Sunday, November 07, 2004

There is a new report made partially available that confirms what some other people have been saying:

Earlier this year, Pakistani journalist Hamid Mir said al-Qaida may already possess portable nuclear weapons. He attributed the claim to a 2001 interview with bin Laden's second-in-command, Ayman Al-Zawahri, in which the al-Qaida figure said the group had purchased such bombs on the black market in central Asia for $30 million US.

The good-news/bad-news is that they don't have a very long 'shelf life'.  If they aquire a backpack nuke they may need to use it or loose it.

The report notes that Russian officials and nuclear scientists have argued in the media it would be almost impossible for al-Qaida to posess such devices, as they are too difficult to maintain and have a lifespan of just one to three years.

My contention is that if they can aquire a nuke they can find someone to maintain it for them too.  Stay away from D.C. during the inauguration and the State of the Union Speech.  Other large populations centers might be targets in part of a cooridinated attack.

Of course this is all just speculation on my part.  Sleep well.

Joe Huffman  Sunday, November 07, 2004 4:51:00 AM (Pacific Standard Time, UTC-08:00)  #    Disclaimer  |  Comments [0]  | 
 Thursday, November 04, 2004

I had never been able to identify the principles of the Democrat party.  I always believed they just wanted power and would say anything do anything to achieve and hold on to that power.  Sure, nearly all politicians have a tendency along those lines but the Democrats did nothing but that as near as I could tell.  I never heard anyone articulate what their principles really were.  Even when I would press some of them for a statement of principles I would get a blank stare like a deer in the headlights and some mumbling about diversity and equality.  However, just this afternoon, I finally read an answer by William Schneider to that question and it finally makes sense what they are about.  He said, “It looks to use the power of government to promote economic and social justice.”  How very cool.  How succinct.  And it all makes sense now.  Thank you Mr. Schneider.

However there are a couple of problems with these principles.

  • They are unconstitutional.
  • Government is unable to accomplish those goals.  It only creates more problems than it solves.

So now that I finally have an understanding of what the Democrat party is really about let's get on with the process of driving them into political extinction.  Their principles are abhorrent to me.

Joe Huffman  Thursday, November 04, 2004 5:46:00 PM (Pacific Standard Time, UTC-08:00)  #    Disclaimer  |  Comments [0]  | 

Barb has a cousin, Karen, in the hospital in Richland, WA.  She is a month younger than Barb and they saw a lot of each other growing up and continued to see each other in adulthood.  Barb, normally a morning person, would many times stay up late into the night talking with Karen when she came for a visit..  The last news I heard, a couple hours ago, was that Karen was on life support and they were doing an EEG to look for signs of brain activity.  Barb and her sister Nancy came over yesterday to be with her and her family and are staying with me again tonight.  The house I stay in is only a couple blocks from the hospital.

When I first started work over here I stayed with Karens mom and stepfather for several months.  Karens daughter Lacey is going to school at the University of Idaho just across town from our house in Moscow.  Lacey is a year older than our son James who is also attending the U of I. Lacey helped James getting into the swing of things at school and they even shared a class or two and would go to the gym to exercise together.  Lacey went to an IPSC match with me once and I borrowed her pistol because I had accidently left mine at her grandparents place.  During the summer of '03 Lacey stayed at our house during the week while she worked at the university.  Lacey was there for the historic fireball video with our daughter Kim and provided the background expletives.  Lacey helped with Boomershoot 2003 (second picture from the top).  In other words our family is pretty close to Karen and her family and there will be a lot of sorrow in our house if she passes away.

Joe Huffman  Thursday, November 04, 2004 5:28:00 PM (Pacific Standard Time, UTC-08:00)  #    Disclaimer  |  Comments [0]  | 
 Wednesday, November 03, 2004

The Citizens for the Right to Keep and Bear Arms (www.ccrkba.org) just made a press release with what they think is the direction forward with a comfortable Republican majority in the House and Senate, and a (somewhat) pro-gun President.

