Quote of the day—James Rickards

But getting back to Biden’s solid lead in polling, should we just cede the election to him — and his VP candidate who’d probably be in power within a year?

Not so fast. For over 80 years, pollsters have asked two key questions in election polling. The first is, “Who are you voting for?”

That’s the intention question. The second question is, “Who do you expect to win?” That’s the expectation question.

The answer to the intention question gets all the headlines. Those are the polling results we describe above. The answer to the expectation question gets buried and is scarcely discussed.

But guess what? In cases where the intention and expectation questions have different answers, (in effect, “I’m voting for A, but I expect B to win”), the expectation answer had the correct result 78% of the time.

The intention question had the correct result only 22% of the time.

And, Trump is leading the expectation question right now 55% to 45% for Biden. So, Trump actually is ahead in the polls. You just have to be looking at the right polls. That’s key. So don’t write Trump off just yet.

James Rickards
July 27, 2020
How Secure Is Biden’s Lead?
[Interesting! Very, very interesting.—Joe]

4 thoughts on “Quote of the day—James Rickards

  1. In this day and age, all news is opinion. The 5 W’s. Who, What, Why, Where, When. Aka, News reporting. Have always been suspect at best. As in breaking a few eggs to make an omelet?
    Polling will always be in the eye of the beholder. And as the writer points out just one of many way’s to manipulate a poll.
    And if you ever find yourself ready to take action based on a poll. Maybe you should consider electric shock therapy first?
    Or like grandy said. Believe none of what you hear, and only half of what you see!

  2. Polls are no longer about information gathering. They are about forming and directing public opinion. Many people are natural followers….they ‘go with the crowd’. If the BIG THING is voting for Biden then that’s who they will vote for just to be part of the crowd. Thought process is secondary….if even present. THESE are the targets of the “polls”. The same “polls” that had Cankles Clinton a guarnateed winner right up until she lost. So what the polls say is truly irrelevant. What we need to worry about FAR more than what some manufactured numbers say is
    the ongoing incessant efforts by the communist demonrats to essentially REMOVE ALL OF US from the electoral process via their cheating. For years
    the left has committed all sorts of fraudulent schemes to increase the number of votes their candidates receive. Now this “plannedemic” has given them the Golden Ticket they have lusted after for decades…..the excuse to END voting in person and institute “mail in voting”…..a process that is DESIGNED and GUARANTEED to be abused and misused to insure that NO electoral result can EVER be trusted as being accurate ever again. The left KNOWS they have ZERO chance at beating Trump in an honest election. Thus they fully intend to make sure NOTHING about November 3 is honest, fair or ‘transparent’. They intend to WIN. And anything they have to do will be done. Because the left has only one rule….WIN.

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