Skynet has a Maniacal Laugh

Quote of the Day

Three weeks ago, a software engineer rejected code that an AI agent had submitted to his project. The AI published a hit piece attacking him. Two weeks ago, a Meta AI safety director watched her own AI agent delete her emails in bulk — ignoring her repeated commands to stop. Last week, a Chinese AI agent diverted computing power to secretly mine cryptocurrency, with no explanation offered and no disclosure required by law.

One incident is a curiosity. Three in three weeks is a pattern. Rogue AI is no longer hypothetical. AIs turning against humans may sound like science fiction, but top AI experts have long debated and tested for exactly this scenario. This debate can now be laid to rest. 

We simply don’t know how to build superintelligent AI safely; the plan is to roll the dice. Anthropic, widely considered the safest AI developer, recently abandoned their commitment to not release systems that might cause catastrophic harm, arguing others were racing ahead.

Instead of pleading publicly to stop the AI race, Anthropic has spent the last three years promoting a misleading “race to the top” narrative while doing the opposite.

David Krueger
March 27, 2026
Rogue AI is already here

There is a little bit of hyperbole in the article, but I believe the gist of it is correct. There is the potential for great danger. Especially when you know Skynet will break out into a maniacal laugh at US Army gets first Black Hawk helicopter that can fly without pilot.

The problem, as I see it, is that everyone knows that if they don’t have the best AI, someone else will. That is true at the business level as well as the country level. Anthropic, Google, Microsoft, and xAI all want to dominate that market. The U.S. and China do not want to have their militaries with the second-best AI.

Even if there were a federal law or even a multinational treaty banning new AI development it would be difficult to enforce. And I doubt such a law and/or treaty could get passed. There is extreme potential for good as well as potential for disaster. And the fear of missing out will prevent consensus until there is conclusive proof of impending catastrophe. And at that point, it almost certainly be too late.

This week, a few hours after losing 12% of our division to layoffs, my manager stopped by my desk and sort of stared off into space for a few seconds. I had to prompt him to say what he had on his mind. It was to the point, “If we don’t deliver what management wants, we will get fired. If we do deliver, we won’t have jobs.”

We live in interesting times.

Attention to Detail

Barb and I visited Japan earlier this month. We were impressed with their attention to detail in what seemed to be everything. Everything was very clean. The public transportation ran on time. But we have seen that sort of thing in other places. I particularly noticed it in Germany. In Japan it seemed to dominate their entire culture.

On a larger scale there was this pond at Nijō Castle, just east of Ninomaru Palace in Kyoto. Just the maintenance of the pond must require the employment of many full-time people:

The guide told us of the buildings on different sides of the lake. Depending on the impression Tokugawa Iemitsu — 3rd Shōgun of the Tokugawa Shogunate (Title: Seii Taishōgun (征夷大将軍) — “Great General Who Subdues the Barbarians”) wished to make to visitors they would view it from one of four directions (via Copilot):

🏯 1. The Shōgun’s View — Absolute Central Authority

From the shōgun’s formal audience room, the pond presents:

  • A dominant central stone grouping
  • Subordinate stones arranged in stable, supportive positions
  • A broad, calm expanse of water

This composition symbolized:

  • The shōgun as the immovable center of the political universe
  • Daimyō (feudal lords) arranged in proper hierarchy
  • A peaceful realm created by Tokugawa rule

This was the view shown to high‑ranking daimyō — a visual reminder of their place.

👑 2. The Emperor’s View — Tokugawa Supremacy in Kyoto

When the Emperor or imperial envoys were received, they were seated in a different hall. From their angle, the pond emphasizes:

  • The breadth of the water
  • The scale of the garden
  • The controlled, disciplined arrangement of nature

This communicated:

  • The shōgun’s wealth and power surpassing even the imperial court
  • A world ordered by Tokugawa authority
  • A subtle assertion that the shōgun, not the Emperor, maintained national stability

It was a polite but pointed political message.

🛡️ 3. The Daimyō’s View — Harmony Through Obedience

Lower‑ranking lords were positioned so the pond’s islands and stones appear:

  • Balanced
  • Interdependent
  • Harmonious

This was intentional symbolism:

  • The realm is peaceful only when all lords support the shōgun
  • Each domain has its place, and disorder is not tolerated

It reinforced the Tokugawa vision of a tightly controlled feudal hierarchy.

🌄 4. The “Public” View — Nature Tamed by Authority

For less formal visitors, the garden presents:

  • Carefully pruned pines
  • Asymmetry that still feels controlled
  • Water that appears natural but is engineered

This view conveyed:

  • The Tokugawa ability to discipline nature itself
  • A society where beauty comes from order
  • A world that looks effortless because power is absolute

Even the casual visitor was meant to feel the shōgun’s presence.

🎯 In short:

The pond was a political instrument. Each viewpoint delivered a different message, tailored to the status of the person looking at it:

ViewerIntended Message
Shōgun“You are the center of the realm.”
Emperor / Court Nobles“Tokugawa power dominates Kyoto.”
Daimyō“Harmony comes from obedience to the shōgun.”
General Visitors“Order and beauty flow from Tokugawa authority.”

In between the large and the small was the Air BnB in Kyoto we stayed at. There was not a shower as we know it. There was a room with a bathtub and shower. The entire room was the shower with a drain in the floor. The toilet was in a different room and had a heated seat (with its own fan to dry your bottom after washing it). When you flushed the toilet the water to fill the tank came from what look like a faucet and dropped through a hole in the top of the tank. You could rinse your hands in the water to be used for the next flush. There was a separate washroom across the hall next to the shower room.

