Lessons Learned the Hard Way

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A while ago, I watched the infamous 47-minute video documenting the atrocities of October 7th — the one not made publicly available, to protect the privacy of the victims.

The worst part of this video is not what it displays, but who is displaying it: the perpetrators themselves. Gleefully. Sadistically. Unabashedly. Most of the footage was filmed by Hamas terrorists on their GoPro bodycams, some also by ordinary Gazan civilians on their cellphones.

Even the Nazis tried to cover up their atrocities, but Hamas brags about theirs for the entire world to see. The killers are euphoric throughout the massacre, and their relentless, ecstatic cries of “Allahu Akbar” (punctuated by the occasional “Kill the Jew!”) are simply nauseating.

Some images are seared into my memory forever. I will never forget the two boys in their underwear — one with his eye socket hanging out of his face — asking his brother whether he thinks they’re going to die, while the Hamas monster who had just thrown a grenade in their saferoom helps himself to a drink from their fridge, taking a casual break from the slaughter.

It was premeditated and organized. The terrorists crossing into Israel carried printed Arabic-to-Hebrew phrasebooks with handy expressions like “take off your pants,” “lie down,” “spread your legs,” and “don’t make trouble.” I wonder why they expected to need those particular phrases?

I know one thing: no civilized country on earth would tolerate the existence of an organization like Hamas on its border after October 7th. Not one. This includes every self-righteous Westerner currently lecturing Israel from thousands of kilometres away, without an inch of skin in the game.

Maarten Boudry @mboudry
Posted on X May 12, 2026

See also: October 7 barbarism beyond all imagination: New report details how terrorists performed almost unimaginable horrors – which some on the Left STILL cast doubt on | Daily Mail Online

Hamas achieved glory and celebrated for a day. The magnitude of their error will be in history books for centuries.

They learned their lesson the hard way.

But it wasn’t just Hamas that should learn a lesson from October 7th. Learn from the mistakes of others. Everyone should have learned that disarmed civilians are vulnerable to such attacks. Never give up your guns. Keep saying, “NO! until you run out of ammo.

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44 thoughts on “Lessons Learned the Hard Way

  1. It’s the middle east. There are no “good guys” in power. Every ruler has been brutalizing each other’s people (as well as their own) for all of recorded history. The Israelis have done the same and worse long before the GoPro recorded everything, as had the Egyptians, Palestinians, Jordanians, Lebanese, Turks, Saudis, etc., etc., etc. Being “horrified” like that most likely means you aren’t familiar with much history.

    Of course, that sort of behavior isn’t limited to the ME, either. The Bolsheviks. The drug cartels. Slave traders of all types. The list is long. Very long.

    The lesson most leaders “learn” is “do it to them first, then claim outrage when they do it back.”

    • Horse$hit!

      There were certainly atrocities committed by Jews and Israeli soldiers against Palestinians. There is illegal violence in every conflict. I’ve seen a lot of data not covered by the media, some not released to the public. The overall restraint of the IDF in preventing unnecessary collateral injuries and deaths sets a new standard for urban warfare. The only equivalent I know of is our assaults on Fallujah Iraq where in both battles the US suffered many avoidable casualties in order to prevent non combatants from being injured

      Armageddon Rex, Master Sergeant, retired

      • “The overall restraint of the IDF in preventing unnecessary collateral injuries and deaths sets a new standard for urban warfare.”
        Excuse please?
        The place looks like Dresden after the allies bombed it.
        I understand war. Not as good as you being a MS and all.
        But I was in construction for 40 years. So I’m an expert on things to.
        And I know exactly why you flatten an old buildings. Cause you didn’t like what/who was there, and you want to put something else there.
        Mossad didn’t miss Oct 7 attacks for no reason.

        • “The overall restraint of the IDF in preventing unnecessary collateral injuries and deaths sets a new standard for urban warfare.”

          The Knock Bomb. Done. They have cleared the bar.

          Seriously, MTHead, the bar is INCREDIBLY low for that statement to be true, and Israel did clear it by a noticeable margin.

          Clearing that low a bar by even a VERY large margin would leave a lot of room for horribleness (welcome to war), so pointing out that horrible things still happen, even from the Israelis, is not dispositive of the claim.

          Israel has blood on their hands. Everyone else in the region is unrecognizable under the layers and lawyers of blood covering their entire bodies. The difference is huge.

          As I so often do on a disturbingly large number of topics, the main thing I ask for is a single standard, applied evenly.

