Lakewood Massacre by the numbers

As I mentioned last week I created an IPSC stage based on the Lakewood shooting of four police officers. Yesterday the Lewiston Pistol Club shot that stage.

The results are as follows. Columns 2, 3, and 4 are the total times for the shooter to draw and shoot all their rounds. These were four rounds for the bad guy and six rounds for the cop and Barista. The last two columns were the estimated time the shooter (cop or Barista) had left before the last cop had been shot. This estimate was based upon the cop being able to get off his first shot in 1.5 S after the first shot of the bad guy and that the bad guy took a 1.5 seconds to get his first shot off. Similarly for the Barista except an assumption that they were able to get off their first shot in 1.0 S (they were much closer to the bad guy than the sitting cop was).

In other words the timeline is assumed to be:

At time t = 0.0 S the bad guy starts to draw his gun.
At time t = 1.5 S the bad guy fires his first shot.
At time t = 2.5 S the barista fires his/her first shot.
At time t = 3.0 S the cop fires his/her first shot.

If the bad guys last shot (column two below) is after the cop/Barista’s first shot then one or more cops are assumed to live. The more time in the last two columns the more lives saved.

Shooter Bad Guy Cop Barista   Cop (1.5 S) Barista (1.0 S)
Ernest 3.44 3.34 2.51   0.44 0.94
Roxanna 4.02 3.16 2.43   1.02 1.52
Joe D. (L10) 2.47 2.56 1.95   (0.53) (0.03)
Joe D. (SS) 2.77 4.82 1.98   (0.23) 0.27
Tim 2.58 2.17 3.46   (0.42) 0.08
John 8.91 3.04 2.63   5.91 6.41
Joe H 5.54 2.71 1.77   2.54 3.04
Phillip 4.91 4.54 2.29   1.91 2.41
Adam 2.97 2.16 1.29   (0.03) 0.47
Bill 3.16 4.1 2.57   0.16 0.66
Eric 10.8 3.27 3.72   7.80 8.30
Mike 4.15 3.51 2.7   1.15 1.65
Roger (auto) 3.17 3.77 2.59   0.17 0.67
Roger (revo) 3.23 3.37 3.18   0.23 0.73
Don 4.13 2.87 2.11   1.13 1.63
             
Min: 2.47 2.16 1.29   (0.53) (0.03)
Max: 10.80 4.82 3.72   7.80 8.30
Mean: 4.42 3.29 2.48   1.42 1.92

To really do the numbers correctly we would need the first shot time of each of the shooters. I did get a few of those numbers but didn’t bother to write them down. They were approximately as assumed above.

One of the interesting results was that there were about five to ten “shoot thrus” of the bad guy by the Barista (out of 90 shots fired by the competitors) but all of them hit the body armor of the cops.

The bottom line is that if you were the last cop to be shot at then you had at best a 75% chance of survival. But if the Barista was packing and “on her toes” then unless the bad guy were a top notch shooter then one and probably two of the cops would have lived.

Quote of the Weekend


“I never thought it would be this much fun.  I thought it would just be a bunch of learning.” – Josh – One of my nephews



My niece, Roz and her husband, Josh had been talking about getting firearms for protection, but they wanted to get some hands-on experience before making any decisions.  I’d been telling them for some time that I was willing to show them several different handguns and long guns, different action types and so on, and have them do some shooting.



They made it down from Spokane to Palouse, WA, with a stop in Moscow to hand the baby over to Grandmother, on Monday.  After a quick briefing at my place as I was loading up the pickup, we headed to the closest range, about 9 miles away on the edge of Garfield, WA.




“I’ve got a pickup load of iron, and lead” – Josh said it should be a country song.  I agree.



This is for Tam – This is why you need a full sized, extended cab 4 x 4 pickup with canopy.  You can carry a lot of guns, a shooting bench, a clay target thrower, 100s of pounds of ammunition and several people all at once.  The duals in the back are optional.


When we got to the range, there was another pickup there stuck in the mud, a couple dozen cattle out in the adjacent wheat fields, a man on an ATV and one on foot out trying to round up the cattle, and Officer Friendly standing in the parking lot telling us A) that the range was closed for Memorial Day, B) the other truck was stuck, and C) don’t go over there and try pulling him out because you’ll just get stuck too.



