Quote of the Day
Khamenei is dead. Good.
But I have family in Iran. My dad is there right now. And I’m not celebrating yet. Here’s why.
Iran built the most layered contingency plan on Earth for this exact moment. Four levels of succession for every key position. Pre-authorized military strikes. Regional commanders who don’t need orders from Tehran to act.
As you read this, there is already a new Supreme Leader. We just don’t know who.
This isn’t Maduro. The government didn’t get overthrown. The system absorbed the hit. That’s what it was designed to do.
Every credible intel assessment says the same thing: a post-Khamenei Iran is more likely to get harder, not softer. More IRGC. More dangerous. Potentially worse for the Iranian people than Khamenei himself.
Don’t breathe yet. There’s a long way to go.
Iman Jalali @Stealx
Posted on X, February 28, 2026
Yes, with a death cult in control of Iran and knowing they are in an existential fight they are unlikely to give up easily. But that is not all there is to this story.
With posts like this indicating internal support for crushing the Iranian theocracy, three Gulf states preparing for combat against Iran, and verbal support from France, Germany, and the U.K. it would seem that Iran will be inclined to fold more quickly than some had anticipated. If true it will also narrow the opportunity window and reduce U.S. military munitions drain. This is important if we are to have credible support for Taiwan against action by China.
I posted a warning almost like this in the comments here a week or 2 ago, just with less explicit knowledge and detail, just from what it was obvious they *would* have in place.
But it’s nice to have my deductions confirmed by someone with actual and explicit knowledge on the ground there.
I can’t imagine this is a surprise to any of the intel people among the Israelis or any of US intel people that actually get listened to anymore (well, until the next Democrat administration, God forbid).
Verbal support from the UK? Not really. Latest word from their head commie is that they don’t want to help. I guess he doesn’t want to annoy his islamist base.
I am a great deal less concerned about death cults in Iran, than death cults that seem to have a stranglehold on places like Washington D.C.
We are not doing this for the Iranian people though I sympathize. We are doing it for us to keep them from getting nukes or ICBMs or continuing to disrupt the world via terrorism or proxies. If it helps the Iranian people, or Israel, or the Gulf Arabs or even the worthless Euros, great but that is not the point. Israel is helping with the strikes, the Gulf Arabs are supplying bases and defensive firepower, and Europe is doing nothing.
As I have said to MThead around here, there are very good non-self-interested reasons to deal with Iran… but there are *completely self-interested* reasons, as well.
And that’s not even new! That’s the part that is so amazingly silly about all of this. That’s been the case for *DECADES*. All the normal reasons for dealing with them are all lined up, and ……. nothing. OK, not *entirely* nothing, just very, very close.
This has been allowed to fester for over 4 decades. It’s ridiculous.
Sorry folks. We don’t go to war for the Iranian people. Or the real Jewish people for that matter.
Power doesn’t give a crap about you, us, or anything but itself.
And inside the shiny heart shaped mylar ballon is a giant stinking fart of big oil.
China is already calling for a cease-fire and re-opening of the straight. Saudi oil refineries are getting shutdown and Europe’s LNG suppliers just got whacked.
And the Houthi’s are back at closing the Red sea passage.
Zerohedge is calling the crude oil supply at 25 days worth. After that the price is going up. Big time.
And inside 4-5 weeks of this crap opening those passages won’t matter much as the infra-structure could take months to years to rebuild.
In the mean time. China will be closing factories. Europe will be in a death kneel,(not that they aren’t already), Places like S. Korea and everywhere that doesn’t have their own supply are going to collapse. And the world economy will be changing.
To say nothing of the global jahdi response. (praying it won’t be much)
And Deoxy. Iran is a state sponsor of terror? All good. Just look at how bloody their war with Iraq was. But they never got it done.
And what did we do to Iraq?
We aren’t? Our CIA has destroyed 10 times what Iran could have ever dreamed of. Go ask a Libyan or a Syrian for starters.
And the ex-Israeli prime minister is calling Turkey as the new big problem.
satanic levels of ignorance and greed have ran this world for millennia now. It’s a literal death cult. They don’t care who gets hurt in the process. And the why’s of why their doing it is never the real reasons.
Quo Bono? Watch and see who benefits.
Hint, it ain’t going to be anyone their telling you.
“As you read this, there is already a new Supreme Leader. We just don’t know who.”