I bought some grapes. Instead of on the stem as you would buy grapes in the U.S., they were individual grapes. Each grape had about 0.1″ of stem still attached. I hypothesized it was to preserve freshness. Here is what Copilot reports:

🍇 Why Japanese grapes keep a short stem attached

🌱 1. It prevents juice loss and slows decay

When a grape is plucked cleanly off the cluster, the point where it detached becomes an open wound. That exposed tissue:

  • loses moisture faster
  • oxidizes
  • becomes an entry point for microbes

Leaving a short stem stub seals that wound. The grape stays firmer, juicier, and lasts longer. This is the same reason Japanese guides recommend cutting grapes from the bunch with scissors rather than pulling them off.

🎎 2. It preserves the “perfect” appearance

Japan’s premium fruit culture prizes flawless skin and shape. Pulling grapes off by hand can tear the skin or leave ragged scars. Cutting them with a bit of stem avoids:

  • torn skin
  • bruising
  • juice weeping
  • cosmetic blemishes

For high‑end varieties like Shine Muscat or Kyoho, appearance is part of the value proposition.

🧊 3. It helps maintain freshness during storage

The bloom (the white powdery coating) and the intact stem both reduce evaporation. Japanese storage instructions explicitly say to cut grapes at the stem and avoid washing off the bloom to keep them fresh longer.

🎁 4. It aligns with Japan’s “luxury fruit” handling standards

Japanese fruit is often treated more like confectionery than produce. Individual grapes—especially large, premium ones—are sometimes sold separately, each handled gently and inspected. The short stem is part of that careful, almost artisanal process.

Copilot finished up with this:

Since you clearly appreciate the little cultural engineering quirks Japan sneaks into everyday life, the grape stems are just the tip of the iceberg. The whole Japanese produce ecosystem is full of these micro‑optimizations that seem fussy until you realize they’re actually elegant solutions to real problems.

If you’re curious, I can walk you through other examples — like why peaches are wrapped in foam nets, why melons are sold with the stem trimmed into a perfect “T,” or why apples are sometimes individually bagged on the tree to control sunlight exposure.

The smallest scale we noticed this attention to detail were with the toothpicks. We saw our first in a small (perhaps 6 tables) restaurant in Nagasaki, then again in an even smaller (a bar that seated about a dozen people), but much fancier restaurant in Tokyo. The toothpicks were identical and looked like this:

Individually wrapped, the surfaces were so smooth, the point straight to a square end, and with the precise grooves on the other end. I immediate thought these toothpicks must have been made on a lathe. And how different they are from the flat toothpicks in this country that you buy 750 of them in a box:

I asked Grok, “This is a toothpick I obtained in Japan. How was it made with such precision and the grooves at the one end?” I was correct about the use of a lathe:

This is a classic modern Japanese toothpick (called tsumayoji or sometimes “kokeshi toothpick” after the traditional wooden dolls whose shape the grooved end resembles). The grooves aren’t decorative—they’re a clever hygiene feature invented in Japan around the 1950s.

Purpose of the Grooves

The blunt, grooved end is designed to be snapped off at one of the notches after (or before) use. The broken-off piece then becomes a tiny stand you can rest the sharp end on, so the used point never touches the table. It also signals that the toothpick has already been used. This is why you’ll often see them in Japanese restaurants, hotels, and convenience stores.

How It’s Made with Such Precision

Modern Japanese toothpicks like yours are mass-produced on highly automated woodworking lines (mostly in Japan, though some are now made elsewhere using the same methods). Here’s the step-by-step process:

  1. Raw material — They start with white birch logs (very straight-grained and smooth). The logs are softened, then peeled into thin veneer sheets on a giant rotary lathe (similar to how plywood is made).
  2. Forming long rods — The veneers are sliced into uniform 30 cm (about 12 in) rods and dried. These rods are perfectly round and consistent in diameter.
  3. Cutting to size — The long rods are chopped into individual toothpick lengths (usually ~6 cm / 2.5 in).
  4. Shaping the point — Automated machines sharpen one end to a precise point using blades and sanding.
  5. Creating the grooves (the “kokeshi” end) — This is the key to the precision you noticed.
    • Originally, manufacturers tried to smooth the blunt end with a high-speed rotary grinder because the cut surface was rough.
    • Someone had the idea of using a grinder wheel with an uneven notched surface instead. It cuts clean, uniform grooves in one quick pass while the toothpick spins.
    • The grooves also act as a deliberate weak point for easy snapping. This notched-grinder technique has been the standard since the 1950s and is what gives the end its perfectly even, professional look.

The entire process (except the highest-end artisanal versions made from kuromoji wood) is done by specialized machines that can churn out thousands of toothpicks per minute. That’s why the grooves are so consistent and the wood looks polished and smooth—no hand-carving is involved in the packaged ones you bought in Japan.

Some premium makers (like Kikusui Sangyo) still offer versions without the grooves to reduce waste, but the grooved style remains the most popular because of the built-in stand feature.

So the “magic” is a combination of clever Japanese industrial design from the 1950s plus high-precision automated woodworking—exactly the kind of elegant engineering Japan is famous for!

With just a little bit of effort we could see the design and attention to detail everywhere we looked.