          • “The Knock Bomb. Done. They have cleared the bar.”
            Had to look that one up. Funny.
            Especially since 95% of houses in Gaza were made of concrete. And were multi-story apartment style buildings.
            Dropping a grenade or shooting at the roof to warn people inside is a really ignorant bad joke. (That an American might believe.)
            How could anyone inside even know it wasn’t just ricochets, tray bullets, or secondary explosions?
            In an American stick-built house? Ya, one might notice.
            Not in a warzone like Gaza? Very unlikely. And who wouldn’t think they were about to get gun down if they went outside?
            And from the aerial photos of the place? Most of the knocking was done with 155 howitzers and 500 lb. bombs. And armed D10 dozers.
            All of which is none of my/our business. As long as you aren’t forcing me to pay for it.
            And forcing America’s great-great-great grandchildren to still be paying usury on.
            Sorry, the only new standard about the “knock-bomb” is the new low in propaganda.
            And once again, not our circus, not our monkey.

          • “Dropping a grenade or shooting at the roof to warn people inside is a really ignorant bad joke. How could anyone inside even know it wasn’t just ricochets, tray bullets, or secondary explosions?”

            All of that can be true, and it is STILL sufficient. That’s how bad what they are being compared to is.

            You keep making objections that don’t actually counter the claim. It’s almost funny.

            “And from the aerial photos of the place? Most of the knocking was done with 155 howitzers and 500 lb. bombs. And armed D10 dozers.”

            Yes, that’s what happens AFTER the knock bomb. The thing that makes it better than Russia doing the same thing (which the world ignored) is the addition of the knock bomb first (or the dropping of leaflets and loud announcements about specific areas about to be hit – they also do that on massive scale, and often literally days in advance).

            The level of effort Israel goes to, *to the detriment of their own soldiers*, to avoid civilian casualties is the highest in the world, by a LARGE margin.

            And the ratio of military to civilian casualties confirms that. It is not close.

            That doesn’t make everything fine. On the scale of things that actually exist, it still makes them suck less than anyone else on this particular issue.

          • Ok, so israel is less bad than us, and everyone else in, from say, WWI through today.
            (Which to me is bullshit because almost every cunt-ass warmongering politician in the world belongs on the gallows. And Bebe is no different than Herr Hitler or LBJ in that regard. Along with to many to mention in a blog post.)
            And so far all i’ve done is point out the same propaganda that was used at Waco.
            But you never seem to answer the real question here.
            Why is this our war? And why are we paying for it? And our great-grandchildren going to be paying for it? With usury.
            Once again, Why is it our circus, or our monkey to give a crap about israel enough to help them holocaust someone else?
            Cause it’s all propaganda that Gazans are the new Nazi’s.

          • “But you never seem to answer the real question here.
            Why is this our war?”

            I have answered it in multiple posts around here, directly to you, several times. You just don’t like the answer.

            OIL. The Middle East only matters because of oil, and Israel is (BY FAR) the least sucktastic country in the Middle East.

            “Cause it’s all propaganda that Gazans are the new Nazi’s.”

            You’re right – they’re not the NEW Nazis, they’re the OG Nazis, at least as far as wanting to genocide the Jews goes. It’s literally a religious command for them (as quoted by nearly every Islamic terrorist group in the world).

            Not to mention how chummy Arab muslim groups were with the literal, historical Nazis.

        • What is the “proportionate” response when your daughter is raped, beheaded, murdered, and set on fire?
          The chant of “from the river to the sea” has been ubiquitous amongst the “Palestinians” and their supporters. Well, now two are playing at the game and, guess what, the Israelis are much better at it.

          • “What is the “proportionate” response when your daughter is raped, beheaded, murdered, and set on fire?
            The chant of “from the river to the sea”

            The word “proportionate” is one of those liberal ideas of how one responds to violent acts. It’s a BS idea/term that I didn’t hear anyone mention here.
            But the correct response would have been to gun down those who would commit such acts before they do them. Not just after.
            Israel knew they were coming and did nothing to stop them.
            Including letting the honest citizens that lived next door to the open air prison known as Gaza, to be armed.
            Obviously Bebe and Mossad didn’t give a crap about what happened to your daughter any more than Hamas did.

            “Well, now two are playing at the game and, guess what, the Israelis are much better at it.”

