Quote of the Day
Over the next decade, it is quite likely that most democratic Western countries will become fascist dictatorships – this is not a tail risk, but the most likely overall outcome. Politics is not a typical LessWrong topic, and for good reason:
- it tends to impair clear thinking;
- most well-known political issues are not neglected;
- most political “debates” are simply people yelling at each other online; neither saying anything new, nor even really trying to persuade the opposition.
However, like the COVID pandemic, it seems like this particular trend will be so impactful and so disruptive to ordinary Western life that it will be important to be aware of it, factor it into plans, and try our best to mitigate or work around the effects.
June 10, 2023
The Dictatorship Problem
I remain unconvinced. There were some interesting trend lines which made for interesting reading and possibly good discussions. But some claims were almost certainly wrong and there was not a set of evidence which I found convincing.