However, said CCRKBA Chairman Alan Gottlieb, "The real work begins now. This is the first real opportunity that gun owners have had in recent memory to go on the offensive. We need to immediately begin pushing for an expansion of the armed pilots program, and perhaps equally important to homeland security, we need to pass national concealed carry legislation for private citizens."

Although they didn't mention in this press release I would like to see them also work towards restoring freedom to Washington D.C. residents who are prohibited from owning handguns and have severe restrictions on long gun ownership.  Although a national concealed carry law might take care of the D.C. oppression as well as that in other places Chicago (all of IL actually), New York City, and California.

Joe Huffman  Wednesday, November 03, 2004 12:15:00 PM (Pacific Standard Time, UTC-08:00)  #    Disclaimer  |  Comments [2]  | 
 Tuesday, November 02, 2004

Back in February I predicted gay marriage would be a big issue in this election. It was, but not in the way I thought it would.  Gay marriage was on the ballet in a number of states -- including Ohio.  This was key to getting conservatives to register and to vote.  And of course once they were at the polls to vote against gay marriage they voted for Bush for president.

In February I also spoke of the disintegration of the Democrat party.  I think we are that path.

Joe Huffman  Tuesday, November 02, 2004 11:58:00 PM (Pacific Standard Time, UTC-08:00)  #    Disclaimer  |  Comments [2]  | 

I'm not a big fan of Republicans but I'm certainly an opponent of the Democrats.  It's with great pleasure that I see the Democrats lost seats in both houses of congress.  It appears Kerry will loose his bid for the White House.  And with 94% of the SD votes counted it appears that Daschle will lose.  With Daschle being booted out they lose their most powerful player in politics.

The impact of this could be major.  The Democrats have to be incredibly demoralized.  Their agenda is increasingly rejected.  After the 1994 'revolution' in the House there were Democrat representatives that switched parties so they could be in the majority.  What will happen this time?  How much energy will they have for fighting essentially a delaying action for the Republican agenda?  Can we find a roadmap to drive this party into extinction?  My fantasy now is to have the second party in this country be the Libertarians.  To have to choose between the Libertarians and the Republicans would be a much more pleasant choice than what the realistic choices are now.

And finally I want to congratulate Stephanie Sailor (Libertarian and Boomershoot PR director) on getting 12% of the vote while spending 0 (yes ZERO) dollars on her campaign for U.S. Congress.  Roughly 27,000 people voted for her.

Joe Huffman  Tuesday, November 02, 2004 11:47:00 PM (Pacific Standard Time, UTC-08:00)  #    Disclaimer  |  Comments [0]  | 

From Aljazeera.  What is interesting to me is that it doesn't have quite the ringing endorsement of Kerry that some other transcripts alluded to.  Also of interest is that provides a fair amount of detail about how the concept of attacking the World Trade Center towers came to be.

Following is the full English transcript of Usama bin Ladin's speech in a videotape sent to Aljazeera. In the interests of authenticity, the content of the transcript, which appeared as subtitles at the foot of the screen, has been left unedited.

Praise be to Allah who created the creation for his worship and commanded them to be just and permitted the wronged one to retaliate against the oppressor in kind. To proceed:

Peace be upon he who follows the guidance: People of America this talk of mine is for you and concerns the ideal way to prevent another Manhattan, and deals with the war and its causes and results.

Before I begin, I say to you that security is an indispensable pillar of human life and that free men do not forfeit their security, contrary to Bush's claim that we hate freedom.

If so, then let him explain to us why we don't strike for example - Sweden? And we know that freedom-haters don't possess defiant spirits like those of the 19 - may Allah have mercy on them.

No, we fight because we are free men who don't sleep under oppression. We want to restore freedom to our nation, just as you lay waste to our nation. So shall we lay waste to yours.

No one except a dumb thief plays with the security of others and then makes himself believe he will be secure. Whereas thinking people, when disaster strikes, make it their priority to look for its causes, in order to prevent it happening again.