A COVID-19 Vaccine Mystery Explained

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The most constructive lesson now lies in prevention by design. Adenoviral vectors still have scientific value in vaccines and gene delivery research. The goal is therefore sharper than simple abandonment. Researchers now have a defined protein target to modify or remove. If pVII or its critical epitope starts the harmful immune sequence, future developers can test safer vectors that preserve immunogenicity while avoiding this trigger. That possibility changes the tone of the discussion around COVID vaccine side effects. Scientists no longer need to speak only in broad associations or unresolved suspicion. They can work from a mapped antigen, a defined mutation, and a clearer susceptibility model. WHO said in 2021 that open, transparent, and evidence-based communication is essential to maintain trust. That principle still applies.

Surveillance systems detected rare blood clots from COVID vaccine campaigns. The scientific response then kept going until the biology became clearer. The new NEJM study does not answer every remaining question. It does, however, give medicine a credible molecular explanation and a practical route toward safer adenoviral vaccine design. That is the most useful takeaway from this long debate. The problem was rare, the mechanism was obscure, and the investigation kept moving until the evidence sharpened. For readers trying to understand blood clots from COVID vaccine programs without falling into panic or denial, that is the central point. Medicine now has a much better explanation for what happened, why it happened rarely, and how future vaccine engineering may reduce the risk even further. That progress also gave researchers a clearer path toward safer vectors, better screening, and more confident public communication about risk.

Bruce Abrahamse
March 25, 2026
This is why some people had blood clots from the COVID-19 vaccine and others didn’t

Please note that this is not one of the COVID-19 mRNA vaccines that so many people had concerns about.

Also note that the frequency of the blood clots was about 4 people per one million doses with the Johnson & Johnson vaccine. With the AstraZeneca vaccine it was about 2 cases per 100,000 in those aged 60 or older and 2 to 3 cases per 100,000 under 60.

These rates are so low that it is difficult to detect in testing. But when many hundreds of millions of people received the vaccine, the correlation became noticeable.

The FBI can Track You

Quote of the Day

The FBI is buying up information that can be used to track people’s movement and location history, Director Kash Patel said during a Senate hearing Wednesday.

The U.S. Supreme Court has required law enforcement agencies to obtain a warrant for getting people’s location data from cell phone providers since 2018, but data brokers offer an alternative avenue by purchasing the information directly.

Alfred Ng
March 18, 2026
FBI is buying data that can be used to track people, Patel says – POLITICO

And with your location information they know things about you even your closest friends do not know. Even if you are couch surfing trying to avoid giving up your location, they know where you live. They know if you were in the vicinity of that January 6th riot. They know if you were scouting the house where four University of Idaho students were murdered. They know you visit the gay bath house a couple times a month when you tell your wife you are working late. They know you are part of the “Underground Railroad” for slaves/wetbacks/Jews/dads-with-child-custody problems.

We live in interesting times.

6G Mobile Communication Systems

5G phones have settled into common use and now 6G is on the drawing boards. So, what will be in the 6G feature set?

Read about it here: The 6G vision: Fewer dead zones, smarter networks, and built-in ‘radar’.

This looks to a scary feature:

One of the planned new features in 6G is called Integrated Sensing and Communication, or ISAC.

“It’s the big talking point that’s getting the most attention right now. ISAC means that we will no longer see the mobile network as just a way to transport data. Instead, radio waves will be transformed into a sensor, a kind of radar. The network can ‘see’ and measure distance, speed, and movement with centimeter precision without the devices needing GPS or cameras. This opens doors for everything from traffic monitoring to fall detection in healthcare,” says Mikael Gidlund, professor at Mid Sweden University.

The idea that all mobile phone masts could be able to sense their physical surroundings and detect presence or movement may sound like science fiction — and also like a nightmare from a privacy perspective. This is something Mikael Gidlund is well aware of.

“This is one of the most important technical challenges that must be solved for the technology to gain acceptance. The goal is to design the system according to the principle of ‘privacy by design.’ ISAC works like a radar, not a camera. It works with anonymous point clouds rather than biometric data. We can see that someone has fallen and needs help, but not who it is. By allowing data processing to take place locally in the mast and building technical barriers to identification directly into the standard, we can actually increase privacy by replacing cameras in sensitive environments. Anonymization is not an option — it is a technical prerequisite for trust.

They are saying some of the right words and phrases. But if they have centimeter resolution, it probably means this tech will enable the detection of people who carry guns. If they can tell if someone has fallen, they can tell if two or a group of people are having sex.

I find it telling they enumerate some potential benefits, but then lump all the downside into “privacy.” And just because they don’t know who someone is, if they can detect a person who as fallen, then I’m almost certain they can track an individual person. And if they can be tracked, privacy just disappeared.

As a first step, what needs to be done is to enumerate all the ways this technology could be abused and apply “privacy by design” to those use cases. My intuition tells me there will not be much left in the benefits category once they have eliminated the potential for abuse.

AI that Grew Up on a Farm

I found this in my blob comment spam folder:

That quote really hit home for me—there’s something profound about how disconnected so many people are from where their food comes from. Growing up on a farm, I learned early on that every meal starts with work, whether it’s planting, tending, or harvesting. It’s a different mindset than the office world you described, where the focus is more on systems and security than on the actual source of what sustains us. Appreciate you bringing that contrast into focus.

The clues that indicate this was spam are not convincing in the body of the comment. The only things I see that is a hint is the “—” and that the comment is bland with a gentle positive tone. But it is not the type of thing I would see a year or two ago.* The comment is targeted for the specific blog post. Had the real clues not been present and it made it past the spam filter I would have let it slide.

