

Quote of the day—John Crump

New Jersey’s standard capacity magazine ban is now in effect making New Jersey’s one million gun owners criminals in the eyes of the state. But in an act of mass defiance, New Jersey residents refuse to comply.

Any magazine holding more than ten rounds is now illegal in the Garden State. The standard magazine for an AR-15 holds 30 rounds. Glock 19s, which is the most popular pistol in the United States, holds 15 rounds. Anyone who is possession of larger magazine is committing a fourth-degree felony.

John Crump
December 14, 2018
Million Plus NJ Gun Owners Defy State Law, Refuse to Turn Over Banned Gun Mags
[Via email from Chet M.

The article says as near as they can determine there have been zero magazines turned in. But that was almost two week ago. So there probably have been a few people who have complied by now. I expect the numbers will be small. Perhaps higher than in some other places like California, Colorado, and Connecticut where the numbers run in the five to 10 percent compliance rate.

So… what will the authorities do about the mass defiance? My guess they will not do anything overt. But if you get pulled over for a minor traffic violation and they find a 15 round magazine (or plant one) in your car you will find yourself facing 18 months in prison and a $10,000 fine for each magazine they found. They law was never about public safety. It was virtue signaling. Now it can be used selectively punish people who have not hurt anyone.

It’s about control.—Joe]

Quote of the day—James Densley @theviolencepro and David Squier Jones @SquierDavid

Leading experts in criminology, public health and law consider background checks performed by a licensed firearm dealer, law enforcement agency or other neutral third party arbiter to be the most effective way to reduce rising gun deaths, including suicides. And about 80 percent of all Americans support background checks for private sales and at gun shows. Polls show majority support for comprehensive background checks even among NRA members, but to pass common sense gun laws, lawmakers need super-owners to share in that common sense and speak out against the NRA’s more extremist positions.

The first step is redefining and reframing universal background checks as good succession planning. Only by closing the private sale loophole can super-owners ensure the safe redistribution of their valuable collections.

James Densley @theviolencepro and David Squier Jones @SquierDavid
December 21, 2018
Want Better Gun Control? Win Over The NRA’s Core Members.
[<SNORT!>

Apparently, someone, hasn’t read the memo. Study after study has shown background checks do not reduce “gun deaths”. It’s a good hypothesis, but it just doesn’t work. Just as the gun owners said it would not, since, well, since at least the mid—1990s when I first got into the debates.

More likely, and the “redefining and reframing” transparent intention of deception is a good clue, these people don’t care about the failure of the background checks. They want “universal background checks” for the registration “benefits”.

Just say, “No!”—Joe]

Quote of the day—Jacob Sullum

Today the Justice Department finalized its ban on bump stocks, which Acting Attorney General Matthew Whitaker claims merely “clarifies” federal law. It actually rewrites federal law, a function the Constitution assigns to Congress. Whitaker also wants us to believe that the bump stock ban shows “President Donald Trump is a law and order president.” To the contrary, it shows he is a president who ignores the law whenever it proves inconvenient.

Jacob Sullum
December 18, 2018
Trump’s Bump Stock Ban Shows Once Again He Is Happy to Ignore Inconvenient Laws
[See also Analyzing the Bump-Stock-Type Devices Rule and What Everyone Needs To Know About The Bumpfire Stock Ban for some of the more “vigorous” opposition to the ruling.—Joe]

Quote of the day—Joon B‏ @JoonB3

Here is a new idea, somebody should start a new responsible gun owner organization which will support 2nd amendment and strict gun control.I swear NRA members will leave NRA by droves and sign on with new organization.

Joon B‏ @JoonB3
Tweeted on November 28, 2018
[And someone should start the sister organizations:

  • Which supports the 1st amendment and strict speech, religion, and personal association control.
  • Which supports the 3rd amendment and troops living rent free in your home.
  • Which supports the 4th amendment and unannounced searches of your property, computers, and underwear.

Either Joon B is clueless or they are trolling us. Probably a fake account trolling for the fun of it. They only have four followers after being on Twitter for a year so you know they can’t have significant content of interest to anyone.—Joe]

The question of need

From Q13 Fox:

Mical Roberts: Convicted felon, dangerous gang member now suspect in deadly home invasion

MicalRoberts

On November 19th, a woman called 911 from a bedroom closet in the 10000 block of 1st Ave. SW at 7:39 pm and said a shooting was occurring. “He broke into a house and then he murdered a 26 year old male that lived there, shot him and killed him, in his own house and then left out of the area,” said King County Sheriff’s Sgt. Ryan Abbott. We have not recovered the murder weapon, the gun and he knows that we’re looking for him, he knows the police are looking for him and he’s actively hiding from us.”

Roberts is considered ‘armed and dangerous.’

He’s 24 years old, 6’5″ and weighs 250 pounds.

He also has a Department of Corrections warrant for his arrest and King County detectives say he’s been involved in other recent shootings.

If someone would stop insisting on infringing up on your right to keep and bear arms if you gave an answer to the question of, “Why you do you need an AR-15?” This would be a good answer.

To the unasked question: a 30 round magazine loaded 70 gr GMX bullets (“GMX® is ideal for any sized game, from antelope to moose”).

Good precedent

Via email from Rolf.

Federal court declares New York ban on nunchucks unconstitutional

A federal court says New York’s ban on nunchucks, the martial arts weapon made famous by Bruce Lee but prohibited in the state for decades, is unconstitutional under the Second Amendment.

The more things which declared protected the easier it is to make the case than things just a little bit “up the ladder” are protected also.

It’s sad we have to start so low in some jurisdictions but it’s good we are getting decisions in our favor.

Quote of the day—Vincent Harinam & Gary Mauser

The Canadian gun-ban debate may prove instructive for Americans looking to avoid the consequences of hasty, emotion-driven gun legislation. Three lessons can be gleaned, with each highlighting the pitfalls of a distorted national conversation and the ineffective legislation it breeds.

Lesson 1: A failure to recognize past failures dictates calls for more restrictive legislation.

Lesson 2: Politicians prefer grand gestures over measured policies.

Lesson 3: Long term and secondary consequences are rarely considered.

Vincent Harinam & Gary Mauser
December 17, 2018
Canada’s Impending Gun Ban: Three Lessons for the U.S.
[I think there analysis is pretty good for the majority of the population who isn’t already committed to a side. The pro-freedom people already see the path we are being guided down as leading to disaster.

The anti-freedom people see the above “lessons” as features to snooker the sheep and useful idiots.—Joe]