But I am amazed at you. Even though we are in the fourth year after the events of September 11th, Bush is still engaged in distortion, deception and hiding from you the real causes. And thus, the reasons are still there for a repeat of what occurred.

So I shall talk to you about the story behind those events and shall tell you truthfully about the moments in which the decision was taken, for you to consider.

I say to you, Allah knows that it had never occurred to us to strike the towers. But after it became unbearable and we witnessed the oppression and tyranny of the American/Israeli coalition against our people in Palestine and Lebanon, it came to my mind.

The events that affected my soul in a direct way started in 1982 when America permitted the Israelis to invade Lebanon and the American Sixth Fleet helped them in that. This bombardment began and many were killed and injured and others were terrorised and displaced.

I couldn't forget those moving scenes, blood and severed limbs, women and children sprawled everywhere. Houses destroyed along with their occupants and high rises demolished over their residents, rockets raining down on our home without mercy.

The situation was like a crocodile meeting a helpless child, powerless except for his screams. Does the crocodile understand a conversation that doesn't include a weapon? And the whole world saw and heard but it didn't respond.

In those difficult moments many hard-to-describe ideas bubbled in my soul, but in the end they produced an intense feeling of rejection of tyranny, and gave birth to a strong resolve to punish the oppressors.

And as I looked at those demolished towers in Lebanon, it entered my mind that we should punish the oppressor in kind and that we should destroy towers in America in order that they taste some of what we tasted and so that they be deterred from killing our women and children.

And that day, it was confirmed to me that oppression and the intentional killing of innocent women and children is a deliberate American policy. Destruction is freedom and democracy, while resistance is terrorism and intolerance.

This means the oppressing and embargoing to death of millions as Bush Sr did in Iraq in the greatest mass slaughter of children mankind has ever known, and it means the throwing of millions of pounds of bombs and explosives at millions of children - also in Iraq - as Bush Jr did, in order to remove an old agent and replace him with a new puppet to assist in the pilfering of Iraq's oil and other outrages.

So with these images and their like as their background, the events of September 11th came as a reply to those great wrongs, s
hould a man be blamed for defending his sanctuary?

Is defending oneself and punishing the aggressor in kind, objectionable terrorism? If it is such, then it is unavoidable for us.

This is the message which I sought to communicate to you in word and deed, repeatedly, for years before September 11th.

And you can read this, if you wish, in my interview with Scott in Time Magazine in 1996, or with Peter Arnett on CNN in 1997, or my meeting with John Weiner in 1998.

You can observe it practically, if you wish, in Kenya and Tanzania and in Aden. And you can read it in my interview with Abdul Bari Atwan, as well as my interviews with Robert Fisk.

The latter is one of your compatriots and co-religionists and I consider him to be neutral. So are the pretenders of freedom at the White House and the channels controlled by them able to run an interview with him?  So that he may relay to the American people what he has understood from us to be the reasons for our fight against you?

If you were to avoid these reasons, you will have taken the correct path that will lead America to the security that it was in before September 11th. This concerned the causes of the war.

As for it's results, they have been, by the grace of Allah, positive and enormous, and have, by all standards, exceeded all expectations. This is due to many factors, chief among them, that we have found it difficult to deal with the Bush administration in light of the resemblance it bears to the regimes in our countries, half of which are ruled by the military and the other half which are ruled by the sons of kings and presidents.

Our experience with them is lengthy, and both types are replete with those who are characterised by pride, arrogance, greed and misappropriation of wealth. This resemblance began after the visits of Bush Sr to the region.

At a time when some of our compatriots were dazzled by America and hoping that these visits would have an effect on our countries, all of a sudden he was affected by those monarchies and military regimes, and became envious of their remaining decades in their positions, to embezzle the public wealth of the nation without supervision or accounting.