            Ya, but only with someone else’s money. Israel would dry up and blow away in a week without American money.
            And I’m sorry to have to inform Israeli’s that the extra 20 trillion American dollars needed to complete the greater Israel project, from the “Nile to the Euphrates”.
            Can’t be financed as America’s credit score is somewhere around 110 at this point.
            Try China. They might be able to loan you that. Chip in some hardware.

  2. > Keep saying, “NO!“ until you run out of ammo.

    That’s going in my quote file.

    • He’s used it around here several times. It is indeed very, very, VERY good.

    • “Keep saying, “NO!“ until you run out of ammo.”

      Then you fix your bayonet.

      {!-{>

  3. I was so surprised to see how passive many of the victims were. My mind could not get a handle on that.

    My sister is one of the liberals who commented on the IDF bombing a hospital. I took the position that if Hamas chose to put their C&C in the basement, it was a legitimate target. She said that was unnecessary.

    I told her our parents’ generation firebombed and nuked cities full of civilians to get the Germans or Japanese to surrender unconditionally. Why would Israel do anything less?

    +1 Rolf. People in the Middle East understand power and the use of force. Not using it is a sign of weakness, not compassion.

    • Same to be said about the victims of the Holocaust. People stood in line to be killed. By the millions. This has always puzzled me. Perhaps they couldn’t process the fact that they were about to be killed, though RumInt to that effect was certainly present in the ghettos. Perhaps they believed, like previous pogroms that this would pass with a few thousand dead. Faced with this situation, I think I would have made a grab for a German (or more likely Ukrainian) rifle. I would die but maybe I could take one with me.

      • Yes, the will to fight is more important than the weapons.
        Although having both long before the problems start is always the best policy.
        Non the less weapons are everywhere. Always.

      • It’s actually quite easy to understand, and people still fall into it all the time (on topics with lesser penalties, of course).

        The price for getting to the end of the line is your life. It’s 27 stops away.

        You want to get off right now? Well, you’ll definitely be beaten, BADLY, maybe to the point of death. Might well kill your spouse, too, just for giggles. Try the next stop… it might be better, eh?

        Lather, rinse, repeat, and by the time you get to the last stop, you haven’t even checked the “cost” of getting off in the last 10 stops.

        And of course, I stated it right at the beginning that you would die at the end, and how far it was. *Even with that*, a whole lot of people won’t get off before the end, and very seldom in life do you have the advantage of actually knowing.

        People end up in bankruptcy for similar reasons.

        The same thing applies to *all kinds of other things* in life, though government spending on stuff (especially as seen by politicians who ran on lowering government spending) matches particularly well.

  4. This is what gets me every time.
    Are Hamas a bunch of animals? Absolutely. And need to die.
    Did they do absolute unspeakable war-crimes at the first opportunity? Yes they did.
    We saw it all on video.
    Gaza was an open air prison. Walled in and guarded 24/7/365. For a reason.
    Cause Hamas is a bunch of animals. Yup, got it.

    Israel. Very small country, with a small population. Has one of the greatest spy networks in the world. Mossad. These are the guys that put bombs in Hezbollah’s pagers. Their sharp. And they’re everywhere in the middle east. (Especially in our congress, but I digress.)
    And help set up Hamas as a counter-balance to Yassar Arafat’s Palestinian authority way back in the day. And can be reasonably argued was still paying them.
    And they missed Oct 7 coming? Completely?????
    Bullshit! Not one chance in hell did they NOT know it was going to happen!
    They let it happen, at best. And it can only get worse from there.
    A government that allows that to happen to their own people is no better and is even worse than those that do the acts.
    As they could have just as easily been waiting at the gates and gunned down those animals as they crossed the border.
    Is Hamas a bunch of dumb animals? Yes they are.
    And the Israeli government are a bunch of highly-intelligent animals.
    And none the less vicious, even toward their own.
    All that said?
    Still, not our circus, not our monkey.
    And Israel needs to start coming up out of their own pocket for their war crimes. Instead of buying congressional seats in congress.
    So we end up paying for the bombs that they commit those war crimes with.

    • “They let it happen, at best.”

      Even if that is true, it changes… well, not *quite* nothing, but very, very little.

      LETTING someone do something bad (which they publicly said they wanted to do, and have tried to do many times, and you stopped them many times) still does not make you remotely as bad as the person that actually did it.

      • “They let it happen, at best.”