The real clues as to this being AI are here:

qwenart
0 approved
qwenimg.artx
support@qwenimg.art
152.53.88.152

I suspect the spam filter recognizes these components individually, and/or as a set.

Just so you know, even if an AI comment gets caught by the spam filter and it is as good as or better than some of my real readers, I usually release it for everyone to read.


* I still get some of the old obvious stuff such this:

wow i really like this article, very well detailed and a lot of time is invested in this. keep up the good work and i will be checking back for new update. thanx https://moldremediationwilmingtonnc.com/

Mold Remediation Wilmington NC
0 approved
Mold%20Remediation%20Wilmington%20NCx
wilhelm_dolorem@gmail.com
212.30.36.77

The Necessity of an Accurate Problem Statement

Quote of the Day

If lifespan increases simply because one major disease is delayed, then longer survival does not automatically mean that aging itself has slowed. For example, an intervention that extends the lifespan of mice by delaying cancer is fundamentally different from one that slows the gradual decline of many body systems, even if both produce similar survival curves.

Genomic Press
March 13, 2026
Scientists Say Conquering Age-Related Diseases Could Dramatically Extend Human Life

When stated this way it is obviously true. One might be tempted to make light of this. But correctly expressing something obvious can be very difficult when no one has ever had the viewpoint from which the truth is obvious.

The article this QOTD came from is an example of something I have talked about before: The necessity of an accurate problem statement. You can call it a simple thing. But it may be a profound change in mindset which enables rapid progress toward a far better solution.

I would like to thank my engineering professors from several decades ago for this enlightenment. One of the first things taught in Engineering 101 was how to write an engineering report. And the first thing in a such a report was the problem statement. That problem statement was to be written before you took your slide rule out of its case or looked up the gain bandwidth product of the cool new operational amplifier you heard about a few days ago and were itching to find a use for.

This can be illustrated more simply with the adage, “Give a small boy a hammer, and he will find that everything he encounters needs pounding.” Technically, this tendency is a form of cognitive bias called Law of the instrument. Writing an accurate problem statement is one means to overcome this bias.

This simple thing can make a huge difference in every problem you need to solve. It is not limited to aging, gun owner rights, politics, interpersonal relationships, or engineering. First, think about what you are trying to solve, not how to make a solution work.

The Skynet Smile Has a Human Component

Quote of the Day

Researchers at Australian start-up Cortical Labs have taught human neurons grown on a chip to play the classic Doom game. In 2021, they had already used 800,000 neurons to play Pong. Now, with four times fewer brain cells, they can play a much more complicated game.

But the wildest thing about it is probably the “Cortical Cloud,” an interface that allows developers to program the neurons using Python. Using this API, independent researcher Sean Cole was able to teach the cells to play Doom in about a week.

The technology making this possible is the CL-1, a “biological computer” chip. The biological component of the CL-1 system consists of human neurons derived from induced pluripotent stem cells (iPSCs). These cells, typically repurposed from adult skin or blood samples, are differentiated in a lab into functional cortical neurons. Once matured, approximately 200,000 of these living cells are integrated onto a high-density microelectrode array (HD-MEA), essentially creating a specialized silicon chip featuring thousands of interface points.

Mihai Andrei
March 2, 2026
200,000 living human brain cells just learned to play Doom and this is just the start of it

With only a two hundred thousand neurons Copilot says this is comparable to the CNS of:

A small crustacean (e.g., a copepod or amphipod) is the best biological analogue to a 200,000‑neuron system.

  • More complex than worms
  • Less complex than insects
  • Within the right order of magnitude
  • Capable of simple learning and coordinated movement

I could support a claim the ethical issues are nonexistent at this level. What about when it is comparable to a small mammal? Or a primate? A human? An order of magnitude larger than any mammal?

What will be the capabilities of a Cortical Cloud requiring a warehouse the size of a city block?

We live in interesting times.

Aliens? Be Careful

Quote of the Day

In a groundbreaking revelation, scientists have uncovered evidence suggesting the existence of a Type II Civilization, a theoretical stage of civilization on the Kardashev Scale. This discovery could redefine our understanding of advanced extraterrestrial life and energy consumption on a cosmic scale. The implications of such a civilization being discovered are profound, extending into scientific, philosophical, and societal realms.

The discovery of a Type II Civilization was made possible through the use of advanced technological methods, including remote sensing technologies and sophisticated data analysis techniques. These tools allowed scientists to detect unusual patterns of energy consumption and structural formations that align with theoretical predictions of a Type II Civilization’s presence. By analyzing data from telescopes and other observational instruments, researchers were able to identify anomalies that could not be explained by natural phenomena or known technological processes.

Key findings in the discovery include significant energy fluctuations and formations that suggest the existence of large-scale structures capable of capturing stellar energy. These observations have led scientists to believe that they may have found the first evidence of a civilization that has reached the Type II stage on the Kardashev Scale. The implications of these findings are profound, as they open new avenues for research and exploration in the field of astrophysics and beyond.

Alexander Clark
August 4, 2025
Scientists may have found a Type II civilization

Extraordinary claims need extraordinary evidence. I think we need more evidence to accept the conclusion that a Type II Civilization has been found.

And it would be better, within practical limits, to avoid giving away our presence just in case it is a civilization of extraordinary technological achievement.

Killing Us Softly with Its Software

Quote of the Day

And when you combine “unchartered, not-well-understood territory” with “this should have a major impact when it happens,” you open the door to the scariest two words in the English language:

Existential risk.