Long story short; I went over there and pulled the other truck out (easily) the cattle got put back into their proper field, and Officer Friendly, who so far as I could tell didn’t do much if anything, said “Thanks for helping out”.  I didn’t tell him what I thought.  I just said, “No problem”.
Roz and Josh had come all this way to learn about guns and do some shooting, and here we were at a closed range messing around with tow straps, mud, cops and cattle.  Sometimes you just have to roll with what’s thrown at you.



15 more miles to an abandoned gravel pit and we were in shooting heaven.  We went through the safety rules, the functioning and handling of the AR-15, position, grip, sight alignment, breath control, trigger control, follow-through…  Slow fire at 80 yards, rapid fire at 20 feet.  Same with handguns.  At several points along the way, Roz was laughing as she was popping off rapid double and triple taps with a Glock 20, and hitting her target. “Front sight front sight front sight!  Your group’s too small, speed it up!” Giggle giggle giggle.  I think the dot-sighted M1 30 carbine was the favorite “fun gun” of the day though.



As we were wrapping things up, Josh came out with the money quote.



After all the talk and anxieties we’ve gone through at home regarding education verses understanding, teaching methods, self-organizing systems, etc., over the last few years, I can’t tell you how significant and how terrific it was to hear that.

Lakewood Massacre as an UPSA stage

On Saturday Barb and I spent the day with our kids. Our daughter Xenia currently lives in Lakewood Washington.

On November 29, 2009 Lakewood had four police officers murdered in a coffee shop while they were writing their reports. This is believed to be the most deadly attack on law enforcement in the state of Washington.

While spending time with our daughters we visited the site of the event and I took some pictures.

IMG_5564Web_2011IMG_5561Web_2011
There is a memorial honoring the slain officers.

IMG_5565Web_2011IMG_5571Web_2011

According to Wikipedia:

On the morning of Sunday, November 29, 2009, the four officers were working on their laptop computers prior to the start of their shift inside a Forza Coffee Company coffee shop in nearby Parkland, adjacent to McChord Air Force Base. All four were in full uniform, armed, and wearing bulletproof vests. At approximately 8:15 a.m. Maurice Clemmons entered the coffee shop, approached the counter, turned around, and opened fire on the four seated officers with a semi-automatic handgun. Sgt. Mark Renniger and Officer Tina Griswold were killed as they sat in their chairs. Officer Ronald Owens was killed as he stood up and attempted to draw his weapon. Officer Greg Richards managed to get into a struggle with Clemmons and fire his own weapon, wounding Clemmons, before being shot and killed. Clemmons was then seen getting into a vehicle which fled the scene. Neither the two coffee shop employees nor the other customers in the store were hurt, and no money was taken from the cash register. Investigators say the murder was a targeted attack against police officers in general; none of the four officers was individually targeted and robbery was ruled out as a motive.

In the interior picture above Barb and the girls are standing at the counter which Clemmons approached. I asked the baristas where the police officers were sitting but they did not know.

I created an USPSA stage to partially recreate the event. As one of the props for the stage I have a coffee cup from the store. The Lewiston Pistol Club will be shooting the stage Lakewood Massacre (along with Heads or Tails, Six Six Six Six, Steel Cardboard and the classifier Band and Clang) next Sunday. Nonmembers and beginners are welcome to participate.

Update: Based on feedback from more experienced stage designers some of the stages have been slightly modified. Due to details found in a link provided in the comments by ubu52 there were modifications to some of the distances in the Lakewood Massacre stage.

2011 MGM Junior Shooters Camp

From the USPSA:

Attention all Junior Shooters!

This year’s camp is going to be the best yet! This year the scheduled instructors include Phil Strader, Max Michel, Randi Rogers, B.J. Norris, Matt Burkett, and Manny Bragg! This year’s camp is going to be in Parma, ID on July 22nd – 24th. Price is $260 per junior shooter and includes lodging for the shooter and his/her guardian. All of our former sponsor are once again showing their support by donating prizes, cash for scholarships and Remington has even offered to provide each junior shooter with 500 rounds of ammo! For more information check out the camps website at www.juniorshootercamp.org. There is a limit of 60 shooters so get your entries in soon!

The camp is the weekend before the MGM Targets Grand Nationals Man on Man Shoot Off (modeled after the American Handgunner World Shoot Off) www.mgmtargets-grandnats.com. This will be a great vacation for families that enjoy shooting!

Camp Staff

Here is a story from the 2010 camp.

I wonder what the Brady Campaign has to offer the young to pick their sides in the war over gun ownership rights. Oh! That’s right. They just have sad stories and obvious lies to tell.

