Separate for a moment the wisdom of the policy from the politics of the execution. I know most regular readers here think Trump’s 7-nation temporary incoming travel ban makes sense, even if it doesn’t go far enough, and it is certainly legal. Preaching to the coir and all that. But let’s look at the other side a moment, just how it was done, and what happened, what’s the fallout, and where do things go from here.
He issued an executive order that basically said “use this 2015 law Obama signed to prohibit travel from these problematic nations, and prohibit travel from these nations Obama designated as problematic.” The left totally loses their collective shit, judges in Seattle and elsewhere issue injunctions to halt it, the media melts down, paid protestors collect their paycheck, and it’s all literally worse than Hitler going into the Sudetenland (or it would be if the leftists knew what that was, but ya’ll know what I mean). It goes to the 9th Circuit, where a 3-judge panel uphold the stay. The media crows and dances about how they stuck it to the man! “well, crap!” was the common sentiment on the right.
So, now what? Trump had to have seen this coming, even though it’s really stupid and self-defeating.They – the left – walked right into the trap, and are now bragging about how tasty all the free food is. It’s such a huge trap that one or more judges on the 9th Circus sees it and is calling for an en blanc review. Trump didn’t even have to appeal. Why?
If after appeals and all, the ban is finally allowed, Trump tweets: See, I keep my promises, and the JV team wants to delay and play politics. The left ill be so burned out, over-triggered, and back on their heels that when his next slightly expanded ban gets enacted, most of the muddle in the middle (the swingable middle ~20% of voters) will say “what’s the big deal? Didn’t he already do that?”, and grow even more weary of the leftist hype and antics and riots and traffic foul-ups. Trump has earned near free rein to do what he wants for the next 2 years.
What if the court turns activist and he’s blocked, and there isn’t any terror attack – he points to a safer nation, and all the other things (more expensive, and slower) he’s done and passed to keep it that way… and he wins reelection by a comfortable margin.
(spew alert. set the beverage down. Ready? OK.)
But… what happens if there is a terrorist attack, particularly by anyone from any one of those 7 nations, before this gets cleaned up? (statistically, I’d give it better than even odds) Trump tweets: I tried to protect you, but the left WANTS dead Americans! Game over. Rhetorical kill-shot, the Dems are toast, and Trump is on his way to be the first Supreme Court Justice elected Pope, with his mug on Rushmore in 20.
The Dems and activist judges have backed themselves into a place where any domestic acts of terrorism committed by anyone from the Middle East will hand Trump a major political win, where the left will be seen as aiding and abetting. The media will try to spin any attack to prove that he’s ineffective, but Trump is the master of rhetoric that cuts through the fog of newspeak to reach the average person: the Fake News organs will not be believed. And with the arrest of paid rioters and deportation of criminals, crime will fall, jobs will open, and things will be… interesting.
It’s an E-ticket ride, folks, and you have to be at least [-this-] tall! Buckle up.