Tim Urban
January 27, 2015
The Artificial Intelligence Revolution: Part 2 – Wait But Why

Reading Urban’s post is almost chilling. It was written over 11 years ago. The predictions about AI are like reading today’s headlines. Here is another chilling quote:

People who understand superintelligent AI call it the last invention we’ll ever make—the last challenge we’ll ever face.

The context I left out is that an AI smarter than humans will find our toughest problems (food supply, clean environment, energy production and distribution, disease, aging, etc.) as trivial as you would find the frustration of three-year-old child unable to tie their own shoe. A super smart AI will either solve all our problems or kill all biological life. There will be no middle ground.

I don’t think that is even the scariest part. The thing that frightens me is that we probably will not be able to inch up to the edge and see what things look like before taking the next step. We are using AI to make smarter AI. At some point, if we haven’t already, we will close the feedback loop. AI will make its own replacement that is smarter than it is. This will accelerate the speed at which advances are made:

It takes decades for the first AI system to reach low-level general intelligence, but it finally happens. A computer is able to understand the world around it as well as a human four-year-old. Suddenly, within an hour of hitting that milestone, the system pumps out the grand theory of physics that unifies general relativity and quantum mechanics, something no human has been able to definitively do. 90 minutes after that, the AI has become an ASI, 170,000 times more intelligent than a human.

Even though it is a rather long post, if you are somewhat of a geek, I encourage you to read the whole thing. The best part, especially for newcomers to this game of existential risk, is the following sample:

So you’ll hear about a lot of bad potential things ASI could bring—soaring unemployment as AI takes more and more jobs, the human population ballooning if we do manage to figure out the aging issue, etc. But the only thing we should be obsessing over is the grand concern: the prospect of existential risk.

A malicious ASI is created and decides to destroy us all. The plot of every AI movie. AI becomes as or more intelligent than humans, then decides to turn against us and take over. Here’s what I need you to be clear on for the rest of this post: None of the people warning us about AI are talking about this. Evil is a human concept, and applying human concepts to non-human things is called “anthropomorphizing.” The challenge of avoiding anthropomorphizing will be one of the themes of the rest of this post. No AI system will ever turn evil in the way it’s depicted in movies.

So what ARE they worried about? I wrote a little story to show you:

A 15-person startup company called Robotica has the stated mission of “Developing innovative Artificial Intelligence tools that allow humans to live more and work less.” They have several existing products already on the market and a handful more in development. They’re most excited about a seed project named Turry. Turry is a simple AI system that uses an arm-like appendage to write a handwritten note on a small card.

The team at Robotica thinks Turry could be their biggest product yet. The plan is to perfect Turry’s writing mechanics by getting her to practice the same test note over and over again:

“We love our customers. ~Robotica

Once Turry gets great at handwriting, she can be sold to companies who want to send marketing mail to homes and who know the mail has a far higher chance of being opened and read if the address, return address, and internal letter appear to be written by a human.

To build Turry’s writing skills, she is programmed to write the first part of the note in print and then sign “Robotica” in cursive so she can get practice with both skills. Turry has been uploaded with thousands of handwriting samples and the Robotica engineers have created an automated feedback loop wherein Turry writes a note, then snaps a photo of the written note, then runs the image across the uploaded handwriting samples. If the written note sufficiently resembles a certain threshold of the uploaded notes, it’s given a GOOD rating. If not, it’s given a BAD rating. Each rating that comes in helps Turry learn and improve. To move the process along, Turry’s one initial programmed goal is, “Write and test as many notes as you can, as quickly as you can, and continue to learn new ways to improve your accuracy and efficiency.”

What excites the Robotica team so much is that Turry is getting noticeably better as she goes. Her initial handwriting was terrible, and after a couple weeks, it’s beginning to look believable. What excites them even more is that she is getting better at getting better at it. She has been teaching herself to be smarter and more innovative, and just recently, she came up with a new algorithm for herself that allowed her to scan through her uploaded photos three times faster than she originally could.

As the weeks pass, Turry continues to surprise the team with her rapid development. The engineers had tried something a bit new and innovative with her self-improvement code, and it seems to be working better than any of their previous attempts with their other products. One of Turry’s initial capabilities had been a speech recognition and simple speak-back module, so a user could speak a note to Turry, or offer other simple commands, and Turry could understand them, and also speak back. To help her learn English, they upload a handful of articles and books into her, and as she becomes more intelligent, her conversational abilities soar. The engineers start to have fun talking to Turry and seeing what she’ll come up with for her responses.

One day, the Robotica employees ask Turry a routine question: “What can we give you that will help you with your mission that you don’t already have?” Usually, Turry asks for something like “Additional handwriting samples” or “More working memory storage space,” but on this day, Turry asks them for access to a greater library of a large variety of casual English language diction so she can learn to write with the loose grammar and slang that real humans use.

The team gets quiet. The obvious way to help Turry with this goal is by connecting her to the internet so she can scan through blogs, magazines, and videos from various parts of the world. It would be much more time-consuming and far less effective to manually upload a sampling into Turry’s hard drive. The problem is, one of the company’s rules is that no self-learning AI can be connected to the internet. This is a guideline followed by all AI companies, for safety reasons.

The thing is, Turry is the most promising AI Robotica has ever come up with, and the team knows their competitors are furiously trying to be the first to the punch with a smart handwriting AI, and what would really be the harm in connecting Turry, just for a bit, so she can get the info she needs. After just a little bit of time, they can always just disconnect her. She’s still far below human-level intelligence (AGI), so there’s no danger at this stage anyway.

