Interesting demographics

It’s time for me to renew my Arizona concealed weapons permit (so I can carry in Nevada). While looking for the renewal application I found this:

last updated: 07/19/2020

PERMITS 360666 4834 1259

PERMITS 19-20 21-29 30-39 40-49 50-59 60-69 70-79 80+
ASIAN 0 147 412 548 498 273 95 8
BLACK 0 186 492 651 562 333 105 9
INDIAN 0 97 194 225 266 188 90 14
UNKNOWN 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0
WHITE 4 4270 8979 11539 18469 21471 12639 1698
FEMALE TOTAL 4 4700 10077 12963 19795 22265 12930 1729

PERMITS 19-20 21-29 30-39 40-49 50-59 60-69 70-79 80+
ASIAN 3 777 1926 2595 1974 1176 429 79
BLACK 5 903 1888 2415 2399 1650 754 133
INDIAN 1 251 520 522 544 506 326 90
UNKNOWN 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0
WHITE 32 15051 31188 39480 52869 62273 52958 13343
MALE TOTAL 41 16982 35522 45012 57786 65605 54468 13645

Notice the peak age category for both female and male?

I would not have guessed that would be the case.

10 thoughts on “Interesting demographics

  1. I would agree.
    I work in a shop, deal with 4473’s, Sales, NICS, State for HG sales, Train Beginners, etc etc…
    but most importantly….

    They are also getting training.
    I see them at the same facilities I go to for training.
    In all disciplines. HG,Carb and LR.

  2. Something-something about once you bust your cherry you keep getting older but you can’t go back?

    It makes sense. 30-39 CWP holders tend to turn into 40-49 CWP holders, then 50-59 CWP holders then 60-69 CWPs at a rate of 1 year-cohort per year unless they die of natural causes.

    The defection rate is low. 40-49 CWP holders rarely turn into 50-59 expired-not-renewing. There may be an amount of effort required to maintain, but it’s a known level of effort on the order of making spaghetti bolognese for the second time. It’s not “making steamed shumai dumplings at home in rural Idaho” hard.

  3. If the numbers are from Arizona, what’s the age cohort distribution for humans in Arizona? I’m betting it’s pretty heavily concentrated in the 60-69 cohort.

    Interestingly, excepting only the Indian male and female numbers which concentrate in the 50-59 cohort, the 40-49 cohort seems to be the concentration for all groups and both sexes.

    Any idea what the age/sex/racial distribution is in Arizona? I’m curious how closely the general population matches the chart, and at what age(s) a CWP was first obtained. Is there a breakout for resident / non-resident permits, or does Arizona not have different permits?

    And, in what age cohort did you expect to see the greatest numbers?

  4. A more interesting bit of data would be the age cohort when the permit was obtained (or the average duration of retention for a cohort), not the cohort that currently has it (which is a combination of acquisition and retention).

    • I could theorize about that from the age/race matrix. It suggests (although of course doesn’t prove) that asian and black gun owners have become so more recently. That fits some of the reports we’ve seen about new gun owners.

  5. I’m 62.
    Too old to fight.
    Too old to run.
    That’s why I have to
    carry a gun.

  6. That’s me right there. I had a few guns when I was in my late 20s early 30s but for one reason or another got rid of them and didn’t see the need for any for a while.

    Then when our Manchurian communist stole the Presidency I started to become alarmed. I began buying ammo as a shtf barter hedge because of the scarcity and did so from about 2012 on. Then In 2015 (I was 68) for some reason I had the urge to put some of that ammo to use and got a .22 rifle then a 9mm pistol and at that point I decided to get a carry license. PA is strange on carrying a firearm. Long story short it’s less of a hassle to get a license than to take a chance on not legally transporting a firearm in your car and getting busted.

    So there you have it. I’m due the end of this year for renewal and will be doing so.

    I have no clue what those other folks are doing or why.

  7. Joe, try getting an Oregon one. Columbia county is 2nd amendment friendly and Oregon nonresident is honored in Nevada.

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