And today, they took out the group that decides that. Working their way down the list quite quickly….
Latest: it’s the son of the old Ayatollah, Mojtaba.
That’s a whole lot of people feeling momentary relief that it’s not them. Willing to bet that Mossad has “son of the old Supreme Leader” on their keep-track-of-via-hacked-security-cameras list.
This is one of those “so many variables” things that there is no certainty, only a range of probabilistic outcomes, with more “on the other hand” tangents than a mutant octopus.
On the one hand, we have a lot of precision weapons.
On the other hand, they have more drones and missiles than we have anti-missile missiles, by come estimates considerably more. If we run out first, the outcomes looks rather different than if they do.
We have a lot of spies, but they have a lot of counter-spy ops.
There are a LOT of outside-of-Iran actors, not all of which are on the same side.
TPTB want to keep bogymen around to act as the villain / foil in their script to keep gaining power and spending money and doing nefarious things. You can’t keep passing more laws to help in your war with EastAsia if you actually win the war. War is the goal, not the victory.
There are a lot of average Iranian people who didn’t like the Ayatollah… OTOH there are also a lot who do, and we just helped him martyr himself, and it will radicalize / harden more of them.
I’m seeing so many different conflicting narratives right now I’m sure sure at all which is correct, though likely there are kernels of truth in many of them. At this point, pray it doesn’t spiral to far for to long.
“TPTB want to keep bogymen around to act as the villain / foil in their script to keep gaining power and spending money and doing nefarious things. You can’t keep passing more laws to help in your war with EastAsia if you actually win the war. War is the goal, not the victory.”
That HAS been the goal, yes, for decades.
Judging by behaviour, it is **definitely** not Trump’s goal. Is that enough to overcome the desires of the “deep state” (or whatever you want to call the embedded institutional actors that stay around longer than any one administration and try to steer things the way they want)? Looks like it for now… but no way to be sure.
I wonder if anyone has wargamed “the world with Iran” vs “the world without an Iran” and has data for each. 636,000 or so square miles of sand and random wandering camels probably wouldn’t pose much of a threat to anyone.
Reducing the variables to two simplifies the equation.
Who here believes that a nuclear-capable Iran would eventually lead to a nuclear device detonating in Israel?
Who here cares if it does?
If you answer ‘yes’ to both questions, I’m curious: If Iran detonated a device in Israel, would you encourage a strong military response? Even if the act ‘lacked clear evidence of a state sponsor’? I’m fairly certain that a failure to respond would result in a device being detonated in Europe or the US, which would _absolutely_ generate a response.
So which military engagement is more preferable. The engagement that prevents them from getting a device, or the engagement that happens after they detonate one or two?
(Note: This is not a relevant question if you believe a nuclear Iran will live at peace with its neighbors and will stop arming and sponsoring terrorist groups)
” …verbal support from France, Germany, and the U.K.” – Hahahaha!
And this is why there will never be a WW3 because the term “World War 3” implies the WORLD is involved and Europe’s pathetic militaries will never be involved in any conflict. The British couldn’t even take Falklands Islands 44-years ago without assistance from the US, and somehow they still think their pathetic military is even relevant on the world stage? In case no one noticed, Europe has no natural oil sources, and they’re currently paying about $10.00 USD-gallon for diesel at the pump. So how exactly do they plan on fueling their own military?
Germany, and the rest of the EU, have lived fat dumb and liberal lives ever since the German Austrian Chancellor blew his own brains out back in 1945. They’ve been fast tracking the import of people from every shit hole county on earth for the past decade and now imprison their own citizens for speaking out when their daughters get raped by these people.
The UK is the perfect example of what’s coming to the rest of Europe and eventually the US. And despite a few well placed munitions in the middle east by Trump, it’s not going to change anything. Trump will be gone in three years and it will be right back to the way it was under the brilliant leadership of Carter, Obama and Biden because our schools have brainwashed generations of our youth that “whites are bad” and the media repeats the mantra.
There’s no way the US or the EU will rid themselves of the human trash they’ve imported, because that trash has multiplied and established itself under the freedoms and national constitutions of the countries they live in. They teach in schools, they’re running towns and cities in political offices and they have every intention of colonizing every western country where they reside.
Enjoy the next three years while you can because once Trump’s gone, there will be hell to pay.