Steel Challenge results

Today I shot in a Steel Challenge match at the Lewiston Pistol Club. With Boomershoot consuming my time for the previous couple of months and the timing of my visits to Idaho not coincident with the match schedules it has been a long time since I shot in a match.

I messed up one stage and that hurt my overall results badly:

May 22, 2011 Steel

Pendulum

Accelerator

Showdown Jr

Not that W

Smoke & Hope

Total Time

Roger (auto)

20.39

19.93

14.51

18.03

15.56

88.42

Roger (Revolver)

22.92

18.36

16.76

21.22

15.07

94.33

KW

20.65

19.93

20.24

19.56

17.1

97.48

Joe

26.8

20.37

16.8

19.61

15.49

99.07

Ernest

21.14

23.04

19.53

20.6

14.83

99.14

Bill

26.73

21.3

23.74

27.75

18.48

118

Roxanna

31.77

22.05

22.12

25.58

16.92

118.44

Mike S.

30.25

22.04

25.3

22.97

20.87

121.43

Robert

30.76

28.9

30.27

29.68

18.14

137.75

Erik

45.12

33.47

29.57

31.5

23.39

163.05

Mike G

73.82

31.51

25.68

27.66

20.8

179.47

Notice the top two positions are the same guy shooting an auto loader and a revolver? It just goes to show you it is the shooter/training not the gun that makes the biggest difference in the outcome of a shooting match. Also, I am pretty sure Roger is the oldest shooter. What does that tell you given that I am in my mid-50s?

Quote of the day—Zombie Shooters Association of America

So many Zombies, so little time.

Zombie Shooters Association of America
H/T Linoge.
[Guns are fun. Pass it on.—Joe]

Lewiston Pistol Club Appleseed Rifle Marksman Clinic

Via email from Adam M.

The Lewiston Pistol Club will host an Appleseed Rifle Marksman Clinic at the Bernie Petersen Memorial Range on May 14-15, 2011.  The entire range will be reserved from 8 – 5 on Saturday and Sunday (May 14-15). 

The Appleseed Clinic focuses on the basics of good marksmanship – sight alignment, sight picture, breath control, trigger control and follow through.  Interspersed with the shooting, the Clinic leaders deliver an oral history of April 19th, 1775 – the day the shot heard around the world was fired on the Lexington green. 

The Appleseed Clinic is an excellent introduction to rifles for youth and beginners.  But even old hands have trouble passing the graduation exam – the Army Qualification Test.  The final target is the size of a postage stamp at 25 meters.  Think that’s an easy shot?  Come show us how it’s done!
•    General information on Appleseed: http://www.appleseedinfo.org/index.html
•    LPC Appleseed Clinic information: http://appleseedinfo.org/smf/index.php?topic=18878.0
•    LPC Appleseed Registration: http://www.eventbrite.com/event/1080526885
•    Information on what to bring: http://www.appleseedinfo.org/as_prepare.html

If you have any questions regarding the Appleseed Project or specifics for coming that day, please contact Larry Cernik at r.contender@juno.com.

If you have any questions regarding the LPC portion of the Appleseed Clinic, please contact me at action@lewistonpistol.org.

This is the Lewiston Idaho Pistol Club in case you are wondering.

Quote of the day—Ry Jones

I figure it’s like when you go to a Gallagher show and sit in the front row. You bring your rain coat because you know what is going to happen with those watermelons. Well… the Boomershoot fireball is like that. Those people don’t have anything to complain about.

Ry Jones
May 1, 2011
[Ry and I had an “after action” discussion about Boomershoot 2011. The opening fireball was among the topics discussed.

What most people don’t know about that fireball is that it almost didn’t work. If you play back the video frame-by-frame you will find that nearly all the road flares went out. You can also see this from the pictures afterward. There are only about three or four flares still burning. Which leads us to the runner up for the QOTD, by Ry again, “If you had told me a week ago I would be putting out road flares with gasoline I would never have believed you.”—Joe]

Coupon for Winchester Ranger ammo

I received this email from BulkAmmo.com yesterday:

Hi there,

I thought you might enjoy this coupon alert….

Check out this GREAT deal -$15 OFF 500 Rounds of 40 S&W 180 gr JHP Winchester Ranger Ammo –  Use Coupon Code 15OFF-40SW and get it for $175/500 Rounds!