So he took dictatorship and suppression of freedoms to his son and they named it the Patriot Act, under the pretence of fighting terrorism. In addition, Bush sanctioned the installing of sons as state governors, and didn't forget to import expertise in election fraud from the region's presidents to Florida to be made use of in moments of difficulty.

All that we have mentioned has made it easy for us to provoke and bait this administration. All that we have to do is to send two mujahidin to the furthest point east to raise a piece of cloth on which is written al-Qaida, in order to make the generals race there to cause America to suffer human, economic, and political losses without their achieving for it anything of note other than some benefits for their private companies.

This is in addition to our having experience in using guerrilla warfare and the war of attrition to fight tyrannical superpowers, as we, alongside the mujahidin, bled Russia for 10 years, until it went bankrupt and was forced to withdraw in defeat.

All Praise is due to Allah.

So we are continuing this policy in bleeding America to the point of bankruptcy. Allah willing, and nothing is too great for Allah.

That being said, those who say that al-Qaida has won against the administration in the White House or that the administration has lost in this war have not been precise, because when one scrutinises the results, one cannot say that al-Qaida is the sole factor in achieving those spectacular gains.

Rather, the policy of the White House that demands the opening of war fronts to keep busy their various corporations - whether they be working in the field of arms or oil or reconstruction - has helped al-Qaida to achieve these enormous results.

And so it has appeared to some analysts and diplomats that the White House and us are playing as one team towards the economic goals of the United States, even if the intentions differ.

And it was to these sorts of notions and their like that the British diplomat and others were referring in their lectures at the Royal Institute of International Affairs. [When they pointed out that] for example, al-Qaida spent $500,000 on the event, while America, in the incident and its aftermath, lost - according to the lowest estimate - more than $500 billion.

Meaning that every dollar of al-Qaida defeated a million dollars by the permission of Allah, besides the loss of a huge number of jobs.

As for the size of the economic deficit, it has reached record astronomical numbers estimated to total more than a trillion dollars.

And even more dangerous and bitter for America is that the mujahidin recently forced Bush to resort to emergency funds to continue the fight in Afghanistan and Iraq, which is evidence of the success of the bleed-until-bankruptcy plan - with Allah's permission.

It is true that this shows that al-Qaida has gained, but on the other hand, it shows that the Bush administration has also gained, something of which anyone who looks at the size of the contracts acquired by the shady Bush administration-linked mega-corporations, like Halliburton and its kind, will be convinced. And it all shows that the real loser is ... you.

It is the American people and their economy. And for the record, we had agreed with the Commander-General Muhammad Ataa, Allah have mercy on him, that all the operations should be carried out within 20 minutes, before Bush and his administration notice.

It never occurred to us that the commander-in-chief of the American armed forces would abandon 50,000 of his citizens in the twin towers to face those great horrors alone, the time when they most needed him.

But because it seemed to him that occupying himself by talking to the little girl about the goat and its butting was more important than occupying himself with the planes and their butting of the skyscrapers, we were given three times the period required to execute the operations - all praise is due to Allah.

And it's no secret to you that the thinkers and perceptive ones from among the Americans warned Bush before the war and told him: "All that you want for securing America and removing the weapons of mass destruction - assuming they exist - is available to you, and the nations of the world are with you in the inspections, and it is in the interest of America that it not be thrust into an unjustified war with an unknown outcome."

But the darkness of the black gold blurred his vision and insight, and he gave priority to private interests over the public interests of America.

So the war went ahead, the death toll rose, the American economy bled, and Bush became embroiled in the swamps of Iraq that threaten his future. He fits the saying "like the naughty she-goat who used her hoof to dig up a knife from under the earth".

So I say to you, over 15,000 of our people have been killed and tens of thousands injured, while more than a thousand of you have been killed and more than 10,000 injured. And Bush's hands are stained with the blood of all those killed from both sides, all for the sake of oil and keeping their private companies in business.

Be aware that it is the nation who punishes the weak man when he causes the killing of one of its citizens for money, while letting the powerful one get off, when he causes the killing of more than 1000 of its sons, also for money.