        “Even if that is true, it changes… well, not *quite* nothing, but very, very little.”
        You just said that?
        Sorry buddy, that was and is absolute bullshit of the highest order.
        It makes you a traitor to allow that sort of thing to happen.
        And there is nothing worse than a traitor.
        Cause if they will betray their own. Who won’t they betray?

        The guys a psycho, and I want the whole world to know it. So I’m going to stand by and watch him stuff the neighbor’s baby into the microwave. Rape and torture the mother after beheading the father and son.
        When I could have shot him any time I wanted. I just wanted an excuse first?
        That’s just some sick-ass logic you got going.

        • “It makes you a traitor to allow that sort of thing to happen.”

          Some group of particular government employees in Israel being traitors is, from our outside perspective, “very very little”.

          Oh, sure, if it’s true, there are some very specific people in Israel that need at least very long prison sentences, if not deep hole/short rope/sudden stop sentences.

          But in terms of how the middle east works, in terms of where different groups sit on the scale of horribleness, it changes very, very little.

          You are screaming about a single squad’s behaviour in a world-war scale conflict. Punish the squad if they did that horrible thing, move on.

    • Missed like everyone else is fallible. They also missed the Yom Kippur attack back in 73. The enemy has plans too which is why we call them the enemy. Sun Tsu said that all war is based on deception and Hamas deceived Israel by putting out a bunch of signals that the Israelis were expecting to see about rockets and then struck in a novel way. The method would work in Texas, especially the music festival part. Kurt Schlicter wrote a whole novel about it.

      • Gaza was/is an open air prison. With half a million snitches in it.
        Nobody missed anything.
        Especially Mossad and Bebe. (who was going to court for bribes and sundry in Oct.)
        It was at best allowed to happen. At worst we got to pay for the whole act.

  5. I have to echo MTHead’s take on the events of October 7th. I find it impossible to believe Israeli Intelligence were blindsided by the attack. No, they knew but needed the political capital and will to ‘take off the gloves’ and go scorched earth.

    Palestinians choose have HAMAS represent them. HAMAS cares not about their people. They hate Jews and will see them exterminated before they stand down.

    • FDR knew the Japanese were going to attack Pearl Harbor over a week before the attack. I’ve seen an interview of the code breaker who told FDR personally. The codebreakers working the Japanese diplomatic codes were so good they often decoded the messages faster than the Japanese ambassador. So FDR “allowed the attack to happen”.

      Except he didn’t. He issued a general war alert to the Pacific Theater. Everyone took it seriously: Troops in the Philippines, the Marianas, the West Coast, Alaska. Everybody. Except Admiral Kimmel, in charge at Pearl Harbor. He was convinced that the Japanese couldn’t reach Hawaii because their ships didn’t have the range. And he was correct, they had to refuel multiple times during the round trip (different ships had different ranges, so some ships had to be refueled more times than others, but they all needed to refuel more than once). The need to refuel was one of Japanese planner of the attack Admiral Yamamoto’s biggest concerns; they had no method to refuel underway like the USA developed. 10 days after the attack Kimmel was removed from his command and demoted for his failure to prepare for the attack.

      FDR didn’t radio a message that Pearl Harbor was going to be attacked because of concern that the Japanese might decode it. But there was plenty of time to send a hand-carried message, eyes-only, to Kimmel. Except FDR didn’t because he expected everyone to take the war warning seriously. This failure on FDR’s part was the reason Kimmel’s record was later cleared: he lacked critical intelligence that WAS available and could have been provided without risk of compromise. All this is easily verified, as the only place you CAN’T find it is in the history books used in US public schools.

      One final tidbit, less relevant to this discussion: The Japanese never intended the attack to be a “surprise attack”. The reason we knew about it is that their ambassador in DC was sent a warning message over a week before the attack (the message we intercepted and decoded) stating that an attack on Pearl Harbor would occur, just not when. He was told he’d receive a message the morning of the attack with a declaration of war message he was to deliver to the President. The intent was to deliver the declaration 30 minutes before the attack, meeting the “letter of the law” of declaring war before the attack, but it was felt that 30 minutes would not be enough time for DC to warn Pearl. But the ambassador sucked so badly at decoding messages he didn’t have the message decoded until after the attack had begun. They should have sent a war declaration message days before, with instructions that he was to deliver the message when a subsequent message told him to. Then a short “deliver the declaration of war” message just before the attack would likely have allowed the ambassador to deliver it before the attack.

      Now, why did I bring all this up? You and others (here and elsewhere) are repeatedly stating that the Oct 7th attacks were “allowed to happen” as if that were fact. Interesting hypothesis. But that’s all it is. So far all I’ve heard from anyone is incredulity that Mossad could possibly have not been aware of the impending attack. You know, just like the FBI knew there were Muslims learning to fly airplanes, but expressing a lack of interest in learning to land back in 2000 and 2001. Even if Mossad did know, as someone else pointed out, a similar thing happened for the Yom Kippur war. There was warning, but the politicians ignored it. That war came perilously close to ending the Jewish state as a result. Denial is a very real human failing. When people are confronted with evidence that their world-view is incorrect, the “that can’t be” attitude often rears its head to their eventual severe detriment.

      Hindsight from the armchair quarterback position is often considered by the presenter to be perfect, but it rarely is. It is often incomplete, inaccurate, and on some occasions, complete wrong. If you’ve got official Israeli documents supporting your assertions, video of meetings of high-ranking Israeli officials discussing it, or other actual evidence, post it on line and prove it. Sell your proof to 60 Minutes, or CNN, and make a pile of money. Otherwise all you’ve got is speculation. Speculation that MIGHT be correct, I’ll admit, but speculation nonetheless. Otherwise, you should expect to continue to be met with skepticism.

      • THANK YOU! I’m too busy to write my version of this, and your version is better than what I could come up with.

      • Yeah.
        Well, comparing signal intelligence of Japan/America before WWII, and the ensuing conditions that lead to WWII.
        As just being a series of human failures that just all lead to a big mistake seems interesting.
        And I’m sure there was plenty of finger pointing to go around.
        Here’s the problem.
        Your comparing a 140 sq. mile. open air prison (Gaza) to the Pacific freaking ocean.
        We barely had radio and radar up and working then.
        Gaza has 24/7/365 surveillance with night vision and thermal. Signal Intel that captures everything from text, speech, e-mail to payment transfers.
        Something else we lacked acrossed the pacific that Gaza had in spades were snitches on 20 ft. centers.
        Oh yeah, nice touch throwing in the FBI not catching the hijackers beforehand.
        But hey, At least we found out who they were because someone found 4 of their passports that just happen to survive the fireball and land on the street down below, and handed them over to the FBI.
        And then there’s building #7 that seems to have collapsed out of sympathy for the towers being hit.
        But I digress.
        And will repeat, nobody missed Oct.7.
        One day their sharp enough to put bombs in Hezzbollah’s pagers. The next their to stupid and uninformed to know what going on in their snitch filled prison about the worst attack on Israel since Yom Kippur war.
        One minute we know where every general in Iran’s government is sleeping in live time.
        Oopsie, we missed an attack that was being planned and trained for in our prison for God knows how long.
        So which is it?
        Either way, I don’t truly care, but it ain’t something America should be going into debt over.

        • You missed some parts of what ‘yeah’ said:

          1. Not acting on information can be a politician problem rather than an intelligence agency problem.
          2. Where is your evidence in leaked reports or video discussions of it by high-ranking officials, or actual evidence rather that your vigorous assertion that your imagination is correct?

          I would like to clarify something ‘yeah’ said to make it more obvious. Intelligence analysis is somewhat like putting a jigsaw puzzle together without the picture on the box, 3/4 of the pieces missing, 1/4 of the pieces you do have were deliberately given to you by your adversary, many of the pieces are from a different puzzle, and many pieces don’t belong to any puzzle. Throw that set of puzzle pieces on a team of analysists who have a normalcy bias who need to convince the politicians who have their own normalcy biases. The puzzle pieces indicating a new attack vector are difficult to put together because you have not seen this abnormal puzzle picture before. And the politicians don’t want to accept that abnormal interpretation unless the data is very clear.

          I would also like to point out you are way out of your area of expertise. I don’t know the background of ‘yeah’, but I have nine years of professional experience in the intel analysis business. To me, your view of things is not much different than an anti-gun person talking about a high-powered, long-range sniper grade SKS, 20 round revolver patterning poorly. ‘yeah’ sounds like someone who has, at a minimum, studied intelligence analysis enough to know about classic failures.