Offer good through next Monday 4/18/11- Unlimited uses per customer while supplies last- Stock UP and please spread the word and share with your loyal followers!

Thank you for all that you do,
Steve
BulkAmmo.com

I carry this same exact round for my self-defense needs.

This does appear to be a pretty good price so I ordered 500 rounds for my own use.

Quote of the day—John Farnam

Shoot as fast as you can hit, but no faster.

John Farnam
[This is attributed to Farnam in a gun email list I subscribe to. I have been unable to verify it but it is consistent with other things I have heard attributed to him.

This is good advice for most gun games and in nearly all instance of self-defense.—Joe]

Quote of the day—Michael Martin

We are disappointed the legislature focused on this issue when there are bigger issues like assault weapons, and universal background checks at gun shows,

Michael Martin
Washington Ceasefire member
March 29, 2011
State Senate approves use of gun ‘silencers’
[That’s just the way we like for Washington Ceasefire members to be, “Disappointed”.

I wonder what Martin did when he found out Governor Gregoire signed the bill into law today? Sobbing uncontrollably works for me too.—Joe]

International Tactical Rifleman’s Championships

Via email from Dave Lauck at D&L Sports, Inc.

This looks like fun. I wish I had enough money that I didn’t have to work so I could prepare for and participate in the event. March 2012 is far enough off that I would have the time to prepare if all that pesky work didn’t get in the way. Of course there is the $10,000 cash on the prize table that would partially compensate for missing a bunch of work… if one was good enough win the prize.

Gun Nuts and InSights

I have taken numerous classes from Insights and put family members through many of their classes. I have always been very, very impressed with them. Check out all the posts I have made mentioning them.

Yesterday Caleb from Gun Nuts Media sent me a link to a media release saying he is partnering with InSIghts.

I know Apparently Caleb has taken at least one class from Insights and shared my enthusiasm for them. I expect he will continue to be impressed with both the people and the training.

Steel Challenge 2011 World Shoot

It’s time to sign up for the 2011 Steel Challenge World Shoot.

The match is August 18 – 21 in Piru California. The registration form is here.

2011 Wiley Coyote 3 Gun Match

Adam sent me an email telling me they are accepting applications for the 2011 Wiley Coyote 3 Gun Match. It takes place south of Grangeville Idaho on the Whitebird grade. It will be May 28th and 29th. You can download the application here.

Pirate cruise

This is a little out of date but perhaps there are still a few pirates left if you want to get in on the fun.


Via email from (Random) Brandon who said, “I read this and thought of you.”

Quote of the day—Bill O’Connor

A golf course is the willful and deliberate misuse of a perfectly good rifle range.

Bill O’Connor
From Jeff Cooper’s Commentaries
Vol. 3, No. 6
25 April 1995
[This came to mind because of a comment I saw at Roberta’s place.

That is the way I see it too. I’m a probably reminded of this far more frequently than most because there is golf course close enough to my hidden underground bunker that I could land spit wads into it if I went topside.—Joe]

Range time

I have been meaning to zero my iron sighted AR for years.It was good enough to hit 7 inch targets at 20 yards or less most of the time but not good enough for anything close to precision work—even for something with iron sights. This was the reason I asked Barron to shoot the opening fireball at Boomershoot 2010.

I finally took it to the range today and got it zeroed and I tested several old magazines that had been laying around in my gun case, on my reloading bench or other random places. I threw two 20 round magazines with bad feed lips away (will that appease the Brady Campaign for a day or two?).

After I got it zeroed I did a little offhand practice. I need to practice that more because my arms got tired too quickly. But my hits were good enough considering the circumstances.

These were fired offhand from 24 yards (laser rangefinder) away at a rate of about one round every two seconds:

WP_000133Web2011

These were fired offhand from 24 yards away at a rate of about one round every second:

WP_000134Web2011

I had a tendency to jerk the trigger on that gun a little bit. I think it is because my arms would get tired and I would try to get the shot off when the sights would wander over the correct aiming point.

That horse left the barn nearly a century ago

I received an email with a link to this page. I found the title quite amusing:

A CONFLICT WITH THE 1911 – AND WITH DIRE CONSEQUENCES FOR A 1911 USER

“Dire consequences” are just now being discovered with the most long lived handgun design ever? I think the time for discovering “dire consequences” was about 99 years ago.

Honoring our soldiers

Via an email list I am on.

Three head shot hits in a row at 1000 yards by an 84 year-old WWII sniper. It brings tears to my eyes: