The Odds of Civil War Just Increased

Remember what I said last October:

Another “interesting” scenario, made more likely by the current high emotions on both sides of the political fence, are that the candidate for one party or another is assassinated. Then, before the election, the other major candidate is assassinated.

Today:

Former President Donald Trump was wounded on a Pennsylvania campaign stage by a sniper’s bullet Saturday night in an apparent assassination attempt that nearly claimed his life, law enforcement sources told The Post.

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The pictures from some angles look like a bullet hole through the upper right ear.

If you look at this flag you can see there was a fair amount of wind:

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The linked articles says, “Law enforcement sources said that the bullet may have been deflected by glass before Trump was struck in the face.” I would like to throw my hypothesis into the pot and say the sniper misread the wind.

As I told daughter Jaime after she sent me a text message about the attempt:

It will take at least two days for the rumors to fade and something resembling the truth comes out.

The conspiracy theories will last for decades.

An assassination does prevent the target from obtaining office. A failed assassination attempt probably increases the chances the target will obtain office.

Attempted or successful, it increases the odds of more political violence. The odds of civil war just increased.

I want my underground bunker in Idaho.

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20 thoughts on “The Odds of Civil War Just Increased

  1. If you watch the video carefully, it appears that just efore the shot Trump turns his head to his right as he’s speaking. That might have caused the projectile(coming from his right side as it was) to cut his ear front-to-back rather then impact on the side of his head.

  2. Note to self: anti-sniper platforms.

    A structure that podia and other speechifying equipment can be placed, such that when the weight of a person is added, moves gently but randomly horizontally in two axes such the speaker is changing position in space enough to make a long range rifle shot much more difficult.

    Better we had a rhetorical environment where political violence was out of the range of possibility, but I suppose that kind of wish is as effective as a Gun Free Zone sign… now.

  3. It clearly wasn’t an assassination attempt. If it was, the media would have said so, right? https://simplicius76.substack.com/p/special-bulletin-america-teeters

    They are doing everything they can to keep him from being a victim of sympathy, or allow anyone to make a real comparison. The media are slime.

    Also, https://www.zerohedge.com/political/trump-bleeding-rushed-stage-after-shots-fired-pennsylvania-rally has a pretty good and frequently updated post on it.

  4. On my feeds the repubs are all crowing about how “the left can only win with violence.” Gonna be hard to keep that talking point if they go violent themselves. The moral high ground is a slippery place.

    • If we get through the election without organized political violence from the right, are you going to come back here and explain how the right firmly has the moral high ground and the left has no credibility after their “fiery but peaceful” Summer of Love?

      Your statement has a very “Muslim community fears backlash after tomorrow’s terrorism attack” vibe.

    • And in my feeds, the Left are crowing about the attempt and moaning that the assassin missed. What does that say about concern for the moral high ground?

    • Moral high ground?
      Ain’t nobody been on that since Jesus walked the earth.
      The communist took a shot and missed. Plain and simple.
      They will probably do it again.
      And I can hear them now; What do you expect when you act like Hitler?
      Deep down the communists are crapping themselves. Thus, the kumbaya.
      Nobody on the left has shit to whine about when crap goes all ‘plody. You’all talked your shit, now your acting it out. We all know what you’ll do with the power once you get it.
      “Politic power comes from the barrel of a gun”. Said one the worlds most prolific communist murders.
      Now we got little commie street thugs acting it out.
      And Johnny over here trying to get us to think about staying on some fictious high ground?
      You’all motherfuckers missed. You’all drew first blood. Don’t be whining if it ain’t the last. And it turns out to be yours.

      • Once the bullets start flying the moral high ground is null and void.

        Wish it wasn’t true but that is a historical fact.

    • The moral high ground is small consolation when you’re living under a totalitarian system, which I guarantee you is what the left wants. Or when you’re dead and the person who holds the moral low ground is standing over you. My brother believes this notion that if you ever respond to violence in anything other than a “civil” fashion, then you’re ‘no better than they are’. He’s an idiot.
      Understand I am not making an appeal to violence, I merely say that at some point we must recognize that it might be necessary for the sake of survival of our lives or our freedom.

      • Ya, they want us all to stay up here on the “moral high ground”, so they can get a better shot at us.
        As you say, the moral high ground is for those left standing on it. Not the ones buried under it.

  5. I am moving to Idaho next week. Don’t have a bunker, but a basement apartment should work in the interim.

  6. Joe, however deep your bunker was going to be, add another ten feet of depth.

  7. The conspiracies are already starting.

    The dude who was a known ANTIFA member and had made a video stating how much he hated Trump was a registered “Republican”. Overnight, all of his social media has been scrubbed, anything he had put onto the internet has been disappeared. I wonder which AI is being used to find his internet footprint.

    The next couple of days/weeks/months are going to be a shit-show of epic proportions. The misinformation about the shooter will be epic.

    And already lefties are crying that the shooter missed. Those people are sick; other people were killed or injured during this event.

    Things are going to get worse instead of better.

    When Biden was installed in 2020 I told people this is the beginning of the fall people the world is doomed to 1,000 years of darkness. I haven’t changed my mind.

  8. Trump and the Republicans need their own, private security at every event. The Secret Service, FBI, state and local forces can not be relied on to protect them. Whether this is due to incompetence or intentional, Trump and his allies can no longer take the risk.

  9. People are assuming, without evidence, that the shooter was trying for a head shot. He did nick Trump’s ear but multiple shots hit other random places, including bystanders. My theory is incompetent shooter. 130 yards is an easy shot with a rifle.

    • With more information, I now agree with you.

      I have seen other flags with virtually no wind showing. The windage adjustment at 150 yards is irrelevant.

      They fired multiple shots. I assumed just one with the other shots heard as returning fire.

      The countersnipers didn’t see the open, moving, uncamouflaged guy with a rifle from 150 yards away?!!!! I have questions…

      • Ain’t no questions. In the video you can see from the angles the SS counters are looking/rifles pointing in the same direction as the assassin.
        Both SS would have thought that Trump was dead already. Which would be their signal to shoot.
        They got close up drone footage of the assassin on the ground. How would you miss seeing the rifle?
        People yelling and pointing at the guy for 3 minutes? The SS looking at the area over almost flat roofs from an elevated position themselves. At less than a 150 yards?
        Stevey Wonder, with Ray Charles as his spotter could have seen that shithead.
        Ain’t no question. It was a deep/sewer state assassination.
        Didn’t they just pull this same crap in Mexico?

      • From the pics I’ve seen so far, it appears he was using iron sights. No scope on the rifle.

  10. “Attempted or successful, it increases the odds of more political violence. The odds of civil war just increased.”
    Yup, especially if the sewer state decides to not let a crisis go to waste with some agent provocateur action against the left and blaming it on the right.
    I’m sure the FBI will find all the evidence needed to convict the whole of white supremist American deplorables. (AKA, any white person with a still able to fog a mirror.)
    And please, everyone on our side. There is no need to call for violence. The commies already did that for us. Unapologetically I might add.
    Be ready for a lot more of the same.
    As the left’s new campaign slogan is; “Were pissed, he missed!”

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