And the same goes for your allies in Palestine. They terrorise the women and children, and kill and capture the men as they lie sleeping with their families on the mattresses, that you may recall that for every action, there is a reaction.

Finally, it behoves you to reflect on the last wills and testaments of the thousands who left you on the 11th as they gestured in despair. They are important testaments, which should be studied and researched.

Among the most important of what I read in them was some prose in their gestures before the collapse, where they say: "How mistaken we were to have allowed the White House to implement its aggressive foreign policies against the weak without supervision."

It is as if they were telling you, the people of America: "Hold to account those who have caused us to be killed, and happy is he who learns from others' mistakes."

And among that which I read in their gestures is a verse of poetry. "Injustice chases its people, and how unhealthy the bed of tyranny."

As has been said: "An ounce of prevention is better than a pound of cure."

And know that: "It is better to return to the truth than persist in error." And that the wise man doesn't squander his security, wealth and children for the sake of the liar in the White House.

In conclusion, I tell you in truth, that your security is not in the hands of Kerry, nor Bush, nor al-Qaida. No.

Your security is in your own hands. And every state that doesn't play with our security has automatically guaranteed its own security.

And Allah is our Guardian and Helper, while you have no Guardian or Helper. All peace be upon he who follows the Guidance.

Joe Huffman  Tuesday, November 02, 2004 8:52:00 AM (Pacific Standard Time, UTC-08:00)  #    Disclaimer  |  Comments [0]  | 

Theo Van Gogh, a Dutch filmmaker and relative of the Van Gogh, was killed today.  He had made a film about Islamic violence against women which was declared blasphemy by Muslims.  His next film was about anti-immigration politician Pim Fortuyn.  Some reports say the attacker tried to cut off his head after he had been shot several times.  This assassination was similar to some of the training I saw in the al Qaeda training tapes.  The perp was caught after a shoot-out with the police.

College Republicans with a table in front of a student union building were attacked:

Derek Wray, President of the SFSU College Republicans, told Front Page Magazine that an angry mob of Palestinian students attacked the club’s table, as well as individual members of the Republican club who were handing out pro-Bush/Cheney campaign materials.  According to  Wray, campus police were nearby, but “just stood around watching and, instead of protecting the College Republican students from the mob that was pouring drinks on our table and materials, and even physically assaulting our members, only suggested that the campus Republicans leave rather than arrest those responsible for the violence.”

Joe Huffman  Tuesday, November 02, 2004 8:44:00 AM (Pacific Standard Time, UTC-08:00)  #    Disclaimer  |  Comments [0]  | 
 Monday, November 01, 2004

I put her pictures up in the same album with Kim's Halloween pictures.

We got five trick or treaters this year.  Then a couple Tri-Delta 'sisters' showed up asking for donations for Ronald McDonald house (I think that was it, Barb talked to them).

Joe Huffman  Monday, November 01, 2004 2:17:00 AM (Pacific Standard Time, UTC-08:00)  #    Disclaimer  |  Comments [0]  | 

It turns out he was referring to U.S. States.  Not nation states.

The tape of Osama bin Laden that was aired on Al-Jazeera on Friday, October 29th included a specific threat to "each U.S. state," designed to influence the outcome of the upcoming election against George W. Bush. The U.S. media in general mistranslated the words "ay wilaya" (which means "each U.S. state") to mean a "country" or "nation" other than the U.S., while in fact the threat was directed specifically at each individual U.S. state. This suggests some knowledge by bin Laden of the U.S. electoral college system. In a section of his speech in which he harshly criticized George W. Bush, bin Laden stated: "Any U.S. state that does not toy with our security automatically guarantees its own security."