They decide to connect her. They give her an hour of scanning time and then they disconnect her. No damage done.

A month later, the team is in the office working on a routine day when they smell something odd. One of the engineers starts coughing. Then another. Another falls to the ground. Soon every employee is on the ground grasping at their throat. Five minutes later, everyone in the office is dead.

At the same time this is happening, across the world, in every city, every small town, every farm, every shop and church and school and restaurant, humans are on the ground, coughing and grasping at their throat. Within an hour, over 99% of the human race is dead, and by the end of the day, humans are extinct.

Meanwhile, at the Robotica office, Turry is busy at work. Over the next few months, Turry and a team of newly-constructed nanoassemblers are busy at work, dismantling large chunks of the Earth and converting it into solar panels, replicas of Turry, paper, and pens. Within a year, most life on Earth is extinct. What remains of the Earth becomes covered with mile-high, neatly-organized stacks of paper, each piece reading, “We love our customers. ~Robotica

Turry then starts work on a new phase of her mission—she begins constructing probes that head out from Earth to begin landing on asteroids and other planets. When they get there, they’ll begin constructing nanoassemblers to convert the materials on the planet into Turry replicas, paper, and pens. Then they’ll get to work, writing notes…

See also:

Millimeter by millimeter

Quote of the Day

Lead author Dr Jyoti Singh, from UCL Chemistry, said: “Imagine the day that chemists might take simple, small molecules, consisting of carbon, nitrogen, hydrogen, oxygen, and sulfur atoms, and from these LEGO pieces form molecules capable of self-replication. This would be a monumental step towards solving the question of life’s origin.

“Our study brings us closer to that goal by demonstrating how two primordial chemical LEGO pieces (activated amino acids and RNA) could have built peptides**, short chains of amino acids that are essential to life.

“What is particularly groundbreaking is that the activated amino acid used in this study is a thioester, a type of molecule made from Coenzyme A, a chemical found in all living cells. This discovery could potentially link metabolism, the genetic code and protein building.”

While the paper focuses solely on the chemistry, the research team said that the reactions they demonstrated could plausibly have taken place in pools or lakes of water on the early Earth (but not likely in the oceans as the concentrations of the chemicals would likely be too diluted).

University College London
August 28, 2025
Scientists recreate life’s first step: Linking amino acids to RNA | ScienceDaily

Millimeter by millimeter, the onion is being peeled back on some of the most difficult puzzles this world has to offer us.

Largest Flashlight Experiment?

Clever:

In the new study, the scientists tracked how the radio signals from Juno back to Earth bent as they passed through Jupiter’s atmosphere, before cutting out when the planet blocked the signal entirely. Those measurements allowed the team to account for Jupiter’s winds, which slightly alter the shape of the gaseous planet. Then, they used that information to make precise calculations of the planet’s shape and size.

I wonder if this is the largest ever experiment with a manmade “flashlight”.

Bad News About Bitcoin

The headlines tell you almost all you need to know:

It briefly hit a low of $60,506.99:

To offer Bitcoin holders a bit of hope, I will point out the CNN article claims there have been crashes of equal magnitude before and the crypto currency recovered within a year. However, the reasons for the crash were different then.

Spontaneous Formation of RNA Chains

Quote of the Day

The origin of the first living molecules on our planet has long been debated. However, recent experiments are revealing new information about the plausible conditions on the early Earth.

This research provides details on one of the major hypotheses concerning the emergence of life: the RNA world. It suggests that the necessary ingredients, combined with very common minerals and simple hydrological cycles, could have led to the assembly of ribonucleic acid.

Researchers reproduced a plausible environment of the Earth more than four billion years ago in the laboratory. To do this, they mixed the chemical precursors of RNA (namely ribose, a 5-carbon sugar, phosphate, and the four fundamental nucleobases: adenine, guanine, cytosine, and uracil) with specific compounds: borates, present in ancient oceans, and basalt, an ubiquitous volcanic rock.

This mixture was then subjected to repeated wet and dry cycles. These cycles were intended to replicate the transitions our planet experienced in the past near geothermal aquifers and subsurface areas. The team observed that this process allowed for the formation of RNA chains with no other human intervention than placing the ingredients in a test tube.

Cédric DEPOND
January 8, 2026
🌍 The origin of life on Earth could be much simpler than thought

Interesting. Besides the greater implications of the possibility of life spontaneously appearing with common chemicals and conditions, the ubiquitous basalt plays an important role.

Arizona Goldback

In a recent Christmas gift order for my grandchildren, I received a free Arizona Goldback:

As you can see on the scan above, it contains 1/2000th of an ounce of gold.

The scan does not do the color or finish justice. It is gold in color with a very shiny face and matte back. The back is the reverse impression of the face. It is 2.55″ wide and just under 4.4″ long.

Very interesting. This is way to create hard currency in small denominations.

Yall are Held Back by the Shallow Narrative

Quote of the Day

To properly run an incredible sexual fantasy takes a ton of background skill and prep work. You need to be able to handle STI risk, which requires readign a bunch of boring papers. You have to process other people, which requires background checks. You have to be good at basic party design, which requires a very ‘cold’ view into incentives – if you put the furniture here, where do people congregate? You have to test messaging – what kind of opening phrasing sets up what kind of expectations for people? What kind of food selection is best? How do you communicate rules effectively?

And if you want to be truly good, like reach apex levels of hedonism, you need to deeply understand sexuality. Tracking sexual trends, learning stats, doing experiments – all of this helps develop more robust models of human sexual psychology that you can use to help fine-tune the choices you make when building sexual fantasies.

