I was just looking back at some things and noticed these comments regarding the California law restricting people to purchasing no more than one gun a month. A three-judge panel ruled 3-0 that it violated the Second Amendment. The consensus among my commentors was that an En Banc panel would find a way to declare the law did not infringe on the right of the people to keep and bear arms:

Shawn on June 25, 2025 at 6:31 am said:

Goes En Banc. Gun control upheld. Just like all the times before.

Richard on June 25, 2025 at 8:07 am said:

Shawn has history on his side. At any rate, who the heck buys more than one gun a month. The recently awake?

Archer on June 25, 2025 at 9:27 am said:Edit
I predict Shawn will be proven correct.

The Ninth Circuit does have some pro-Constitution judges on it. I don’t know how this case, Nguyen v. Bonta, managed the moonshot — getting a full panel of them — but I expect California will appeal and the en banc court will reverse the panel and uphold the law.

They’ve upheld full carry bans. They’ve upheld onerously-restrictive permitting schemes. They’ve upheld AWB laws. The “one gun a month” law is only mildly unconstitutional compared to those; it’s an easy win for the State. (As Richard implies, very few people buy more than one gun a month. A little patience and planning will get most people all the guns they need in less than a year, so the Constitutional infringement is very slight. That will be the court’s opinion.)

I’m not discounting the level of “winning” at play here, getting this decision out of the Nutty Ninth Circuit. Major Kudos are absolutely in order to the SAF and FPC. Fantastic job!

But it’s too early to celebrate. History says it’ll be reversed in a week, a month tops.

Rolf on June 25, 2025 at 11:47 am said:

Generally agree. It will likely get “randomly” sent to a full panel of anti-gun judges and overturned. On the bright side, it’s then possible to appeal to SCOTUS and get it overturned and set aright on a national basis. At the current rate, the American Empire will have long fallen by then, but it will be a great vindication.

As it turns out, I got it right:

Joeon June 25, 2025 at 7:06 am said:

I think this one will be different. It was just too extreme… even for the ninth circuit.

Another brick in the wall.