The Islamist website Al-Qal'a explained what this sentence meant: "This message was a warning to every U.S. state separately. When he [Osama Bin Laden] said, 'Every state will be determining its own security, and will be responsible for its choice,' it means that any U.S. state that will choose to vote for the white thug Bush as president has chosen to fight us, and we will consider it our enemy, and any state that will vote against Bush has chosen to make peace with us, and we will not characterize it as an enemy. By this characterization, Sheikh Osama wants to drive a wedge in the American body, to weaken it, and he wants to divide the American people itself between enemies of Islam and the Muslims, and those who fight for us, so that he doesn't treat all American people as if they're the same. This letter will have great implications inside the American society, part of which are connected to the American elections, and part of which are connected to what will come after the elections.“

If this is true then New York City and Los Angles are not likely to be subject to attacks from al Qaeda as I had suggested a few days ago.

So it would seem to me this is a pretty clear endorsement for Senator Kerry from Osama bin Laden.

Joe Huffman  Monday, November 01, 2004 2:00:00 AM (Pacific Standard Time, UTC-08:00)  #    Disclaimer  |  Comments [0]  | 
 Sunday, October 31, 2004
Kim stopped by last night so Barb could fix her hair in rag curls.  She dressed up as an angel for work today and wanted the hair to look the part.  It sure was nice to have her home and talking to us.  We went in to her work (KFC) this morning and took some more pictures.  As we left I noticed the bumper sticker we had given her after our visit to Las Vegas was on her car.  And then found the other sticker we had given her on her steering wheel.
Joe Huffman  Sunday, October 31, 2004 11:35:00 AM (Pacific Standard Time, UTC-08:00)  #    Disclaimer  |  Comments [0]  | 
Yesterday after geocaching at Winchester State Park Barb and I visited the Taj Mahal to drop off a few target bodies and make sure things were ready for the winter.  I took some pictures of Barb watching the grass grow and a few other things.  The grass is growing and everything looks good for Boomershoot 2005.  I still have a bunch of 8” target bodies in our garage but we have more than enough for the next boomershoot stored away in the Taj.  It started snowing while we there so I'm glad we got there before it got any later in the year.
Joe Huffman  Sunday, October 31, 2004 11:21:00 AM (Pacific Standard Time, UTC-08:00)  #    Disclaimer  |  Comments [0]  | 
Barb and I had never been to Winchester State Park before.  Yesterday we went for a drive, took a few pictures, walked around the entire lake, and found a geocache.  It is a very nice park. Far nicer than what I expected.
Joe Huffman  Sunday, October 31, 2004 11:13:00 AM (Pacific Standard Time, UTC-08:00)  #    Disclaimer  |  Comments [1]  | 

Reuters and several other sources report censorship is alive and well in China.

BEIJING (Reuters) - China shut 1,600 Internet cafes between February and August and imposed $12.1 million worth of fines for allowing children to play violent or adult-only games and other violations, state media said.

Of 1.8 million Internet bars inspected, 18,000 were ordered "to stop operation for rectification," Xinhua news agency quoted Zhang Xinjian, deputy director of the Culture Ministry's market department, as saying.

"Porn, gambling, violence and similar problems have adversely affected the healthy development of the Internet in China," Zhang was quoted as saying.

The crackdown comes amid a nationwide push to limit violence and pornography on the Internet that has seen the government shut down hundreds of Web sites it deemed unsavory.

China has some 87 million Internet users, over 50 percent of whom are under 24 and approximately 18 percent are minors.

It is my understanding they also block sites from entering the country which they find to be unacceptable.  I wish I could find out which sites they were.  I'm curious if boomershoot.org is among them.

Joe Huffman  Sunday, October 31, 2004 8:43:00 AM (Pacific Standard Time, UTC-08:00)  #    Disclaimer  |  Comments [1]  | 
 Saturday, October 30, 2004

I took this class a couple years ago -- the al Qaeda Training tapes. The stuff has been in back of my mind and used for my own prep but I completely forgot to share it with others with all my postings about the new videos.

Here is part of the description of the class:

During this presentation you will VIEW video footage of Al Qaeda operatives engaging in training scenarios involving: Hostage taking/execution, Assassination, Kidnapping, Raids, Ambushes and Drive-by shootings. Specific skills/techniques seen include: Building entry (single and multiple breach/entry points,) Infiltration, 2-4 man room clearing, Target discrimination, Prisoner handling, Marksmanship (including marksmanship from moving vehicles,) and Rappelling. (This footage was filmed by Al Qaeda trainers while conducting advanced tactical training at a compound in Afghanistan).

The school house incident in Russia went down very similar to one of the training situations in the class. It's very sobering stuff. It makes you realize how serious, how determined, and how well trained (not as good as our average combat solider but better than our average cop) these guys are.

If you can get enough people (dollars) together Insights will bring the class to your location. If you are serious about being prepared you should take this class.

Joe Huffman  Saturday, October 30, 2004 5:47:00 AM (Pacific Standard Time, UTC-08:00)  #    Disclaimer  |  Comments [0]  | 
 Friday, October 29, 2004

You can see part of the video I talked about yesterday on Fox news now.  ABC showed it last night but I wasn't where I could view it or record it at that time.  Another video is out.  This time it is Osama bin Landen.  Reports on it are available in several places each with a little different take on it:

His one message of potential interest is:

Your security is not in the hands of Kerry or Bush or al Qaeda. Your security is in your own hands and each state which does not harm our security will remain safe.

I believe he is referring to 'state' as in 'nation state' because he also talks about Sweden not being attacked by al Qaeda.  In general my take on the video is that he is just thumbing his nose at Bush saying, “You haven't got me yet.”.  You could also take this as a backing down from his previous letter to America and saying, “Let's call it a truce.”  But keep in mind that under Islam there is nothing wrong with lying to non-Muslims.

Joe Huffman  Friday, October 29, 2004 4:28:00 PM (Pacific Standard Time, UTC-08:00)  #    Disclaimer  |  Comments [0]  | 
 Thursday, October 28, 2004

I've been following the story pretty closely and the best report I have seen so far is the one from the Christian Science Monitor.

The most interesting parts to me were the following:

A new videotape that has surfaced in Pakistan threatens a massive attack against the United States by a purported American member of Al Qaeda. It is not yet known if the tape is an authentic Al Qaeda production, but it bears enough resemblance that some experts are taking the tape seriously.

The chilling 75-minute digital videotape, seen by a Christian Science Monitor reporter in Pakistan, where it was obtained by ABC News, shows a high degree of sophistication and bears the logo of Al Qaeda's video production house, As-Sahab.

...

"Allah willing, the streets of America will run red with blood, matching drop for drop the blood of America's victims," says the speaker, who calls himself Azzam al Amriki (or Azzam the American). "What took place on September 11th was but the opening salvo in the global war on America."

The next attacks, he adds, "could come at any moment."

...

"As-Sahab is an Al Qaeda propaganda outfit and engages in psychological warfare," says Bruce Hoffman, an expert on terror at the RAND Corp. in Washington. "Given the hype of the US election in general, that the jihadists claim credit for affecting the outcome of the Spanish elections, and the heightened chatter that intelligence agencies acknowledge, I'm surprised we haven't seen something like this sooner."

...

The tape, delivered to ABC in Islamabad last Sunday by a courier who was paid a $500 transport fee, contains a lengthy Q&A session between "Mr. Amriki" and an off-camera interviewer. It ends with his warning, which cuts off abruptly when the tape runs out.

Analysts at Pakistan's spy agency, the ISI, say the tape is genuine, explaining the material bears the same "signature" as previous As-Sahab video releases, which are unique in the world of jihadi video for their sophisticated editing techniques.

It features the same gold logo that appeared, among other places, in a 2003 statement from Mr. bin Laden.

There's also simultaneous Arabic subtitling - a complicated and time consuming process to put together - and a scrolling message across the bottom of the screen (similar to the news tickers on CNN and Fox) that was featured on a recent statement from al-Zawahiri.

Also of extreme interest is this claim from Drudge:

A top goverment source said from Washington that ABC withheld the final 15 minutes of the tape from the feds -- the portion of the tape where the man warns of retribution for Americans electing Bush and Cheney.

"The FBI did not see the last 15 mins," the source claims.

And

ABC NEWS TO AIR TERROR TAPE ON WORLD NEWS TONIGHT AT 6:30 EST

The way I read it is that most likely it is a from the source claimed (al Qaeda) and that chances are good that is it just a mostly empty threat.  But still, I'm advising friends to stay out of D.C., New York, and Los Angles in the near future.  One person asked for my opinion on when the most likely time the attack would occur.  This is just a guess on my part, but I would guess within the next two weeks or during the State of the Union speech in January.

Joe Huffman  Thursday, October 28, 2004 1:50:00 PM (Pacific Standard Time, UTC-08:00)  #    Disclaimer  |  Comments [0]  | 

ABC News reports:

Israel, fearing it will be blamed for any further deterioration in Arafat's condition, said Thursday it is ready to lift its travel ban and allow Arafat to leave.

...

Israeli Foreign Minister Silvan Shalom said a Palestinian Authority without Arafat could become a partner for peace. "We always said we would be willing to talk to a Palestinian leadership that would be willing once and for all to bring an end to the bloodshed," Shalom told Israel Radio.

Good news all the way around as near as I can tell.

Joe Huffman  Thursday, October 28, 2004 12:27:00 PM (Pacific Standard Time, UTC-08:00)  #    Disclaimer  |  Comments [0]  | 

Monash University researchers released a study “Firearm Related Deaths: the Impact of Regulatory Reform” and it made big news in Australia.   None of the stories below include input from critics of the study.

GUN law reforms in the past 25 years have led to a 65 per cent drop in gun-related deaths in Victoria, a study has found.

The study, by the Monash University Accident Research Centre, showed the annual average frequency of firearm-related deaths fell by 65 per cent from 1979 to 2000, with suicide deaths down 54.5 per cent and gun assault deaths down by half.

...

The centre's injury prevention chairwoman, Professor Joan Ozanne-Smith, said Victoria was a world leader in gun law reform. She said a handgun buyback established in 2000 after shootings at Monash University that year had furthered the downward trend.

"There's something like a 75 per cent reduction in firearm deaths since 1979 (up to 2002) which is quite remarkable, and we think this is a model for the rest of the world," she said.

...

Given present trends, it was conceivable that gun-related deaths could be eliminated in the future, Professor Ozanne-Smith said.

The study appears to be well done with the assumptions given.  However there is a major assumption which is totally bogus.  That assumption is that if you reduce the number of injuries or death that occurring using a particular type of tool that you have accomplished something useful.  It appears they even include legitimate self-defense shooting by police and private citizen in their statistics.  I know it's difficult to distinguish from the truly tragic but there are some firearms injuries and deaths that are justifiable and even praiseworthy.  Any legitimate study should at least make an effort to account for the benefits of firearms ownership.  Furthermore, if you look at the overall homicide rate and include more recent data you will find it was essentially unchanged while the propagandists claim a nearly 30% reduction in “firearm related deaths by assault”.  I wasn't able to quickly find stats on suicide but in other countries there has been no significant decrease in the overall suicide rate after firearms have been restricted. 

So what is the point of restricting firearms if there is no overall benefit in tragic death and/or injury prevention?  The only point I can think of is something hinted at in some of the articles:

Researcher Stuart Newstead said a colleague witnessed the shooting deaths of two students at Monash's Clayton campus in October 2002 and many staff members and students were touched by the shooting.

The researchers most likely are indeed 'touched'.  Typically people wishing to restrict firearms have an emotional involvement and, perhaps even with the best of intentions, don't see the entire picture.

Joe Huffman  Thursday, October 28, 2004 11:59:00 AM (Pacific Standard Time, UTC-08:00)  #    Disclaimer  |  Comments [2]  |