          • OK, so I’m way out of my expertise.
            And I have no “evidence” to prove anything I say. It’s speculation.
            What I do know.
            Yeah’s speculation of what happened as “intelligence failure” is all good. Crap happens, especially with lazy government types.
            His comparison of that failure with pre-WWII signal intelligence is absolute trash.
            Human failure OK.
            But the volume of intelligence that was coming through in such a concentrated place with the equipment in place had to be pretty loud.
            And sorry. Gaza is a three piece puzzle. That’s why it was structured the way it was.
            But I’ll digress.
            Proof.
            Everything I’ve said is speculation. Got it.
            Interestingly enough, Was Yeah in on any of the meetings with official video to prove me wrong?
            No, his speculation is that the official narrative is correct. and that it must be refuted with evidence. That everyone knows will never be forthcoming.
            But here’s what has been proven to 99% certainty.
            “Every official narrative issued by the governments of the world for the last 100 years is a LIE.”
            So when all were doing is judging speculations?
            The government narrative is the last thing I would be believing. Especially when it’s completely out of pattern for the agency issuing it.
            (I can hardly wait to hear Trump say, “Remember the Maine” when we attack Cuba. Again)
            And these days the expertise of government liars is so low my EX could teach a CIA/Mossad class.
            We all believe what we want. But if you’re backing the government?
            Yeah, your probably wrong.
            With 99% certainty.

          • MTHead, your reasoning facilities are demonstrating serious failures. Let’s start with this:

            “Every official narrative issued by the governments of the world for the last 100 years is a LIE.”

            So, when Trump, as president, said, “We need to make America Great Again.” That was a lie. And when the Kamala, as VP, said, “America is already great” that was a lie too?

            I’ve heard the, “Everything they says is a lie!” so many times, that my blood pressure rises in addition to my eyeball rolling so hard that I sometimes fear I’m going to sprain a muscle. This cannot literally be true! If it were true, then you could reliably determine the truth on binary issues but choosing the opposite of what they say. Hence, they would be knowingly, but indirectly, telling you the truth.

            The next point I want to address is that just because I think it is extremely unlikely that they deliberately ignored intel they knew to be true, does not mean that I am extremely likely to be correct. There are many situations where the evidence is lacking to support either of two claims. And that ignores the situations where there are more than two options. This is one of those cases. Here is a simplified set of possibilities (I could probably list a dozen other and still not enumerate the entire problem space):

            1. Israeli intelligence had no clue and did not give any warnings.
            2. Israeli intelligence had information which could have been acted upon and failed to give it to the military or political leadership because they wanted the attack to happen.
            3. Israeli intelligence had information which could have been acted upon and did give it to the military and political leadership. The military and political leadership did not act upon it because they wanted the attack to happen.
            4. Israeli intelligence had information which could have been acted upon and did give it to the military and political leadership. The military and political leadership did not act upon it because they did not believe it to be true, and/or had political reservations about the consequences of a preemptive attack.
            5. Israeli intelligence had information which could have been acted upon and did give it to the military and political leadership. The military and political leadership did act upon it and successfully prevented loss of innocent life.

            No more than one of the listed options can be true. And we know for certain the last one is false. And in fact, all of them could be false. The question is, “How do we determine which, if any, of the hypothesizes are true?”

            There is a formal, methodical, way to determine this. The method may fail due to lack of evidence or evidence that, unknown to us, is false. But the method is far better than people shouting unsupported opinions at each other. The method is called Analysis of Competing Hypotheses (ACH).

            Sitting an airport with my plane about to depart I do not have the time, or even in inclination (I’m pretty annoyed the lack of rational thought on this and other conspiracy theories in general and I sometimes want to join in the shouting and tell everyone how stupid they are). I will give you my current conclusion, which may change if further evidence comes to light at some time.

            There is zero credible evidence that the Israeli government “let” October 7 happen. None.

            What is documented—by Israeli intelligence agencies themselves—is a chain of catastrophic misjudgments, ignored warnings, and political complacency. That is a failure of competence, not a secret plot.

            Shin Bet’s own inquiry confirms Israel had pieces of Hamas’s plan but dismissed them as unlikely. Independent analyses show that junior analysts raised alarms that senior leadership ignored. And multiple Israeli opposition leaders have accused Netanyahu’s government of negligence and blindness, not intentional facilitation.
            If even his fiercest political enemies—people with every incentive to blame him—are not claiming he let it happen, that should tell you something.

            Extraordinary claims require extraordinary evidence. So far, conspiracy theorists have provided none. Repeating speculation without proof doesn’t turn it into fact.

          • You sure I’m the guy you want to ask those questions about Trump and Kamala?
            But hey, let’s keep our BPM’s down. You enjoy your flight/vacation, (Hopefully).
            And we can continue another day.
            Enjoy!

          • You are exactly who I want to answer the questions. The answers will enable me to make decisions about some fundamental issues.

          • OK,
            Trump and Kamala. They are politicians, you know.
            Has Trump made America great again? I see some vague path toward it, But nothing that wouldn’t be undone by a Biden type on day one. Liar? Borderline.
            Kamala would think America as a dumpster fore is making it great. 100% liar.
            As for every major war our country has been involve in for the last 100 years?
            Mostly lied about. And started with false flag-green light type operations. Phony excuses.
            Pretty much same-same the world.

            As for ACH.
            Good article. And I’m sure it worked.
            Here’s the problem. As the detractor called out in the article. Wrong information, or incorrect information be fed in renders it mostly unworkable.
            Information war is the highest form of warfare. And we spend billions of dollars and gigawatts of energy controlling that information flow. So as to control narrative.
            What worked in the 70’s has merit. But it’s also being countered.

            Here’s how I work things.
            Since I have no information to work with. And only able to scrape easy to find information.
            I have to take visible reality. collect the players. listen to the narrative.
            Check it against previous actions. See if the actions match the narratives of the past.
            Israeli are smart people. All the way back in the bible, and the way they questioned Jesus, one can see that.
            So I would think even you would find it highly unusual for them getting caught with their britches that low.
            Yom Kippur war. OK.
            But that was 1973. Over 50 years have past to Gaza. Totally different battle space.
            Totally different information/Collection systems. Totally more snitches.
            All those billions of dollars has bought us only 1973 human failures? Sounds like BS to me. Totally out of character for Mossad.
            But, OK.
            Here’s what one can see and know 100%.
            Someone decided to level Gaza. Cause that’s what happened. Were only kibbling over why.
            Which is big for Israel because once our support stops……. Let’s just say they have a very large interest in keeping Americans happy. So, controlling the info/narrative is huge.
            Are Hamas animals and needed to die? They are, and they do. No doubt about it.
            Did you need to do what they did to get there? Doesn’t matter. I don’t care. Worse has happened to a lot of folks all over the world, throughout history.
            What I do care about is the amount of money we spend to do it.
            Every dollar we send over there is a dollar we need right here, right now, to make America a country again.
            We don’t need Iran flattened. We don’t need to control them or the straight of Hormuz.
            We don’t need a holy land. We don’t need to spend one dollar over there to make America great again.
            We need to mind our own problems, which I might add make Hamas Oct. 7 look like an everyday occurrence. And could look a lot worse in a matter of hours should certain invaders decide to turn America into that dumpster fire Kamala loves.

            As this point I would like to say goodbye.
            Being the voice of one “Whining in the Wilderness” has been entertaining and joyful.
            But the reaper got to play with me a little hard not long ago.
            So I’m going to play, pray, and do what I can while I still can outdoors. I might lark by sometimes.
            Thanks for all you do, Joe.
            Thank’s you’all. Been fun. Enjoy your life. You only got this one.

            Is Trump making us great again?
            We’ll see.

          • You misunderstood. I didn’t want a detailed analysis of anything. I want to know if you think both statements are false at the same time. Those two statements are:

            1. We need to make America great again.
            2. America is already great.
  6. Concur, there is no way in Hell that the Israelis did not know the plans for this attack from beginning to end. They let 7 October happen because …

    • …because they needed an excuse to make good on the “Greater Israel Project.” Bibi’s had a boner for that going on 40 years now, maybe longer. He wants Lebanon, most of Syria, Jordan, and a good chunk of Egypt. I think maybe part of Iraq if I remember the map correctly.

      There’s no rational excuse for supporting such a project, only religious insanity, so you need a good false flag to set things up. Oct 7 worked well for that.

      https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Greater_Israel

  7. And stupid people wonder why Israel is not holding back in their war against muzzies anymore…

    • Well no.
      Some of us stupid people just wonder why were close to 40 trillion in debt, and have to pay for them to try it is all.
      So far we could have bought them a half-dozen countries in Africa to live in. In peace.
      They wanted to move back to the one place on earth they knew EVERYONE there hated them.
      Still, “not our monkey, not our circus.”
      Israel can do whatever they want. Once they start coming up out of their own pocket for once.