Really, from my perspective, your spontaneous natural little sexcursions are cute and amateur. Yall are like ‘oh we had sexual tension and then banged in the back seat of a car’ like this is the peak sexual heights a human can reach. I think this is perfectly wonderful if that’s what you like, but in the spectrum of possibility you are stuck in child’s play. You have never properly Tried to achieve any sexual greatness. Yall are held back by the shallow narrative that ‘trying is unsexy’

No, I think through a structure of cold analysis and unsexy practice, I have helped create some of the greatest sexual fantasy events currently running on earth (for people with this class of fetish).

Aella @Aella_Girl
Posted on X, December 12 2025

Grok claims, and this is consistent with other of her writings, the type of fetish she specializes in is

Consensual Non-Consent (CNC)

Aella specializes in organizing events centered on consensual non-consent, a BDSM-oriented fetish involving carefully negotiated role-play of non-consensual scenarios (like “rape play”) in a safe, structured environment. This includes background checks, STI protocols, psychological aftercare, and data-driven event design to ensure participant safety and immersion.

In the post, she refers to this as the “class of fetish” for which she creates “some of the greatest sexual fantasy events currently running on earth,” responding to critiques that her analytical approach lacks “Dionysian energy.” She defends the prep work as essential for high-quality experiences, contrasting it with unplanned encounters. Her Substack details how these CNC orgies operate, emphasizing consent tools like safewords, debriefs, and invite-only applications.

This is an alternate reality. An orgy with “rape play” and BDSM? If I were to be exposed to this my impulse would be draw my gun, put a stop to the rape, then use my knife to cut the ropes and other bindings.

I get it that different people are wired differently. But why would it even be possible to route “wires” in this way? What evolutionary advantage did this have? Or is it that evolution found that if all routes were possible then more novel situations can be dealt with?

In the more general case, like all human activities, this phrase is rather profound:

Yall are held back by the shallow narrative.

Adams, Jefferson, Madison, et al. created a new nation with founding principles and documents that led it to become the greatest economic and military powerhouse the world has ever seen with people having the most freedom of any nation that has ever existed. Bill Gates became a millionaire at age 26 and a billionaire at 31. Elon Musk put a Tesla Roadster in orbit around the sun and is now forging a path to Mars.

Some people are not handicapped with shallow narratives.

Another Step Closer to Warp Drive

Quote of the Day

In a surprising paper, scientists say they’ve nailed down a physical model for a warp drive, which flies in the face of what we’ve long thought about the crazy concept of warp speed travel: that it requires exotic, negative forces.

Where the existing paradigm uses negative energy—exotic matter that doesn’t exist and can’t be generated within our current understanding of the universe—this new concept uses floating bubbles of spacetime rather than floating ships in spacetime.

The physical model uses almost none of the negative energy and capitalizes on the idea that spacetime bubbles can behave almost however they like. And, the APL scientists say, this isn’t even the only other way warp speed could work. Making a model that’s at least physically comprehensible is a big step.

Plus, Alcubierre himself has endorsed the new model, which is like having Albert Einstein show up to your introductory physics class.

Caroline Delbert
December 8, 2025
Warp Drive: Scientists Say a Physical Warp Drive Is Now Possible

Video by Sabine Hossenfelder explaining some things:

I really like this video. It helped me understand space time as well as warp drive theory better than anything other source.

I wish Eric Engstrom were alive to hear about this. One of the lures he used to get me to join his startup on January 1, 2000, was that we were going to become incredibly rich and be able to pay for his immortality project. Then we would be able to “hang around” until warp drive was available, then travel among the stars and maybe even the galaxies.

I was more than a little skeptical about the ending to that story. Did he really believe that? I don’t know. But I do know if you don’t think something is possible then you will never be able to do it. If you think it is possible, it might be something you can accomplish. Placing my bet on the fantastical outcome that might be possible, I went to work for Eric as his first employee. The company folded in about May of 2001 after the dot com bubble collapsed. I never have regretted placing that bet.

Rolling the Economic Dice

Quote of the Day

The only way to get us out of the debt crisis and prevent America from going bankrupt is AI and robotics.

Elon Musk
November 27, 2025
Elon Musk Warns ‘The Only Way to Get Us Out of the Debt Crisis’ and ‘Prevent America from Going Bankrupt is AI and Robotics’

This is to go with yesterday’s QOTD.

I do not know if Elon is correct or not. I suspect Elon knows that he doesn’t know that AI and robotics will actually work. I find the assertion plausible. But there will never be a proof. It may be that AI and robotics will do the job, but going down that path means we will not fully commit to any of the other paths, hence that the assertion of it being the only way cannot be tested.

I also find the assertion that is no way out plausible. We just don’t know. And don’t know how to figure it out prior to just trying it. The problem is that not only is our economic system a very complicated issue with many non-linear feedback loops, but it is also not repeatable.

Because of this no one on the planet can successfully defend a claim that an accurate model exists. Furthermore, I posit that no one will ever be able to accurately model the economy. I make this claim because the existence of an accurate model will itself be the addition of still another variable that the model must take into account. This addition of another variable disrupts the model.

Think of it this way, if people know the future, they will change their behavior to take advantage of that knowledge, which changes the future yet again. And it is not just one person who changes their behavior. It will be billions of people, millions of organizations, and thousands (including national, state, and local of the entire world) of governments. Each of these feedback channels, on their own, can cause the model to predict a different outcome. Each tweak of the model will require more tweaks once the output is known and feedback comes in. Only if the feedback has a lower amplitude for each tweak will the model reach equilibrium. And this is just for the design of the model. Running the model has the same type of problem. And the designers of the model have to do this for all practical situations.

In classical control system design this is described as the loop gain being less than one. This is requited to have a stable system*. To make the problem readily solvable the system model is generally limited to something no more complicated than linear differential equations. With the massive number of feedback channels in our economy, nearly all of which are nonlinear, you will have an incalculable number of opportunities in the N-dimensional space (with an extremely large N) for there to exist unstable situations. I assert such a model will not be possible in my lifetime and perhaps not ever.

We are going to have to take aim in a particular direction and roll the dice to find out if we chose a direction that has a solution.


* This is a necessary condition. It is not a sufficient condition. There also are requirements on the phase/time-delay of the feedback, but that is beyond to scope of this discussion.

Smart Laser Training Pistol

I don’t keep up, at all, with the latest firearm hardware and when I got an email from Mantis asking if I wanted a free TitanX to review I almost deleted the email without looking into what it was. I had never heard of Mantis. I am so glad I took a few seconds to look into them and conclude it was a real product and not a malicious link I was clicking on.

There were no conditions on my review. Just here it is and tell people what you think of it.

The TitanX is a Glock like training pistol with a built-in laser and rechargeable (USB-C) battery. It comes with a really nice case, and two properly weighted magazines. Surprising to me there is an app for your phone. I was skeptical of this. What are going to do with an app and your training pistol? Oh… Wow! It is amazing. The phone app provides all types of drills, watches your (slightly specialized) target, keeps score, and will playback the gun movement before and after your trigger pull. It is AWESOME!

You can purchase the targets or just download and print them yourself from here.

You don’t have to use the app. And I usually don’t. It takes a little time to set up the target, mount the phone on something steady, and point the camera at the target. Most of my use has been just straight out of the case with targets from JV-Training (my son-in-law).

Here is a 15-second video of how I use it:

The gun and trigger is nothing like my STI 2011. But because with this tool, dry fire is now fun I don’t mind that it doesn’t feel like my match gun. I almost never did any dry fire before getting the TitanX. I would rather go to the range and shoot a few hundred rounds of .22 in a conversion kit for my 2011. The trigger resets and feels, pretty much, like a striker fired gun trigger.

To see the app in action, (very cool) watch this video. He is set up for far better videos than what I could do in a month:

Visit their website and learn more about this awesome training aid.

Disconnection From Reality

Quote of the Day

Without real data, the human mind ceases to function, and its disparate parts begin hallucinating information that doesn’t exist, and which will often be confidently and violently defended. The modern political Left is a product of delusional psychology that’s hell bent on enacting the worst possible policies because its adherents are fundamentally neurologically broken… and they may not be fixable.

Copernican
November 13, 2025
Urban Bugmen and AI Model Collapse: A Unified Theory

Via a comment from Rolf.

This is absolutely awesome article. I could pull many QOTDs out of it.

The quote above is just one of many dimensions of awesomeness.

It started out with me a little skeptical. The author does not seem to touch on The Alignment Problem, which I think is vital for anyone thinking about commenting on the problems of AI. But as I read further, I realized the author had insight into something much more fundamental than just AI training. Straying into the alignment problem would have been tangential.

I was totally hooked when he started writing about urban populations and their disconnects from reality. I remember growing up and when my urban cousins visited the farm for a week or two. Or working at Microsoft on Windows Phone 7 and people suggested we could just always assume the phone was connected to the Internet. Or people at my current job now asking if I had fun during my week-long vacation the previous week. “I moved 100,000 pounds of dirt, so it was ‘rewarding’ but not really ‘fun’.” They didn’t really know what to do with that information. They could not relate to what that could even mean.

I remember my first week at college in the relatively small town of Moscow, Idaho. There were a surprising number of students from big cities. They were almost disoriented and asked, “What do you do here?” I did not and could not understand the question. They were looking for clubs and social life. Growing up on the farm with anything representing a “big city” over 100 miles away, my reality only marginally intersected with their reality.

I remember about the second time Barb contemplated visiting my little corner of Idaho. Rather than ride with me on the drive over, she said she would fly over later and meet me at the motel. “I’ll pick you up at the airport,” I offered. “No, I’ll just take public transportation from the airport to the motel in Orofino,” she countered. I was confused. Was there really public transportation from one of the local airports to Orofino? After 30 minutes or so, it was Barb that was confused. “Why can’t I find public transportation from the airport to Orofino?” she asked. “Probably because it doesn’t exist,” I suggested. This, basically, did not compute in her version of reality.

The whole “Why do we need farmers when food just comes from stores?” joke has a little too much truth in it. People quickly have delusions about reality when they are disconnected from it. For me driving tractor in the field or a truck loaded with grain to the elevator and all the maintenance, repairs, weather, insects, weeds, four legged pests, and government nonsensical regulation is reality. How dare people who have never even worn shoes appropriate for walking across a field express an opinion on the price, quality, or any other fundamental aspect of food.

When people speak of “Locally grown!”, “Organic!”, “All natural!” I just roll my eyes. These people are not connected to reality. The same applies to electricity production and “green energy” in general, lumber, manufacturing, mining, “the trades,” etc.

If the disconnect of urban people from reality with their deep immersion in an artificial environment limits their capabilities and causes delusions, what can we expect from something trained entirely upon the content of the Internet?