  8. Pingback: Instapundit » Blog Archive » ONE OF THOSE DAYS THAT CHANGED THE WORLD:  Lessons Learned the Hard Way.

  9. Well.

    It’s a Decision Tree Problem.

    At the individual level, the question is: “Do I trust these people?”
    Yes / No.

    If “Yes,” then “How much do I trust these people?”
    Little / Some / a Lot.
    Little – I’ll listen to their arguments, evaluate them in whatever context I have, add the data to the Decision Matrix.
    Some – Little, plus benefit of the doubt
    A Lot – I’ll get on the train.

    If “No” then:
    What options are available?
    What is required for me to implement those options?
    What is the risk evaluation for exercising those options?
    What is the cost (to me) for implementing those options?
    What carryover costs, if any, exist?
    Is the final option “Keep saying “NO” until you run out of ammo”?

    Hint: That’s ALWAYS the Final Option and comes in various forms other than ammunition-based; the penalty for maintaining an Inadequate Option Position is often quite severe. (Which does not mean there is no possible penalty for maintaining The Maximum Number of Options, but that factor goes into the Decision Matrix; it is not “do I need insurance on my house” but “how much insurance do I need, and of what kind” and “from whom is it in my best interest to purchase it” and “how much active monitoring do I need to apply to be sure they will do what they say they will.”)

    “Predicting Activity” is a Fool’s Errand; the correct choice is “Evaluate What They Are Capable Of” and build decisions, and resultant actions, on that. Which will have a very direct effect on the Decision Matrix.

    If “I don’t think they will boxcar us to the gas chambers” is your foundational thought then turn up the radio volume when “Don’t Worry, Be Happy” comes on and embrance your inner Bobby McFerrin.

    If, however, you have determined that they do have access to trains, those trains can use boxcars, they understand the concept and uses of poison gas, they possess, or can come to possess, people who will support their philosophies, they have the capability for those people to be equipped with the ability to force you to get on trains, then those capabilities must be considered in the Decision Matrix; which does not mean those capabilities always drive action on your part, but do require the Capability For Action on your part.

  10. There’s an Israeli Jewish Christian who I follow on Telegram – recently retired from the IDF Reserves as a Major. He says that all of the Muslim terrorists are given drugs before any kind of action that they go into. (I don’t remember specifically which drugs, but a little research will very likely find that information.) The drugs are part of the reason for their inhuman behavior – not an excuse, by any means, because they do it on purpose to cause that. They know what they are doing, removing any inhibitions that most normal human beings would have to committing atrocities.

    • I doubt that drugs are needed, or used, other than painkillers so as to be prepared if they are injured during their attack.

      When the muslime ambassador in London from the Barbary states was asked by Thomas Jefferson why they attacked the USA’s shipping, killing and/or capturing the crews to sell into slavery, and stealing the ships and cargo, when the USA had never done anything to muslimes, the ambassador replied: Because the koran gives us permission to do whatever we want to infidels like you.

      When modern muslimes are asked why they support the muslimes that crossed into Israel on Oct 7th and raped and murdered Jewish women, they answered: Because the koran gives us permission to do whatever we want to infidels like you.

      The BS that “they only attack us because we’re over there”, or “they only attack us because we attack them” is pure ignorance. 1,400 years ago the misogynistic pedophile founder of islam declared the world was divided into 2 parts: the world of islam, and the world of war. The koran commands them to murder, enslave, or convert the world. We’re in an existential war that the muslimes support (10% of all donations to mosques must be used to support violent jihan), and that most of their intended victims don’t believe is happening. That they’ve murdered hundreds of millions of non-muslims since 700 AD, and have murdered about 1,000,000 since 9/11, including people as innocuous as buddhist monks, seems to not be waking up people like it should. Far too many people seem willing to believe the muslime lie that they only rape infidel women and kill infidel children out of self-defense.

      • The best short summary I’ve found about Islam’s global body-count is this: https://www.americanthinker.com/articles/2014/05/the_greatest_murder_machine_in_history.html

        By way of comparison, I’ve seen reference to (but no scholarly academic studies) the stat of roughly 1 billion war dead globally across all of history. Wikipedia says “only” about 570 million, but reasonable people can disagree as to what counts as a war-induce body. (soldier chopped in half on the battle field by another uniformed warrior in open combat with their respective kings looking on? No argument that counts. The civilian dying of starvation because the king’s soldiers press-ganged all the able-bodied young men in the village capable of bringing in the harvest? Arguable, but also likely not even known about.)

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